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POLL: The Ultimate Question, it seems to me ??

Can a team win six (6) games in a row in late March, shooting 35 or more threes a game ??

  • YES

    Votes: 69 70.4%
  • NO

    Votes: 4 4.1%
  • POSSIBLY, buy highly doubtful ??

    Votes: 25 25.5%

  • Total voters
    98
  • This poll will close: .
If you really wanted to get into the analytics of it, a better measure would be 3 point attempts per possession, not 3 point attempts per game. One reason why we might be able to get up to the 35 attempt mark is because we will be playing a very high tempo offense.

The easiest way to look at this historically is to see what percentage of attempts were taken from 3 vs 2. Here are the champs since 2010:

2010- Duke: 33.0%
2011- UConn: 29.3%
2012- Kentucky: 26.5%
2013- Louisville: 30.0%
2014- UConn: 34.3%
2015- Duke: 33.4%
2016- Villanova: 42.8%
2017- UNC: 30.3%
2018- Villanova: 47.6%
2019- Virginia: 39.5%
2021- Baylor: 38.4%
2022- Kansas: 33.1%
2023- UConn: 41.7%
2024- UConn: 40.2%

It really took a big leap in 2016 which coincides with the leap the NBA took with the Warriors and subsequently the Rockets.

If you look at the average 3 point attempt rate from the final 4 teams since then, it shows the following:

2010: 33.5%
2011: 35.4%
2012: 28.8%
2013: 32.5%
2014: 33.9%
2015: 33.2%
2016: 38.1%
2017: 33.9%
2018: 41.8%
2019: 40.8%
2021: 36.4%
2022: 38.3%
2023: 38.4%
2024: 38.7%
 
People keep saying "No, you have to play good defense."

There's nothing about shooting a bunch of 3's that says you have to be terrible on defense. I certainly don't think Pope took the Kentucky job thinking he could neglect defense and shoot a bunch of 3's and win every game.
 
If you really wanted to get into the analytics of it, a better measure would be 3 point attempts per possession, not 3 point attempts per game. One reason why we might be able to get up to the 35 attempt mark is because we will be playing a very high tempo offense.

The easiest way to look at this historically is to see what percentage of attempts were taken from 3 vs 2. Here are the champs since 2010:

2010- Duke: 33.0%
2011- UConn: 29.3%
2012- Kentucky: 26.5%
2013- Louisville: 30.0%
2014- UConn: 34.3%
2015- Duke: 33.4%
2016- Villanova: 42.8%
2017- UNC: 30.3%
2018- Villanova: 47.6%
2019- Virginia: 39.5%
2021- Baylor: 38.4%
2022- Kansas: 33.1%
2023- UConn: 41.7%
2024- UConn: 40.2%

It really took a big leap in 2016 which coincides with the leap the NBA took with the Warriors and subsequently the Rockets.

If you look at the average 3 point attempt rate from the final 4 teams since then, it shows the following:

2010: 33.5%
2011: 35.4%
2012: 28.8%
2013: 32.5%
2014: 33.9%
2015: 33.2%
2016: 38.1%
2017: 33.9%
2018: 41.8%
2019: 40.8%
2021: 36.4%
2022: 38.3%
2023: 38.4%
2024: 38.7%
Great research and metrics !!
Are these solely for NCAA tournament games or for the entire season ??
 
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