This from a republican friend of mine:
People focus on the Senate relief bill, believing that it is the answer to our current financial situation because it proposes: (1) a one-time $1,200 payment; and (2) an extra month of unemployment. This is Short Term Relief, not intended to help you over the next several months. Where does most of the money go?
Over the next year, the United States will almost certainly go through a depression. Economists at Goldman Sachs currently expect the U.S. economy to shrink by an unprecedented 24% next quarter. They’re optimists compared to Morgan Stanley, which expects a 30% drop, and Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard, who predicted a 50% decline.
Even the best response from our government cannot prevent some form of catastrophe. But what Congress does next could mean the difference between millions of families muddling through and millions of families being bankrupted and evicted. Swift, serious action is needed to support ordinary people through the coming disaster, and to get American medical infrastructure up to speed ― manufacturing the supplies we are already running short on and training the personnel who are already overworked.
But one thing is extremely clear: Large American corporations are not in immediate jeopardy. Despite the recent stock market crash, they are not currently experiencing a financial crisis ― they are still able to obtain loans - at extraordinary low rates - to continue operations. Furthermore, with the Federal Reserve’s announcement on Monday that it would be providing unprecedented, direct support to both small business and large corporations, the central bank ensured that firms can get access to government-backed loans with no strings attached.
The Fed has never done anything like this. Usually the Fed supports banks, not manufacturers, airlines, hotels and retailers. But the American central bank recognized the scope of this crisis and acted accordingly.
Given the Fed’s support, there does not appear to be a reason for the corporate bailout legislation that Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) are pursuing. It offers too little help to the people who need it most, and significant, large benefits to the very wealthy. Republican leaders are demanding $500 billion to distribute as Mnuchin in his discretion, with no disclosure for six months, no curbs on executive compensation, no limits on shareholder giveaways, no requirements to retain workers, and no meaningful oversight mechanisms. The public would receive no share in the upside to its investment. If companies on public support go bust, the public will suffer the losses. Note that conservative members of Congress are seeking ways to reduce social security. This may provide the argument - we will not be able to afford social security with the huge debt we are undertaking. There is no upside - if the wealthy corporations prosper, the public will not even get an interest payment.
The terms of the Senate plan are substantially worse than those included in the 2008 bank bailout bill. That bill enhanced the value of corporate officers and stockholders - but not ordinary Americans, who suffered greatly, for example, many thousands of homes were foreclosed. From the 2008 bill, we at least got to know where the money went. In this Senate bill, its proponents want a blank check, to be kept secret for six months.
Yes, the federal government will need to support businesses large and small through the coming months, if not years. But the Fed is already doing that. Congress has no business supporting significant benefits for for the super-rich. Only about one-fifth of American households own $25,000 or more in stock. The government could help ordinary people much more easily by just cutting them monthly checks over the coming years. A pandemic should not be a pretext to shovel money at rich people.
The opposition is holding the line on corporate giveaways. They should continue to do so. The current Senate proposal includes little benefit for ordinary people ― expanding the duration of unemployment benefits for people who lose their jobs by an extra month, plus a one-time $1,200 check for individuals. The Fed has already given corporate America its relief. Congress needs to work for working families.