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The Ukraine war. (Yes, we'll mind our manners)

My Mom was from Morristown, Tennessee. She had the good fortune of going to Berea College, and soon after meeting a Ky. State Trooper.

2/3rds of my kin wear Orange!

Everyone says I have a deeper Southern accent than most Kentuckians. I probably sound more like Hamblin County, Tennessee!!
South-Central Kentucky has deeper southern accents than most of middle Tenneessee.
 
The afghan botched pull out and this are why Russia invaded. We needed to be tough before not reactive. This is why we are here words like this.

 
Ukrainian War now costing Russia hundreds of millions a day. As many as 1.3 million Russians may have left country.
 
Saw this in the Wall Street Journal and thought I would post it here:



As I watching the video showing the elaborate measures the Russians were taking to prepare for an anticipated Ukrainian counter offensive, I couldn’t help but think of George C Scott in the movie “Patton”:

“Fixed fortifications are a monument to the stupidity of man. If oceans and mountain ranges can be overcome, anything built by man can be overcome.”
 
Russians at the moment have no answer to the Storm Shadows. These have very great reach and Russian supply lines are going to get pushed back even further.

Berdyansk is 100km away from the next Ukrainian Army post, Henichesk is even 120km away. Both hit.
 
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Prigozhin seems to be edging closer to outright revolt, now claiming the regular Russian military mined Wagner’s escape route from Bakhmut:

“Shortly before our departure, we detected suspicious activity along our exit route. [...] we called law enforcement and began to investigate our exit routes along the roads,” Prigozhin said. “We found about a dozen places where various explosive devices were placed, ranging from hundreds of anti-tank mines to tonnes of plastic explosives [...] Those who rigged those areas with explosives were representatives of the Ministry of Defense.”
“When asked why they did it, they point their fingers up,” Prigozhin said referring to pointing at the Russian leadership.

 
Prigozhin seems to be edging closer to outright revolt, now claiming the regular Russian military mined Wagner’s escape route from Bakhmut:

“Shortly before our departure, we detected suspicious activity along our exit route. [...] we called law enforcement and began to investigate our exit routes along the roads,” Prigozhin said. “We found about a dozen places where various explosive devices were placed, ranging from hundreds of anti-tank mines to tonnes of plastic explosives [...] Those who rigged those areas with explosives were representatives of the Ministry of Defense.”
“When asked why they did it, they point their fingers up,” Prigozhin said referring to pointing at the Russian leadership.

Jesus christ what a cluster****. Using PMCs to fight your war is one thing but internal drama between the PMCs and russian leadership on the battlefield? Can you imagine the US doing this? Good god.
 
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Good god.
I’ve tried to justify how his persistent bitchin’ could help Putin or Russia, and I can’t come up with much.

Some have said he is carping on Putin’s behalf to pressure the regular military, but I would think Putin has enough capacity at the top to get that done.
 
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Russians at the moment have no answer to the Storm Shadows.
Their reactions to the Storm
Shadow success, and the recent failures of their vaunted Kinzhal supersonic missiles is a good illustration of the gross inefficiency of authoritarianism, as they have a complete inability to even get their story straight.

They deny that the Storm Shadow has achieved 100 percent accuracy and play its performance down on one hand.


But then issue dire threats that British leaders are legitimate targets, because they supplied the Storm Shadows.



Similarly, they “laughed off” reports claiming Ukraine had successfully shot down multiple Kinzhal missiles.



But during the same news cycle, they arrested three scientists for “treason,” who had developed the Kinzhal missle.


There are posters on this thread who say Putin is no Hitler. And, you have to admit, Hitler and the Germans were a lot better at sticking to their first lie.

Putin needs a new governmental Bureau, the GYSSASTI . . . “Get-Your-Sh!t-Straight-And-Stick-To-It.”
 
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I’ve tried to justify how his persistent bitchin’ could help Putin or Russia, and I can’t come up with much.

Some have said he is carping on Putin’s behalf to pressure the regular military, but I would think Putin has enough capacity at the top to get that done.
Perhaps he thinks he's got support in Moscow to oust Putin?
 
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If by war you mean Russia's unjustified incursions into Ukraine, probably so. The fighting? Doubt it.
Why would the war speed up the timetable for NATO inclusion? I understand placing Ukraine on a path to inclusion, but if NATO would not have accepted Ukraine before the war, has anything changed for that process?
 
Why would the war speed up the timetable for NATO inclusion? I understand placing Ukraine on a path to inclusion, but if NATO would not have accepted Ukraine before the war, has anything changed for that process?
I didn’t say it sped it up. I didn’t say they wouldn’t ever have been accepted before the invasion. What I said is that they’re now a better/ultimately more likely candidate. I said that because Russia has made clear its longterm plans for further control of Europe westward.
 
but if NATO would not have accepted Ukraine before the war, has anything changed for that process?
NATO membership takes some time, or has in the recent past.

Five or ten years, ago, NATO members were reluctant to start a 3 year process thinking Russia might invade before the process was complete.

I guess most now think Russia has shot its wad, that the war will end, and that there will be a long enough period of time to both start and finish the process.
 
I didn’t say it sped it up. I didn’t say they wouldn’t ever have been accepted before the invasion. What I said is that they’re now a better/ultimately more likely candidate. I said that because Russia has made clear its longterm plans for further control of Europe westward.
Again, why would Russia’s invasion change NATO’s perception of Ukraine as a member? This is not a question about backing Ukraine in this war. Those are two separate issues.

I cannot see why Ukraine should be preceived as a better candidate for NATO because of the war, unless battle is a criterion for admission.
 
So the logic is that Russia’s ancient goal of regional control requires NATO, which has a collective security clause which has averted WW3 for over 70 years, to admit a member that happens to be the one that Russia seeks to control.

Solid strategy.
 
So the logic is that Russia’s ancient goal of regional control requires NATO, which has a collective security clause which has averted WW3 for over 70 years, to admit a member that happens to be the one that Russia seeks to control.

Solid strategy.
Why should anyone give a damn about Russia's ancient goals. If anything it reminds the world that Russia can't be trusted and is still interested in conquering its neighbors. What was your point again?
 
Their reactions to the Storm
Shadow success, and the recent failures of their vaunted Kinzhal supersonic missiles is a good illustration of the gross inefficiency of authoritarianism, as they have a complete inability to even get their story straight.

They deny that the Storm Shadow has achieved 100 percent accuracy and play its performance down on one hand.


But then issue dire threats that British leaders are legitimate targets, because they supplied the Storm Shadows.



Similarly, they “laughed off” reports claiming Ukraine had successfully shot down multiple Kinzhal missiles.



But during the same news cycle, they arrested three scientists for “treason,” who had developed the Kinzhal missle.


There are posters on this thread who say Putin is no Hitler. And, you have to admit, Hitler and the Germans were a lot better at sticking to their first lie.

Putin needs a new governmental Bureau, the GYSSASTI . . . “Get-Your-Sh!t-Straight-And-Stick-To-It.”
They can never keep their story straight.

Propaganda is lying, and as it happens, this is just something that Russians are very familiar with and have cultivated for centuries as an art form under the name vranyo. (not all Russians)

The late, Russian-American professor of history, Vadim Medish, who for 30 years taught Russian history and literature at American University in Washington DC, studied “vranyo” and how the Russians themselves look upon it and practice their gross brand of lying. So his take on Russian lying was: “We lie out of necessity. We lie when it’s convenient. And we lie just to keep in shape.”
 
Why should anyone give a damn about Russia's ancient goals. If anything it reminds the world that Russia can't be trusted and is still interested in conquering its neighbors. What was your point again?
Well, friendo, the point is pretty damn simple: it’s dumb as hell to invite cataclysm over something that’s been going on for centuries.

Russia has been conquering its’ neighbors since the 1600’s. It has never…once…impacted Western life.

All I’m asking is quite simply: why is this different?

This requires separating fact from emotion. Not easily done in this thread.
 
It has never…once…impacted Western life.
I think Cuba, Berlin and one-third of modern Germany would disagree.

While we referred to “East Germany,” and “Eastern Europe,” during the 45 year occupation of it, all of Germany is considered “Western,” as were other portions of Europe occupied by Russia (half of Austria until 1955).

And don’t forget Sweden!!

“The Northern and Western Europe region includes economies from Northern Europe (Denmark, Finland, Ireland, Norway, Sweden, and the United Kingdom), and Western Europe (Austria, France, Germany, the Netherlands, and Switzerland).”
 
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Well, friendo, the point is pretty damn simple: it’s dumb as hell to invite cataclysm over something that’s been going on for centuries.

Russia has been conquering its’ neighbors since the 1600’s. It has never…once…impacted Western life.

All I’m asking is quite simply: why is this different?

This requires separating fact from emotion. Not easily done in this thread.
That old imperialistic world needs to finish dying. Russia, the mighty paper tiger, needs to end it in particular. The world has moved on.

Claiming some sort of cataclysm is classic you. You need to get over that. We aren't and won't attack Russia. They can either decide to become a decent member of the world or face forced isolation, economic disaster and assistance against them when they start trying to conquer countries like it was 1700.

Enough is enough. They'll soon find themselves with NATO all over their border. How things evolve is entirely up to them. One thing is certain, so long as the international community has way to effectively supply a country so it can defend itself, that is what will happen.

Screw Russia.
 
It’s interesting to see that the line drawn in this thread as to the war appears also drawn for Ukraine’s acceptance into NATO. I understand a pathway to NATO for Ukraine, but prior to Russia’s invasion, that pathway was not imminent. There were presumably reasons for that timetable that made sense to NATO. I suspect it had something to do with the lack of stability and corruption in Ukraine. The claim that Russia’s anticipated invasion should speed up that process seems naive to me, if that is what is being discussed. This is not Sweden or Finland. The war bringing those countries to NATO makes perfect sense. Seems you can want Ukraine to kick Russia’s arse without wanting the NATO admission to change in any manner.
 
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I will add that if NATO admission for Ukraine would incentivize a negotiated resolution to the war, I would understand NATO shorting the admission process’s timetable. That seems like a reasonable NATO objective. That would likely mean that Ukraine sacrifices some of its eastern border, as I think that is the only way Russia otherwise withdraws.

But, if Ukraine is on the verge of defeating Russia, as some posts here seem to suggest, I doubt Ukraine sees the value in such compromise.
 
That old imperialistic world needs to finish dying. Russia, the mighty paper tiger, needs to end it in particular. The world has moved on.

Claiming some sort of cataclysm is classic you. You need to get over that. We aren't and won't attack Russia. They can either decide to become a decent member of the world or face forced isolation, economic disaster and assistance against them when they start trying to conquer countries like it was 1700.

Enough is enough. They'll soon find themselves with NATO all over their border. How things evolve is entirely up to them. One thing is certain, so long as the international community has way to effectively supply a country so it can defend itself, that is what will happen.

Screw Russia.
A lot of hope here, and little to no admission of how history has always worked, especially in that region. It would be great if Russia, and China, would lay down and play by our rules.
 
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