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POLITICAL THREAD

How will they rule ??!

  • YES - Qualified

    Votes: 41 82.0%
  • NO - Disqualified

    Votes: 9 18.0%

  • Total voters
    50
  • Poll closed .
It is true though. She took money out of NC and put it into Virginia because polls were tightening in VA. If Iowa were this close she'd be buying more ads there to try to steal that state. She doesn't have enough ways to 270 to just ignore a possible win.
I don't think you understood my point. If Iowa goes blue the electoral environment at large is such that every other swing state also goes blue. The map would look similar to 2012, you'd just probably swap Florida and Ohio for Arizona and potentially NC. Iowa was deep red for Trump these last two elections. If he's lost that state he's lost every other meaningful state as well.

If Iowa actually goes blue the general election will be a landslide. It's irrelevant compared to other states. If Iowa is less than like +5 for Trump it's a giant problem for him.
 
Ah the democrat campaign.
Starts with Joy and ends with a desperate Godwin's law whimper. Good times.
We didn't bring up mass deportations. Even for legal immigrants. He did. You really ought to have the courage of your convictions. You support Trump, don't you? What are we supposed to think if he says something? That he's just funnin'? How many times are we supposed to ignore his Mussolini pose?

After he said he supports an 8 week window for abortions and claimed he was the father of IVF, the right wing really lost the anti-abortion issue. So, what's left beside vengeance and bullying?
 
Nobody wants to eradicate LGBTQ ppl, or, force them to stay in hiding. Most ppl just want them to stop shoving it down everyone’s throats 24/7 & to leave the f**king kids alone. But, they can’t do that.

And, there’s no denying it. Why are Bert & Ernie gay? Or, SpongeBob? Or, any character from a show/movie aimed at TODDLERS?! Why is it so important for drag queens in lingerie to read stories to children? Same ppl who want to mutilate kids & remove them from parents who disapprove.

If they would just stop trying to glorify & push their lifestyles onto everyone else & their kids, they would get very little pushback, IMO. The vast majority don’t care who you sleep with or what you do behind closed doors. We just don’t want to hear about it, perpetually. But, again & most importantly, leave the kids ALONE.
Welp, that pretty much closes that topic down. Bravo.
 
I don't think you understood my point. If Iowa goes blue the electoral environment at large is such that every other swing state also goes blue. The map would look similar to 2012, you'd just probably swap Florida and Ohio for Arizona and potentially NC. Iowa was deep red for Trump these last two elections. If he's lost that state he's lost every other meaningful state as well.

If Iowa actually goes blue the general election will be a landslide. It's irrelevant compared to other states. If Iowa is less than like +5 for Trump it's a giant problem for him.

Lol, Trump isn’t losing Iowa. I know you’re a far left Antifa fascist who supports election fraud. But you Anti-American leftist fascists aren’t winning Iowa. Your election fraud cabal is active in other states. Trump has already beaten Harris, he’s fighting election fraud on Tuesday.
 





The US only added 12000 jobs last month. Lets talk about how terrible that number is. We let in more illegals than we created jobs. How long can a country exist doing that?
One number isn't a summation.

I bet you didn't let Trump's job number in Feb 2019 bother you. Jobs added? 5,000.

I bet you even took his 200,000 lost manufacturing jobs in stride.
 
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Lol, Trump isn’t losing Iowa. I know you’re a far left Antifa fascist who supports election fraud. But you Anti-American leftist fascists aren’t winning Iowa. Your election fraud cabal is active in other states. Trump has already beaten Harris, he’s fighting election fraud on Tuesday.
Overreact much? I'm just explaining why Iowa on its own is not relevant. It's a canary in a coal mine, but it's not winning an election on its own. No where did I say I expect Harris to win Iowa.
 
I don't think you understood my point. If Iowa goes blue the electoral environment at large is such that every other swing state also goes blue. The map would look similar to 2012, you'd just probably swap Florida and Ohio for Arizona and potentially NC. Iowa was deep red for Trump these last two elections. If he's lost that state he's lost every other meaningful state as well.

If Iowa actually goes blue the general election will be a landslide. It's irrelevant compared to other states. If Iowa is less than like +5 for Trump it's a giant problem for him.
Oh I understand. My point is that neither campaign believes that number. It's an insane outlier. It's not just a little favorable to Kamala... it's outside the realm of believability which is shown by the fact that neither campaign is doing work there. We can look at early voting data and see that pubs are increasing and dems aren't performing as well. Data is data.

 
Oh I understand. My point is that neither campaign believes that number. It's an insane outlier. It's not just a little favorable to Kamala... it's outside the realm of believability which is shown by the fact that neither campaign is doing work there. We can look at early voting data and see that pubs are increasing and dems aren't performing as well. Data is data.


https://x.com/search?q=iowa early voting&src=typed_query
Listen, I'm not saying the poll is correct. But that's literally EXACTLY what people said about her Iowa poll in 2016 and 2020. That she was throwing away her reputation by releasing a poll that said Trump was going to win the state easily. She really knows how to poll Iowa. We shall see what happens.
 
Listen, I'm not saying the poll is correct. But that's literally EXACTLY what people said about her Iowa poll in 2016 and 2020. That she was throwing away her reputation by releasing a poll that said Trump was going to win the state easily. She really knows how to poll Iowa. We shall see what happens.
Agreed but we can look at early vote totals and voter registration numbers to see that this poll doesn't make any sense. I don't care how good she did in the past. She screwed up something bad to get that result. Iowa is more red now than it was in '20.
 
Then move there, and stfu about how awful where you.live is. You're retired, right? Move the f out of ky. We won't miss you.

It's tiresome. All you do is bitch and whine like a toddler not getting your way.
I love Kentucky. All my friends and family are here. Love the 4 seasons. Love UK sports. Love the land. Love the culture.
Love the governor. Love Louisville, Lexington, BG, Slade, UNO, New Haven and Bardstown.
No reason to leave the state over your weirdo abortion law with no exceptions for rape/incest.
That will change over time.
Ky needs stronger red flag laws and is too adversarial towards public education.
Other than those issues... I love living here and will never leave.
 
Oh I understand. My point is that neither campaign believes that number. It's an insane outlier. It's not just a little favorable to Kamala... it's outside the realm of believability which is shown by the fact that neither campaign is doing work there. We can look at early voting data and see that pubs are increasing and dems aren't performing as well. Data is data.

Polls quit being reliable with the widespread adoption of cell phones.
 
I vacation in blue states as well. Love visiting California, Colorado and Washington State.
It's really just ridiculous that our dumbass politicians have divided Americans so much to even be having this idiotic discussion.
This is the mostly the product of 10 years of Donald Trump and the MAGA movement.... but Dems haven't helped either.
Jesus,,,,maximum TDS!!!!
 
Trump is running even to a post turtle.

Hes not losing Iowa it isn't worth talking g about it was 1 poll and the others had it the other way.

Comes down to the big 3 states Pennsylvania Michigan Wisconsin. Whoever takes 2 of 3 wins.
 
Agreed but we can look at early vote totals and voter registration numbers to see that this poll doesn't make any sense. I don't care how good she did in the past. She screwed up something bad to get that result. Iowa is more red now than it was in '20.
I remember watching Seth Keshel on someone's YouTube channel (Spicer, Turley ?) talking about how Iowa is basically the same as Wisconsin. When one goes one way...the other does as well. So I was thinking that this Iowa poll was put out to try to influence Wisconsin voters, etc. So I googled him and found this. Like I said the other day...don't know how good he is....if he's been right/wrong in the past...but he's a wealth of information.

;The methodology for the Iowa poll is atrocious. It sounds like she polled the Lincoln Project or a women’s psych ward, because “protecting our democracy” and “abortion” came well ahead of immigration and the economy as priority issues among those polled. '

 
This election season has been so insane. Ignoring that Kamala had a former prostitute who used to drug and rob men, campaigning for her, we’ve had

- Two assassination attempts
- Crooked courts trying to imprison opponent
- Sitting President calling half the population “garbage.”
- President not seeking re-election and then never giving an official reason why.
- Candidate being chosen despite zero votes
- Hurricanes a month before the election

What else am I forgetting?
I'm surprised there wasn't a George Floyd kind of incident this year.
 
70% of Americans believe Trumps policies would help the economy more than Kamala. The media wants to focus on anything but the economy and illegal immigration. It's your side that is ignoring the economy and deflecting to nonsense.
What do you think will happen with the loss of a huge % agricultural workers, nurses, construction workers, lawn care, roofers, light industrial workers etc. What do you think will happen with 100% tariffs on stuff from China? (Pop quiz: who pays the tariffs? The answer may surprise you.) People may think, despite all the evidence to the contrary, that the economy does better under Republicans. It doesn't. Twenty or so Economics Nobelists say Trump will ruin the economy. Wall St. Journal. Moody's. Goldman Sachs. But some people think that a guy who bankrupted a casino has the Midas Touch.
 
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I love Kentucky. All my friends and family are here. Love the 4 seasons. Love UK sports. Love the land. Love the culture.
Love the governor. Love Louisville, Lexington, BG, Slade, UNO, New Haven and Bardstown.
No reason to leave the state over your weirdo abortion law with no exceptions for rape/incest.
That will change over time.
Ky needs stronger red flag laws and is too adversarial towards public education.
Other than those issues... I love living here and will never leave.
LOL yea right.
 
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I remember watching Seth Keshel on someone's YouTube channel (Spicer, Turley ?) talking about how Iowa is basically the same as Wisconsin. When one goes one way...the other does as well. So I was thinking that this Iowa poll was put out to try to influence Wisconsin voters, etc. So I googled him and found this. Like I said the other day...don't know how good he is....if he's been right/wrong in the past...but he's a wealth of information.

;The methodology for the Iowa poll is atrocious. It sounds like she polled the Lincoln Project or a women’s psych ward, because “protecting our democracy” and “abortion” came well ahead of immigration and the economy as priority issues among those polled. '

Yep. And it's not like its within the margin either. Trump will win Iowa by closer to 7 then her win by 3. I agree it seems to be a suppression poll. Dems only hope is to get Pubs to not show up and vote because they are behind and aren't getting their voters out like in '20.
 
Someone has been sending postcards to people with Kamala signs in their yards. They are pretending to be from the Kamala campaign. The card gives specific dates when to expect an immigrant family and what their needs will be. 😁
Lexington is a starting spot for immigrants to move them away from over-burdened coasts. We've taken part in the program to help get families settled. I suppose the joke is that out-of-touch liberals are suppose to be only posing and would be appalled to actually have to deal with immigrants.

Yeah, that's a knee-slapper.
 
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