1/21/24 Model Update

[Aike]

Cats hold at 11, but show improvement. Some re-shuffling among top teams.

1. Arizona 3.22
2. Houston 2.98
3. Iowa St. 2.69
4. Tennessee 2.68
5. Auburn 2.65
6. Purdue 2.57
7. Connecticut 2.38
8. Alabama 2.35
9. BYU 2.30
10. Kansas 2.22
11. Kentucky 2.08
12. Marquette 1.95
13. Michigan St 1.78
14. Duke 1.75
15. UNC 1.70
16. TCU 1.67


Rest of SEC:

23. Mississippi St
41. Mississippi
44. Florida
61. LSU
73. ATM
76. Missouri
90. South Carolina
98. Georgia
104. Arkansas
165. Vanderbilt

 

[Aike]

For the record, Arizona has dropped from 3.75 down to 3.22 over the past couple weeks. So things are tightening up.

Just as an aside, I saw something similar with UCONN last year. They were at 3.48 in mid-December, got beaten up in conference play and slipped to 2.43 by the start of the tournament. We all know how that turned out.

 

[Padsfs07]

Alabama finally dropped after getting crushed by Tennessee.

BYU never seems to drop, losing 3 of their last 5.

 

[Aike]

Alabama finally dropped after getting crushed by Tennessee.

BYU never seems to drop, losing 3 of their last 5.

May not seem like it, but BYU was 2nd 3 weeks ago and 6th 2 weeks ago.

 

[WeWant9]

The finish to the sec is going be a wild one. UK, Tenn, and Auburn all seem legit, and as we’ve seen, the middle of the pack teams are capable of beating anyone.

 

[DeerTurkHunter1]

Cats hold at 11, but show improvement. Some re-shuffling among top teams.

1. Arizona 3.22
2. Houston 2.98
3. Iowa St. 2.69
4. Tennessee 2.68
5. Auburn 2.65
6. Purdue 2.57
7. Connecticut 2.38
8. Alabama 2.35
9. BYU 2.30
10. Kansas 2.22
11. Kentucky 2.08
12. Marquette 1.95
13. Michigan St 1.78
14. Duke 1.75
15. UNC 1.70
16. TCU 1.67


Rest of SEC:

23. Mississippi St
41. Mississippi
44. Florida
61. LSU
73. ATM
76. Missouri
90. South Carolina
98. Georgia
104. Arkansas
165. Vanderbilt

Awesome we’re 4th in the SEC, unbelievable.

 

[Aike]

The finish to the sec is going be a wild one. UK, Tenn, and Auburn all seem legit, and as we’ve seen, the middle of the pack teams are capable of beating anyone.

For sure. Alabama is also extremely dangerous - especially if you have trouble guarding the other team.

 

[Aike]

Awesome we’re 4th in the SEC, unbelievable.

It’s a positive in that we get plenty of chances to get better. One thing holding us back is our relatively low pre-conference SOS.

 

[DeerTurkHunter1]

It’s a positive in that we get plenty of chances to get better. One thing holding us back is our relatively low pre-conference SOS.

But how? We played Kansas and Carolina. Two top 6 teams.

 

[DeerTurkHunter1]

It’s a positive in that we get plenty of chances to get better. One thing holding us back is our relatively low pre-conference SOS.

I do see your point. It is reasonable to say if we play 500 ball against those 3 teams head to head we hold our own??

 

[Aike]

But how? We played Kansas and Carolina. Two top 6 teams.

We played a lot of dogs too, including UNCW.

 

[Aike]

I do see your point. It is reasonable to say if we play 500 ball against those 3 teams head to head we hold our own??

If we play .500 vs. those teams, we should roughly hold serve. It’s more about how we play, really, but you can afford to play a bit worse when the team you play is much better than your average opponent has been.

 

[CatOfDaVille]

Interesting to see Mich St that high. I'm sure Izzo will figure out a way to take them to the S16.