Week 5 Gambling Thread
- Thread starter YaketySax
- Start date
I should be up so many units so far but I have tiny balls. I’m opening up the playbook this week. Gonna bet my top six leans instead of one or two, or sissy parlays.
Call me crazy but I think Texas is laying too many points. I like Miss St and the 36. I also like Oklahoma to beat Auburn. Finally I like Illinois and the 16.
I have changed my mind on UK I now think we are a sucker bet sort of like Georgia was a sucker bet when we played them. Not sure we're going to score many points. So I'm going to lay off that game
I did bet the san diego padres at 9-1 to win the world series
I did bet the san diego padres at 9-1 to win the world series
Fairly solid week last week (including NFL) YTD- 12-7-2
UL / ND under 47 - Both have stout D's, ND one dimensional in running, UL stout against the run. UL has beat nobody. Expecting game to be in the mid to upper 30"s (21-17 ish) Feel the line is too high because UL O v/s bad teams.
Colorado / UCF over 62 - Both have horrible D's, great offenses. UCH have gave up lots of points to scrubs SH State and others.
Colorado +16.5 (got this one early before dropping) See above. Neither team will win by DD's, may even look at ML for Buffs.
Central Michigan -2 v/s SD State - Home team less than a FG. Chips are good. At least better than SD State.
BC -11 v/s WKU - WKU will not be able to handle the BC attack. 14-17 point win for BC.
UL / ND under 47 - Both have stout D's, ND one dimensional in running, UL stout against the run. UL has beat nobody. Expecting game to be in the mid to upper 30"s (21-17 ish) Feel the line is too high because UL O v/s bad teams.
Colorado / UCF over 62 - Both have horrible D's, great offenses. UCH have gave up lots of points to scrubs SH State and others.
Colorado +16.5 (got this one early before dropping) See above. Neither team will win by DD's, may even look at ML for Buffs.
Central Michigan -2 v/s SD State - Home team less than a FG. Chips are good. At least better than SD State.
BC -11 v/s WKU - WKU will not be able to handle the BC attack. 14-17 point win for BC.
Read an interesting stat on NFL this Season. Teams that were getting 5.5 or more points this Season are something in the neighborhood of 14-1 in covering that. NFL pariity between the 32 teams is at all time high
Was just coming here to post that very thing. The one I read was 6 points or more, was 12-1, I think it said the underdogs -6 or more, had actually won outright of 7 of the 13. It talked about Aubrey's missed FG was a bad beat for Cowboy backers. 85% of the money was on Dallas -5 / -5.5. Hmm, There is a reason Vegas has all of those nice buildings.
^ Not so fast my friend. Georgia has looked a little "off" this year. O-Line has some issues. Bama looked really good, defense has been stout, near the top in sacks. Bama's D-Line along with Georgia's banged up O-Line, Bama MAY be the play.
Won the under 45.5 last night night in the Washington / Rutgers game. After 3 quarters it looked like a lock. Had a chance to "cash out" my bet with 10 minutes to go in the 4th. Option was for $44.85 on my $50 bet. Had a guaranteed $44.85 profit. Rolled the dice and damn near came up snake eyes. Luckily Washington has a really shitty kicker. They was down 11, got a TD and 2 point conversion to cut it to 3. Drove into Rutgers territory and missed a FG on the last play. That would have made it 21-21, OT would have been a sure loss (only needing 4 points combined). Learned a lesson. In the future, if a profit of that much is offered, I will gladly take it. It wasn't worth risking to make the extra $5.15 by not cashing.
Also in the Tech / Miami game, I had a game prop of "both teams to score a TD & FG in each half. All I needed was Miami to make ONE FG the entire second half. Nope, all three scores was TD's. When Tech lead 34-31, I was hoping they would stop Miami and the Canes would kick a FG to tie the game at 34. Nope, Ward ran 24 yards for a TD. A $10 bet would have paid me $600 (Prop was +2600).
Also in the Tech / Miami game, I had a game prop of "both teams to score a TD & FG in each half. All I needed was Miami to make ONE FG the entire second half. Nope, all three scores was TD's. When Tech lead 34-31, I was hoping they would stop Miami and the Canes would kick a FG to tie the game at 34. Nope, Ward ran 24 yards for a TD. A $10 bet would have paid me $600 (Prop was +2600).
5 Play Parlay
UK-Ole Miss. U52.5
UL-ND U 47.5
Ark-AM. Ark +5.5
Auburn-OU UA. -1.5
Bama-Ga. Total U 23.5 1st H.
$10 to win $246
UK-Ole Miss. U52.5
UL-ND U 47.5
Ark-AM. Ark +5.5
Auburn-OU UA. -1.5
Bama-Ga. Total U 23.5 1st H.
$10 to win $246
