I'm on vacation from the real world. So, I decided to take on a little project with Kentucky basketball data. The broader question I am trying to answer is:
What, objectively, is different about this team so far this season?
To better understand this, I am comparing 2024 Kentucky's game averages against past successful Kentucky teams (2010-til date).
For the purpose of this analysis, I defined "Successful" as past Kentucky teams who advanced to the Elite 8 or greater. This includes: 2017, 2015, 2014, 2012, 2011, 2010.
Data for this analysis came from sports-reference.com (obligatory mention via their free-use CSV exports).
All data included in the analysis includes Kentucky's season average by game. Ex: If team shot 5, 6, & 7 3's over 3 games, the average 3 pt attempt would be 6.
Part 1 of analysis compares 2024 Kentucky against the "successful" programs listed above in the following statistical categories: Field Goals, Three Point Field Goals, Overall Points, Rebounds, Steals, Blocks, Turnovers. Each statistic is broken down first by Kentucky's season average by game then broken down by opponent average.
Part 2 (TBD) of analysis compares overall Kentucky team rankings relative to the greater NCAA & past successful Kentucky teams. I will post that later this week.
One grain of salt I will throw out there is that to date, 2024 Kentucky has not started SEC play, where all others teams have. It'll be interesting to see how it plays out to end of year (doesn't always mean stats go down in SEC play).
I wrote a little program to do this. Apologies if it's not pretty with colors and graphs. Here's the data:
Edit, post was longer than I expected. Can view output text file here rather than multiple posts (if anyone is interested):
A secure web app that allows you to create, edit, share and save text files to your device or to Google Drive as an editable Doc
textdoc.co
Part 1
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Metrics for Field Goals Made by Game
Average: 27.966666666666666666666666667
Median: 26.9
Team 2024 - Field Goals Made: 33.3 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2017 - Field Goals Made: 29.8 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2012 - Field Goals Made: 27.4 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2011 - Field Goals Made: 26.4 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2015 - Field Goals Made: 25.8 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2014 - Field Goals Made: 25.1 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
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Metrics for Field Goals Attempted by Game
Average: 59.016666666666666666666666667
Median: 56.8
Team 2024 - Field Goals Attempted: 67 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2017 - Field Goals Attempted: 63.1 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2011 - Field Goals Attempted: 57.4 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2012 - Field Goals Attempted: 56.2 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2014 - Field Goals Attempted: 55.3 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2015 - Field Goals Attempted: 55.1 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
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Metrics for Field Goal Percentage by Game
Average: 0.4731666666666666666666666667
Median: 0.4705
Team 2024 - Field Goal Percentage: 0.497 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2012 - Field Goal Percentage: 0.488 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2017 - Field Goal Percentage: 0.473 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2015 - Field Goal Percentage: 0.468 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2011 - Field Goal Percentage: 0.459 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2014 - Field Goal Percentage: 0.454 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
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Metrics for Three Point Field Goals Made by Game
Average: 6.8
Median: 6.3
Team 2024 - Three Point Field Goals Made: 10.5 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2011 - Three Point Field Goals Made: 7.4 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2017 - Three Point Field Goals Made: 7 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2012 - Three Point Field Goals Made: 5.6 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2015 - Three Point Field Goals Made: 5.2 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2014 - Three Point Field Goals Made: 5.1 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
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Metrics for Three Point Field Goals Attempted by Game
Average: 18.183333333333333333333333333
Median: 16.95
Team 2024 - Three Point Field Goals Attempted: 25.5 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2017 - Three Point Field Goals Attempted: 19.9 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2011 - Three Point Field Goals Attempted: 18.6 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2014 - Three Point Field Goals Attempted: 15.3 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2015 - Three Point Field Goals Attempted: 14.9 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2012 - Three Point Field Goals Attempted: 14.9 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
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Metrics for Three Point Field Goal Percentage by Game
Average: 0.3705
Median: 0.3655
Team 2024 - Three Point Field Goal Percentage: 0.414 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2011 - Three Point Field Goal Percentage: 0.397 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2012 - Three Point Field Goal Percentage: 0.378 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2017 - Three Point Field Goal Percentage: 0.353 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2015 - Three Point Field Goal Percentage: 0.349 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2014 - Three Point Field Goal Percentage: 0.332 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
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Metrics for Three Point Field Goals Made by Game
Average: 6.8
Median: 6.3
Team 2024 - Three Point Field Goals Made: 10.5 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2011 - Three Point Field Goals Made: 7.4 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2017 - Three Point Field Goals Made: 7 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2012 - Three Point Field Goals Made: 5.6 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2015 - Three Point Field Goals Made: 5.2 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2014 - Three Point Field Goals Made: 5.1 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
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Metrics for Three Point Field Goals Attempted by Game
Average: 18.183333333333333333333333333
Median: 16.95
Team 2024 - Three Point Field Goals Attempted: 25.5 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2017 - Three Point Field Goals Attempted: 19.9 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2011 - Three Point Field Goals Attempted: 18.6 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2014 - Three Point Field Goals Attempted: 15.3 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2015 - Three Point Field Goals Attempted: 14.9 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2012 - Three Point Field Goals Attempted: 14.9 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
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Metrics for Three Point Field Goal Percentage by Game
Average: 0.3705
Median: 0.3655
Team 2024 - Three Point Field Goal Percentage: 0.414 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2011 - Three Point Field Goal Percentage: 0.397 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2012 - Three Point Field Goal Percentage: 0.378 - *ABOVE AVERAGE* - *ABOVE MEDIAN*
Team 2017 - Three Point Field Goal Percentage: 0.353 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2015 - Three Point Field Goal Percentage: 0.349 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
Team 2014 - Three Point Field Goal Percentage: 0.332 - -BELOW AVERAGE- - -BELOW MEDIAN-
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