POLL: The Ultimate Question, it seems to me ??

[aceman509]

If you really wanted to get into the analytics of it, a better measure would be 3 point attempts per possession, not 3 point attempts per game. One reason why we might be able to get up to the 35 attempt mark is because we will be playing a very high tempo offense.

The easiest way to look at this historically is to see what percentage of attempts were taken from 3 vs 2. Here are the champs since 2010:

2010- Duke: 33.0%
2011- UConn: 29.3%
2012- Kentucky: 26.5%
2013- Louisville: 30.0%
2014- UConn: 34.3%
2015- Duke: 33.4%
2016- Villanova: 42.8%
2017- UNC: 30.3%
2018- Villanova: 47.6%
2019- Virginia: 39.5%
2021- Baylor: 38.4%
2022- Kansas: 33.1%
2023- UConn: 41.7%
2024- UConn: 40.2%

It really took a big leap in 2016 which coincides with the leap the NBA took with the Warriors and subsequently the Rockets.

If you look at the average 3 point attempt rate from the final 4 teams since then, it shows the following:

2010: 33.5%
2011: 35.4%
2012: 28.8%
2013: 32.5%
2014: 33.9%
2015: 33.2%
2016: 38.1%
2017: 33.9%
2018: 41.8%
2019: 40.8%
2021: 36.4%
2022: 38.3%
2023: 38.4%
2024: 38.7%

 

[Cats192]

People keep saying "No, you have to play good defense."

There's nothing about shooting a bunch of 3's that says you have to be terrible on defense. I certainly don't think Pope took the Kentucky job thinking he could neglect defense and shoot a bunch of 3's and win every game.

 

[docholiday51]

They did but the question remains the same. Does Kentucky have any player close to what sears is?

Considering the number of shooters we have, yes we probably do. Do we have a player who can get to the basket and score

 

[megablue]

If you really wanted to get into the analytics of it, a better measure would be 3 point attempts per possession, not 3 point attempts per game. One reason why we might be able to get up to the 35 attempt mark is because we will be playing a very high tempo offense.

The easiest way to look at this historically is to see what percentage of attempts were taken from 3 vs 2. Here are the champs since 2010:

2010- Duke: 33.0%
2011- UConn: 29.3%
2012- Kentucky: 26.5%
2013- Louisville: 30.0%
2014- UConn: 34.3%
2015- Duke: 33.4%
2016- Villanova: 42.8%
2017- UNC: 30.3%
2018- Villanova: 47.6%
2019- Virginia: 39.5%
2021- Baylor: 38.4%
2022- Kansas: 33.1%
2023- UConn: 41.7%
2024- UConn: 40.2%

It really took a big leap in 2016 which coincides with the leap the NBA took with the Warriors and subsequently the Rockets.

If you look at the average 3 point attempt rate from the final 4 teams since then, it shows the following:

2010: 33.5%
2011: 35.4%
2012: 28.8%
2013: 32.5%
2014: 33.9%
2015: 33.2%
2016: 38.1%
2017: 33.9%
2018: 41.8%
2019: 40.8%
2021: 36.4%
2022: 38.3%
2023: 38.4%
2024: 38.7%

Great research and metrics !!
Are these solely for NCAA tournament games or for the entire season ??

 

[UKWildcats1987]

It's interesting 70% say yes.

The thing is it's never happened and probably never will.

I think all the talk of shooting 35 plus a game from 3 is hyperbole anyways.

 

[Son_Of_Saul]

Do you guys remember how good Heshimu Evans and Allen Edwards were on that '98 team? It feels like we have 8 or 9 guys in that caliber of player. No Ron Mercers, but a bunch of excellent players who would have been rotation pieces on some of our best teams.

Cohesion is the only real question at this point.

 

[Dontworryboutit23]

Considering the number of shooters we have, yes we probably do. Do we have a player who can get to the basket and score

Sears is significantly better than anybody we have on our roster. I still like Kentuckys team, but I agree with you, who is the player on this team who beats their defender

 

[bucsrule8872]

Interesting thought, our best defensive lineup is probably our worst shooting lineup.

G Butler- maybe the best backcourt defender in the country.
G Oweh- our best wing defender.
G Robinson- good defebder.
F Carr- underrated defender.
F Williams- one of the best frontcourt defenders in the country.

Some good, but not great shooters in that lineup. All hovering in the 30’s percentage wise.

Meanwhile, the best shooting lineup is probably:

G Kriisa- streaky, but good.
G Perry- unproven but maybe the best on the squad.
G Brea- best % in nation last year.
F Almonor- one of the best shooters at the 4 spot in the country.
F Garrison- a good defebder, just not as good as Williams on paper.

How does Pope mix and match? That will be interesting to watch.

 

[megablue]

It's interesting 70% say yes.

The thing is it's never happened and probably never will.

I think all the talk of shooting 35 plus a game from 3 is hyperbole anyways.

I tend to agree ... 35 is lot if threes.

 

[megablue]

Interesting thought, our best defensive lineup is probably our worst shooting lineup.

G Butler- maybe the best backcourt defender in the country.
G Oweh- our best wing defender.
G Robinson- good defebder.
F Carr- underrated defender.
F Williams- one of the best frontcourt defenders in the country.

Some good, but not great shooters in that lineup. All hovering in the 30’s percentage wise.

Meanwhile, the best shooting lineup is probably:

G Kriisa- streaky, but good.
G Perry- unproven but maybe the best on the squad.
G Brea- best % in nation last year.
F Almonor- one of the best shooters at the 4 spot in the country.
F Garrison- a good defebder, just not as good as Williams on paper.

How does Pope mix and match? That will be interesting to watch.

10000% this !!! ^^^^
He has to solve the matrix !!
His rotations and in-game personnel management will REALLY make this an interesting season. This year, especially, i think the non-conference home games should provide great opportunity to spread minutes and evaluate working combinations.