At this point in the year (as a fan), hard not to look at the overall picture here when talking about seeding and potentially winning a Regular Season SEC Title.
With that- it comes down to performance on the road.
You HAVE to think that this team can and should defend homecourt. That is 9 SEC games (plus Gonzaga) that you SHOULD be able to put in your pocket and feel good about. We know that's not always the case, but this team can and should be able to do that.
So then it comes down to the 9 road games. It's just math at this point- if Kentucky can win 6 of those 9 road games, we probably win the league (that would give us a 15-3 SEC record). Win 5 of them, you have a chance (14-4 SEC record), if you can only win 4 of the 9 road games, you aren't winning the league (13-5 record). You aren't getting a 1/2 seed in the NCAAT either.
So that's why this week is so important- a chance to pick up TWO of those road wins that we need in a 5-day span. Huge.
We already have @ Florida.
Win both this week, we have 3 road wins- and you HAVE to assume that we can beat Vandy on the road, which would take us to 4 road wins in the league.
So essentially, win both this week, and you only need to find/scratch/claw 2 more road wins out to feel good about winning the league and getting a 1/2 seed on Selection Sunday.
You'd be able to say these are wins:
@ Florida
@ South Carolina
@ Arkansas
@ Vandy
And then you need to find 2 more road wins out of:
@ Auburn
@ LSU
@ Miss State
@ Tennessee
Drop one of these games this week, and you suddenly have to win 3 out of those 4 for a chance to win the league and get a 2 seed- which is possible, but not nearly as likely.
This week is huge- I am willing to say that if we can win both games this week, I think we win the league and get at least a 2 seed.
I'm just a fan so I'm allowed to look ahead like this, the team should take it game by game though
Big Week! Let's Go!!
With that- it comes down to performance on the road.
You HAVE to think that this team can and should defend homecourt. That is 9 SEC games (plus Gonzaga) that you SHOULD be able to put in your pocket and feel good about. We know that's not always the case, but this team can and should be able to do that.
So then it comes down to the 9 road games. It's just math at this point- if Kentucky can win 6 of those 9 road games, we probably win the league (that would give us a 15-3 SEC record). Win 5 of them, you have a chance (14-4 SEC record), if you can only win 4 of the 9 road games, you aren't winning the league (13-5 record). You aren't getting a 1/2 seed in the NCAAT either.
So that's why this week is so important- a chance to pick up TWO of those road wins that we need in a 5-day span. Huge.
We already have @ Florida.
Win both this week, we have 3 road wins- and you HAVE to assume that we can beat Vandy on the road, which would take us to 4 road wins in the league.
So essentially, win both this week, and you only need to find/scratch/claw 2 more road wins out to feel good about winning the league and getting a 1/2 seed on Selection Sunday.
You'd be able to say these are wins:
@ Florida
@ South Carolina
@ Arkansas
@ Vandy
And then you need to find 2 more road wins out of:
@ Auburn
@ LSU
@ Miss State
@ Tennessee
Drop one of these games this week, and you suddenly have to win 3 out of those 4 for a chance to win the league and get a 2 seed- which is possible, but not nearly as likely.
This week is huge- I am willing to say that if we can win both games this week, I think we win the league and get at least a 2 seed.
I'm just a fan so I'm allowed to look ahead like this, the team should take it game by game though
Big Week! Let's Go!!