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This shouldn't be possible -- especially when we should have a 7 man rotation by now.
Hard to believe, but it's true. We only have two lineups that have played more than 100 possessions together and only three that have played more than 90.

More fun with analytics:

- Creighton's #1 lineup has played 628 possessions. Purdue's #1 has 432 and their #2 has 267.

- As I just posted, our top 4-man combo has only played 355 possessions together.

- Our most-played 4-man combo is the 4th-worst of 32 different combos that have played at least 100 possessions together. It is one of only 6 of those 32 to have a negative Net Rating. All 6 contain Wagner and not Sheppard.

- None of our bottom-10 4-man combos have Sheppard. Sheppard is only in 5 of our top 10 most-played combos.

- There's not a single 5-man lineup including Sheppard that has a negative Net Rating on the year. He's a part of our best 9 lineups that have played at least 10 possessions. The 9th-best lineup with Sheppard in it has a +22.6 Net Rating. The best lineup without him in it has a +17.3.

- Probably the skill that we are singularly worst at, as a team, is defensive rebounding on 2-point shots. We only get 56.7% of defensive rebounds on close 2s, which is horrendous.
 
Hard to believe, but it's true. We only have two lineups that have played more than 100 possessions together and only three that have played more than 90.

More fun with analytics:

- Creighton's #1 lineup has played 628 possessions. Purdue's #1 has 432 and their #2 has 267.

- As I just posted, our top 4-man combo has only played 355 possessions together.

- Our most-played 4-man combo is the 4th-worst of 32 different combos that have played at least 100 possessions together. It is one of only 6 of those 32 to have a negative Net Rating. All 6 contain Wagner and not Sheppard.

- None of our bottom-10 4-man combos have Sheppard. Sheppard is only in 5 of our top 10 most-played combos.

- There's not a single 5-man lineup including Sheppard that has a negative Net Rating on the year. He's a part of our best 9 lineups that have played at least 10 possessions. The 9th-best lineup with Sheppard in it has a +22.6 Net Rating. The best lineup without him in it has a +17.3.

- Probably the skill that we are singularly worst at, as a team, is defensive rebounding on 2-point shots. We only get 56.7% of defensive rebounds on close 2s, which is horrendous.
  • Part of #1 has to do with injuries - we didn't have a center for the first part of the season and Mitchell has been out for the last few games.
  • Our most-played 4-man combo are the starters, right? Insane.
  • The defensive rebounding thing - has it been getting better? Is there a way to tell that? Because if it's staying crappy we might as well go back to what we did before the three centers got healthy.
 
Hard to believe, but it's true. We only have two lineups that have played more than 100 possessions together and only three that have played more than 90.

More fun with analytics:

- Creighton's #1 lineup has played 628 possessions. Purdue's #1 has 432 and their #2 has 267.

- As I just posted, our top 4-man combo has only played 355 possessions together.

- Our most-played 4-man combo is the 4th-worst of 32 different combos that have played at least 100 possessions together. It is one of only 6 of those 32 to have a negative Net Rating. All 6 contain Wagner and not Sheppard.

- None of our bottom-10 4-man combos have Sheppard. Sheppard is only in 5 of our top 10 most-played combos.

- There's not a single 5-man lineup including Sheppard that has a negative Net Rating on the year. He's a part of our best 9 lineups that have played at least 10 possessions. The 9th-best lineup with Sheppard in it has a +22.6 Net Rating. The best lineup without him in it has a +17.3.

- Probably the skill that we are singularly worst at, as a team, is defensive rebounding on 2-point shots. We only get 56.7% of defensive rebounds on close 2s, which is horrendous.
I mean . . . it's RIGHT THERE!

Our team's video package breakdown can run similar numbers for our HIGH SCHOOL team. We have a math teacher on staff and he can put stuff in a spreadsheet and get similar information. We meet and discuss the details and talk about who's playing well with who. It takes about 30 minutes for these discussions to happen once every two weeks.

I know there is a lot of context and other stuff that goes into final rotation decisions, matchups, game plans, etc. But seriously, WTFrick?!?!?!? Our "gut" and the numbers match up. It's glaringly obvious to anyone who watches one game. Is our coach cuckolded that much by certain players from certain agencies, or is he just that blinded by denial/hubris? It's baffling.
 
So if we want to breakdown @ksta ’s analytics… let me nerd out. And I’m not a mathematician but if these stats are correct I’m befuddled at the logic.

Our 5 most played together players have played a total of 115 possessions together. First off, I’ll bet every other team in the country’s starting 5 has well over 300+ together if not way more.

Secondly, we average 77 possessions per game this year. Thats 38.5 possessions per half. That’s means our 5 most played together players have only played a total of 3 complete halves together in 26 games this year…that’s TOUCHING insane.

Of course there’s no cohesion or identity on O or D.

How does a coach think you’re going to be your best when you’ve barely played with one another?
 
  • Our most-played 4-man combo are the starters, right? Insane.
Wagner, Reeves, Edwards, Mitchell.

  • The defensive rebounding thing - has it been getting better? Is there a way to tell that? Because if it's staying crappy we might as well go back to what we did before the three centers got healthy.
Quite the opposite, actually.

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Bradshaw came back game 8, Ugo game 10 I believe. SEC play started game 14.
 
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Here are the coaches in the current AP Top 25 poll....how many of these would you trade Cal for right now?

Danny Hurley
Kelvin Sampson
Matt Painter
Tommy Lloyd
Rick Barnes
TJ Oetzelberger
Shaka Smart
Jon Scheyer
Bill Self
Hubert Davis
Scott Drew
Brad Underwood
Nate Oats
Bruce Pearl
Greg McDermott
Anthony Grant
Randy Bennett
Brian Dutcher
Lamont Paris
Kyle Smith
Niko Medved
Grant McCasland
Todd Golden
Mark Pope
 
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Watched some high school video of Wagner (shared one below) and he liked to go left in high school but went right quite a bit too. I wonder if the high ankle sprain has anything to do with him being hesitant to jump off that foot.


Regarding the lineup issues it’s pretty simple to me. Cal was willing to change his offensive philosophy by shooting more 3s etc earlier this year but still prefers to start his best defensive lineup. He should have adjusted that as well.

Also, he’s hell bent on matching up with the other team defensively more than worrying about who plays well with whom and sticking to a set rotation. Example last night when he put Bradshaw at the 4 when the Reed kid for LSU was getting the best of Adou. This why we never play 4 guards, etc.

He pulls guys for defensive mistakes too more than anything other than sticking with a rotation like most other coaches. And in doing that it’s counter intuitive to what we’re trying to do with the changes offensively, flow, chemistry, etc. Guys are playing scared to make a mistake and get pulled which has been an issue with him for several seasons now.
 
saw some mathheads who figured out EA will pay out @$7 million to the players, just with 123 teams and all those players it ends up @$600 each

You mean this VVV mathhead?
So all the players that opt in to NCAA 25 get $600 and a copy of the game? Haha as if that’s compensation for them making a billion dollars off this game. What a joke.

Better than nothing but that’s still bs.*

*May break the PS4/5(I don’t even know which one I have) back out and buy this game still.
 
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That video definitely shows him more right than left. He still has a tendency jumping of that wrong foot which is weird AF to me for a life time baller.

It’s honestly killing him and his draft stock.
 

Not only is it intuitive that you need to be playing your best lineups most of the time to have the best results, but by playing your best lineups you build chemistry together and they become stronger. Playing all these different lineups puts us at a massive disadvantage, and what's strange is Cal you would think knows this. All of his best teams outside of 2015 (who lost somehow, hmm...) played that way with a tight 6-8 man rotation. And that's not just modern basketball, that's always been how the game works.
 
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Have a colleague that played minor league baseball. When he was in his late 40s, he found…..

- his AA Topps baseball card
- his Topps signed NIL contract
- his check from Topps

He never cashed it. It was for less than 10 cents. Has all that framed in his office now.
My Grandfather played minor league baseball for the the Portsmouth (VA) Truckers, and played semi-pro football for Portsmouth as well. One of his teammates was Ace Parker (NFL HOF QB)
 
Never thought I’d say this but I’m so glad to have the NBA back tonight. I’d never been an NBA guy until I started betting on the games but they are so much more fun to watch. Much better flow, less bullshit fouls, they don’t go the monitor 20 times a game, and you are almost always guaranteed to see something amazing happen.
 
Probably not a good time for this as everyone is depressed about the state of the program but whatevs, Cayman Islands breakdown:

Not sure what I was expecting to be honest, every place I’ve been to in the Caribbean (Jamaica, Antigua, Turks and Caicos) has had a similar theme: Nice resort, great beach, surrounded by abject poverty and slums where you don’t feel safe leaving your hotel. I was expecting the same thing with the caymans, especially since it was one of the cheaper rooms. We stayed in essentially an AirBNB 3 bedroom condo right on 7 mile beach. Went with my wife’s uncle and aunt as well as they are fun vacation partners with us.

We get out of the airplane and are getting a taxi to the condo and everything is just really…..nice. Beamers, Audis, Benz’s everywhere. As soon as we get to the condo I run across the street to the liquor store to stock up. Little hole in the wall liquor store - I walk in and there is gold, green, and red label blantons. 5 different types of Elijah Craig including an Elijah Craig 18 year. Clase Azul tequila, Dos Hombres mezcal, Crystal. I’m like WTF is happening. Go with my wife’s uncle to the grocery store Fosters right after - small bottles of truffle oil for 70 dollars, makes a Whole Foods look like a ghetto IGA. Ask him WTF is going on and he goes - it’s the Cayman Islands. Tons of offshore banking and the money laundering capital of the world. Had no idea!

Favorite restaurant:

Tilly’s at Palm Heights. Incredibly swanky and just the most fresh fish I’ve had. They also sold Cuban cigars (some for over 1,000 a pop) so I got 2 “cohiba siglo 2”. Never really had a cigar other than a puff here and there. Meh, I don’t know if they’re my thing. Its also very difficult for me not to inhale.

Favorite Bar:

Casa 43 tequila bar. The owner was a super nice South African guy (lots of South Africans in accounting live here apparently) - what a great accent. Had the most absurd tequila menu ive ever seen(like rare 10,000 bottles) Had a clase azul margarita pitcher for 190 which I found amusing. He was working on a new drink - the beef brisket margarita: used an avian tequila (due to its “citrus crisp”) and infused it with beef brisket from his smokehouse 49 restaurant right beside it (that had an absurd high end bourbon selection). He made us one and had us try it - it was surprisingly good. The repasoda mojito was my favorite however.

Just overall an incredibly nice, high end, great experience. We want to try either Atlantis or Baha Mar with the kids next year but would love to go back.

Had a layover in Charlotte on the way back so with the way the flight worked out got an AirBNB in NoDa and stayed the night as my wife’s cousin lives there. Got food poisoning eating fried oysters I think and was vomiting on the plane ride back and all day yesterday - haven’t been able to keep much down today so the added bonus of a great post vacation fast to make up for eating like a pig!
 
how was the beach? Wife and I almost went there but saw some concerning YouTube videos of seven mile beach not having much beach anymore. Wound up somewhere else in the Caribbean
 
Probably not a good time for this as everyone is depressed about the state of the program but whatevs, Cayman Islands breakdown:

Not sure what I was expecting to be honest, every place I’ve been to in the Caribbean (Jamaica, Antigua, Turks and Caicos) has had a similar theme: Nice resort, great beach, surrounded by abject poverty and slums where you don’t feel safe leaving your hotel. I was expecting the same thing with the caymans, especially since it was one of the cheaper rooms. We stayed in essentially an AirBNB 3 bedroom condo right on 7 mile beach. Went with my wife’s uncle and aunt as well as they are fun vacation partners with us.

We get out of the airplane and are getting a taxi to the condo and everything is just really…..nice. Beamers, Audis, Benz’s everywhere. As soon as we get to the condo I run across the street to the liquor store to stock up. Little hole in the wall liquor store - I walk in and there is gold, green, and red label blantons. 5 different types of Elijah Craig including an Elijah Craig 18 year. Clase Azul tequila, Dos Hombres mezcal, Crystal. I’m like WTF is happening. Go with my wife’s uncle to the grocery store Fosters right after - small bottles of truffle oil for 70 dollars, makes a Whole Foods look like a ghetto IGA. Ask him WTF is going on and he goes - it’s the Cayman Islands. Tons of offshore banking and the money laundering capital of the world. Had no idea!

Favorite restaurant:

Tilly’s at Palm Heights. Incredibly swanky and just the most fresh fish I’ve had. They also sold Cuban cigars (some for over 1,000 a pop) so I got 2 “cohiba siglo 2”. Never really had a cigar other than a puff here and there. Meh, I don’t know if they’re my thing. Its also very difficult for me not to inhale.

Favorite Bar:

Casa 43 tequila bar. The owner was a super nice South African guy (lots of South Africans in accounting live here apparently) - what a great accent. Had the most absurd tequila menu ive ever seen(like rare 10,000 bottles) Had a clase azul margarita pitcher for 190 which I found amusing. He was working on a new drink - the beef brisket margarita: used an avian tequila (due to its “citrus crisp”) and infused it with beef brisket from his smokehouse 49 restaurant right beside it (that had an absurd high end bourbon selection). He made us one and had us try it - it was surprisingly good. The repasoda mojito was my favorite however.

Just overall an incredibly nice, high end, great experience. We want to try either Atlantis or Baha Mar with the kids next year but would love to go back.

Had a layover in Charlotte on the way back so with the way the flight worked out got an AirBNB in NoDa and stayed the night as my wife’s cousin lives there. Got food poisoning eating fried oysters I think and was vomiting on the plane ride back and all day yesterday - haven’t been able to keep much down today so the added bonus of a great post vacation fast to make up for eating like a pig!

Been wanting to ask you- what’s the best tequila anejo in the $40-50 range?
 
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Been wanting to ask you- what’s the best tequila anejo in the $40-50 range?


Under 50 is tough for anejo, but these are really good ones:

-Tequila Ocho Anejo (hard to find so sometimes prices gets jacked up)

-Casa Noble - this is a great brand period (their blanco is one of my go tos). This one finishes sweeter so it’s a great sipper

-Espolon - this one is actually aged in wild turkey barrels so if you like bourbon it’s the most similar and great for old fashions
 
how was the beach? Wife and I almost went there but saw some concerning YouTube videos of seven mile beach not having much beach anymore. Wound up somewhere else in the Caribbean


Beach was great - I’d put it second behind Turks. A little bit of rocks for 2 feet then just soft sand with calm waters. Not a ton of beach but not overly crowded either.
 
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Under 50 is tough for anejo, but these are really good ones:

-Tequila Ocho Anejo (hard to find so sometimes prices gets jacked up)

-Casa Noble - this is a great brand period (their blanco is one of my go tos). This one finishes sweeter so it’s a great sipper

-Espolon - this one is actually aged in wild turkey barrels so if you like bourbon it’s the most similar and great for old fashions
-Those are indeed good recs and as he said under $50 for an anejo is tough, there are very good silvers/blancos for less. Anejo is def for sippin’.

-Back among the working today, thanks Obama…errr Trump…errr Biden, whoever’s fault it is I need to work anyway.

-A lot of pretty lonely and sad “males” out there these days. The way too many talk to women on social is a problem, drives me nuts. Like say that stuff in public and I’ll grab you by the cheeks one handed in front of god and everyone…

Just came up because some dude said some really gnarly stuff to a good female friend of mine.

Long story short, I went to his profile found his wife and children’s profiles and said you know this shit is public right?! Would you like to your family to see these messages?… they’re about to…

His profile was deleted within 20 minutes of my message 😆.

Don’t mess with someone who has nothing to lose lol.

-Excited to talk to people today! Majority of most days it’s me and the dog. There have been days where I’ve only spoken to one person in real life lol.
 
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We want to try either Atlantis or Baha Mar with the kids
Baha Mahr is fantastic, for both adults and kids. A few of us hit it up last summer and decided to rerack. Easy 4.5 hour hop from the states. Less than 10 minutes from the airport, so unlike Atlantis you don't have to feel like a POS when you're shuttled through the slums.

Plenty of options for kids/family with a wodie waterpark, and dedicated kid-friendly pools. Adults only options as well if you can get a day to yourself. Kids were seen but not, if you get my point. And I'm sure those looking to avoid the debauchery didn't have issues doing so.

Restaurants were top notch. Carna was one of the best meals I've ever had.

The key is to get yourself a @Wodie Sloot type in the group that takes the reigns and books the cabanas / restaurants / excursions and you just show up and follow their lead.
 
I’ve wanted to for years myself, but the family just refuses. The biggest issue I have is work.

I refuse to do the restaurant, server/bartender thing in my 40’s and other than that you pretty much go back to the same office type work that’s every where else, but without the idea your missing out on your beach lifestyle you moved for.

Honestly KY has gotten so mild during the winter I don’t really even see a deterrent here as far as weather goes.
 
My advice is MOVE to a destination location and then use your vacations to visit home, but that’s just me.
The fact that 99% of the American population can but chooses not to do this should tell you something, imo.

* 🤣 at Matt Jones using receipts from one of Calipari's God awful books on KSR yesterday. If you didn't hear it, in one of Calipari's books (I think it was Bounce Rich Paul's Balls Off My Chin but I could be mistaken) in Calipari's "own" obese, ghostwritten words Cal describes the SEC and NCAA tournament success of Billy Gillespie (and impliedly the last year or two of Tubby) were unacceptable by Kentucky standards.

The thing is, without at least an SEC Tournament title (which won't happen and I'll take bets on that) or one NCAA tournament win Billy Gillispie did better at UK than Cal has at UK in the 2020s (obviously this year is still to be determined).

* I need an audiobook recommendation. Anybody got anything?

Speaking of, I never really liked audiobooks but I've been recently getting into them. The quality on some of them is astonishing with music, special effects, etc.
 
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Tokyo Vice is a decent show on HBO or Max or whatever its called now. Just starting on its second season. It a Japanese Yakuza/Organized crime show which is pretty interesting. Its not a primary watch, but a nice one to click over to.

Obviously Sears is going to get his this weekend but I'm pretty worried about the matchup with the Reeves kid that looks like a young, pedo Nic Cage. Feel like he was on the radar as a transfer and for whatever reason we backed off.

Again, we have a guy on the coaching staff that is a sought after data/analytics guy- but for some reason what we put on the court is statistically some of the dumbest lineups we could come up with. We'd honestly have as good a chance to win games if we pulled 5 names out of a hat. Does Cal listen to assistants? Or anyone? What are we doing?
 
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