Aike’s Tourney Predictor 11/19/22 (11/20/22 Update Added)
- Thread starter Aike
- Start date
IU at number 2 pisses me off Aike.
If they win the title and we’re at home or loses to home not sure if the program could get lower.
They are 8 on Kenpom. Guess it’s crap too?
It’s early. Ratings will swing wildly with good and bad games.
I know. And i know and respect it’s all math. But even with it being math I still don’t have to like it.
They looked kind of scary last night. Now if they fall on hard times and crash so be it. I'm just saying.
Any model that slights Duke is a fine model
in my eyes!
in my eyes!
I can do this.
Nominal? Stats word?
Kentucky colors: vote.
Blue, Red, Orange, Purple.
Put in order from most likely to least.
I passed statistics.
Here’s the 11/20/22 Update. Not a ton of difference without many big games yesterday. Butler moved way up with a blowout.
Aike’s Tourney Predictor
Aike’s Tourney Predictor
Here is pomeroy rankng thru 11/19
here is sagarin
sagarin.usatoday.com
here is espn bpi
www.espn.com
Keep up the good work--always nice to compare various "systems"
here is the composite of 25 systems from last Monday, Nov 14
rr
here is sagarin
College basketball team ratings 2022-23 - Jeff Sagarin Ratings
here is espn bpi
2023-24 Men's College Basketball Power Index - ESPN
View the 2023-24 Men's College Basketball power index on ESPN. The BPI is the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season.
Keep up the good work--always nice to compare various "systems"
here is the composite of 25 systems from last Monday, Nov 14
rr
Thanks. Good to keep in mind that a lot of those systems have a starting point that includes predictions. It takes a while for all the data to be this season only.Here is pomeroy rankng thru 11/19
here is sagarin
College basketball team ratings 2022-23 - Jeff Sagarin Ratings
here is espn bpi
2023-24 Men's College Basketball Power Index - ESPN
View the 2023-24 Men's College Basketball power index on ESPN. The BPI is the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season.
Keep up the good work--always nice to compare various "systems"
here is the composite of 25 systems from last Monday, Nov 14
rr
Massey included my model in his composite last year, later in the season. He ended up last year using 40-60 different models per week.
Dude, give the brother cause to go to one source. YOU... Step it up Aike.... break his heart. 😁
Probably not? Maybe if it’s a close game? They are basically tied now, so if it’s a close game they will probably still be close to tied.
Aike, is there another thread where you explain your Predictor to Idiots (of which I am King)?
I’ve explained it through the years, probably less and less lately. I’ll give it to you in a nutshell…
It looks at the statistical profiles of recent tournament participants. Looks at how they played during the season, and how many games they won in the tournament.
From this information, it makes a prediction about how many games a team is likely to win in the upcoming tournament (assuming they make the tournament).
That’s the gist of it. I’m happy to get into more detailed specifics if you have any questions.
Thanks. That was succinct and sufficient. I somehow missed your past posts on this.
My hobby these (old man) days is betting on Sports.
Always looking for an edge. Hat Tip!
Obviously this is for entertainment purposes only. That being said, it becomes more and more accurate at predicting lines as the season goes on. Bit of a crapshoot this early.
My betting is for entertainment only too.
I worked too hard all my life to fritter it away.
But my brain works like yours.
Stats tell a story. You just have to figure it out!
Again...Hat Tip Aike.
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