They have the Reds at 58% and the Padres at 33% because of the Remaining schedules for these 2 teams. The Padres have a nightmare schedule to end the season. Padres play Phillies today, then 3 with Dodgers, 2 at the Angels and 3 more at Arizona where the Padres just lost 3 out of 4 in Arizona last week. Then the last 28 games for the Padres is where it gets tough for the Padres. The Padres have 16 out of 28 games with the Giants and Dodgers and 13 out of 16 games is on the road for the Padres. Then the other games are 3 with Houston, 3 at Cardinals, 2 with Angels, and 4 with the Braves and 1 of those is a make-up game. Those last 28 games are going to be tough for the Padres. Most of the Sports Channels are saying the Padres have the toughest schedule, then the Cardinals, Phillies, and the Reds with the easiest path to wildcard. If the Reds can take care of business and beat these teams coming up like Pirates 9 more games, 4 more with Miami, 4 with Nationals, 3 with Detroit, 3 with Chicago, 6 with St. Louis, 3 with Dodgers, 2 with White Sox, and the big 3 game series with Brewers starting Tuesday. It will be a interesting 5 or 6 week period for the Reds starting Tuesday in Milwaukee and the month of September.