Some discussion about this in other threads but I thought I’d clean it up in one place.
Purdue - 9
UCONN - 9
Houston - 8
Arizona - 7
UNC - 5
UT - 5
Marquette - 6
KU - 6
Alabama - 2
Baylor - 6
Iowa St - 6
Duke - 5
Auburn - 2
SDSU - 5
Illinois - 4
Wisconsin - 6
We have a good chance of getting to 5 before the SEC tournament. That would mean winning at MSU and home vs. Bama. Neither easy, but both doable.
Win at UT and we get to 6. Not great odds of this, but that’s why you play the games.
There are only 6 teams in the SEC who would currently be Q1 wins in that tournament. UT, Bama, Auburn, UF, MSU, ATM. South Carolina might get there.
Realistically, that puts us with one or two more shots at Q1 wins going into championship Sunday, a game that we know doesn’t count. So figure a max of 8 Q1 wins.
Barring some kind of bizarre confluence of events, Purdue, UCONN, and Houston are out of reach. There’s a very slim chance we could catch Arizona at the buzzer due to their weak remaining schedule.
Marquette, Baylor, KU, and Iowa St will all have more chances. The latter three have to compete among themselves, so that could help us.
UNC and Duke won’t have a ton of opportunities. They play each other. They both play UVA. Duke plays at Wake.
UVA has 2 Q1 wins. Think Wake has none. Best bet for us will be UVA and Wake building their resumes at the expense of UNC/Duke.
We could conceivably catch or pass one or the other in Q1 wins.
Our best bet is what lays in front of us. Both Auburn (took care of them) and Bama are in our crosshairs. A win at UT would be huge.
Basically, moving into that 3-4 range is very much on the table with a strong finish. Moving to the 2 line is on the table with a great finish and maybe a little help. A 1 seed is almost impossible without a lot of help/luck.
Purdue - 9
UCONN - 9
Houston - 8
Arizona - 7
UNC - 5
UT - 5
Marquette - 6
KU - 6
Alabama - 2
Baylor - 6
Iowa St - 6
Duke - 5
Auburn - 2
SDSU - 5
Illinois - 4
Wisconsin - 6
We have a good chance of getting to 5 before the SEC tournament. That would mean winning at MSU and home vs. Bama. Neither easy, but both doable.
Win at UT and we get to 6. Not great odds of this, but that’s why you play the games.
There are only 6 teams in the SEC who would currently be Q1 wins in that tournament. UT, Bama, Auburn, UF, MSU, ATM. South Carolina might get there.
Realistically, that puts us with one or two more shots at Q1 wins going into championship Sunday, a game that we know doesn’t count. So figure a max of 8 Q1 wins.
Barring some kind of bizarre confluence of events, Purdue, UCONN, and Houston are out of reach. There’s a very slim chance we could catch Arizona at the buzzer due to their weak remaining schedule.
Marquette, Baylor, KU, and Iowa St will all have more chances. The latter three have to compete among themselves, so that could help us.
UNC and Duke won’t have a ton of opportunities. They play each other. They both play UVA. Duke plays at Wake.
UVA has 2 Q1 wins. Think Wake has none. Best bet for us will be UVA and Wake building their resumes at the expense of UNC/Duke.
We could conceivably catch or pass one or the other in Q1 wins.
Our best bet is what lays in front of us. Both Auburn (took care of them) and Bama are in our crosshairs. A win at UT would be huge.
Basically, moving into that 3-4 range is very much on the table with a strong finish. Moving to the 2 line is on the table with a great finish and maybe a little help. A 1 seed is almost impossible without a lot of help/luck.
