Lunardi has us at 16 in today's update. Some of the other bracketology guys on bracketmatrix have us 14-16. I'm going to say 16 for worst case scenario. I think there's a path to a 2 seed, but the teams in front of us have to slip up some as well. We obviously have to beat UT to end the year.
Teams ahead of us remaining schedule:
#15: SDSU: They're off for a week. 2 games left. @UNLV, vs Boise State. Boise State is actually pretty good. I'll root for both
14. Aubrun: @UT, vs MSU, @ Mizzou, vs UGA. Obviously we want both Auburn and UT to lose. Auburn is probably easier to catch. I'm not sure the loss to UT hurts them that much. But if they lose and we win @UT, opens the door.
13. Creighton. Vs Seton Hall, vs Marquette, @ Nova. None of these will be gimmes. Seton Hall beat UCONN and Marquette earlier in the year.
12. Baylor: vs Kansas, vs Texas, @Texas Tech. No gimme's here
11: Alabama: @Ole Miss, vs UT, @Florida, vs Arkansas. They should handle Arkansas at home. The others could cause a slip up.
10. Duke: vs Louisville, vs UVA, @ NC State, vs UNC. Virginia seems to always cause a problem or 2 for the ACC power teams. UNC is better than Duke, but can they overcome the home court advantage?
9. Kansas: They're officially in a free fall. Self is talking like McCullar is done for the year. They don't have depth with him. They're a mess without him. @Baylor, vs KSU, @ Houston to close the year. The committee will evaluate them without McCullar if he's not coming back. I think they'll slip a few seed lines.
The two seed line feels harder to break into:
8: Iowa State: @UCF, vs BYU, @K State
7. Marquette: vs Providence, @Creighton, vs UCONN, @ Xavier
6. UT: They actually have a brutal schedule: Vs Auburn, @Bama, @South Carolina, vs Kentucky.
5. UNC: vs NC State. Vs Notre Dame. @Duke