I know I have a reputation around here as an optimist, because that's what I choose to be. I noticed years ago that I like optimists and dislike pessimists, so I choose to be what I like in others. But I also think I am a realist, and it seems to me that optimism for the basketball team is a little overblown at this point, so I offer this post as a counterpoint.
This team is FUN! We all like the fast-paced STYLE, and it seems that some mistake the style for greatness. So a look at the numbers: We are currently #7 in the NCAA offensive efficiency rankings, and # 90 in the defensive efficiency rankings. Last year we were 36 and 103. in 2022, the last year we were contenders, we were 10 and 35. My conclusion? We are a really good offensive team, but have some serious work to do on defense to be a bona-fide Final Four contender. I haven't looked at national stats on rebounding, but my eye-test says that needs some real improvement also.
EDIT -- I just looked up the current stats on rebounding margin, and UK is #177 -- behind even U6 (#135). Not sure how much that means, but it seems to generally confirm my eye-test.
Now, the reason for optimism -- the talent is there, and Cal's best teams usually start strong on offense, then add the defense after "Camp Cal," or even later. If that happens this year, we are looking at a very fun March! But it needs to happen -- we are not there yet. I suspect it will happen -- we just got the bigs back -- but not all at once, and there will be some losses along the way. I will be one who doesn't give up or panic when that happens. JMO.