Somewhat. But it has been a pretty good predictor of the NBC/WSJ the last couple of weeks.
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Somewhat. But it has been a pretty good predictor of the NBC/WSJ the last couple of weeks.
Presidential races are far more volatile than is generally thought. Carter/Reagan race in 1980 was very close until the last week. In fact in the middle of October, Carter LED Reagan. Events matter right up until you go into the booth.
Holy shit something we agree on. Most people thought Mitt Romney won the first debate and Obama still kicked his ass.
My point being was polls don't mean shit until the next event.
You're comparing people and their votes in 1980 to people in 2016?
umm, yeah Moe. Totally relevant
I watched Carter Reagan debate this weekend. Watching that and doubting Idiocracy is coming should not happen. We have slipped.
This thread drove me back to look at historical polling. When Ross Perot dropped out of the race in 92, he'd been leading in the polls until shortly before that. Very weird. When Perot dropped out, Bush was ahead of Clinton 48-40. Within the month, Clinton had surged ahead 56-34!! When Perot re-entered the race, Bush was polling at 38%, Clinton at 51%. At the election Bush polled 37% -- a drop of 1%. Clinton had dropped to 43%. And yet the story persists that Bush would have won if not for Perot.
Presidential elections are really, really odd. Bob Dole's numbers at the voting booth were higher than any of his polling data. In the 3rd week of October, Romney led Obama by 3% and then lost by 4%. A 7% swing in around 2 weeks.
So, you never know.
Screwduke. Mitt Romeny f***** sucks. In no way and no shape would I ever vote for that turd.
He's the type of Republican that has us in this mess.
I was 5 in 1980. I don't know what it was like so I can't answer the typical voter mindset in 1980. But I do know the Gen X birthed the shit ass Millennials. I blame my peers. Trust me, if murder was legal. I'd be doing my part.
I agree. I was no fan either. Him and McCain were a complete joke.
Lmao Chuck Todd....
If that ain't the most crackerest name I ever heard.
If that ain't the most crackerest name I ever heard.
Totally agree. The fact that Paul Ryan doesn't like Trump makes me think Trump won't play the typical GOP bullshit game. Trump isn't there for the GOP, Hes there for the American people.
agreed. but even with his turdness, he only lost a few battleground states by barely over a percentage point. that 47% comment destroyed him. and Obama was/is ten times the politician/candidate Hillary is. not sure what i am getting at here. just mindless rumblings bored at work, waiting for this shitshow to start.
Please rattle off more free shit you can't afford to pay for. I'm sure Donald will add some even more to the list. Already out
He should of started with Hillary (Jane) you ignorant slut.......
This election would be over right there.
This election would be over right there.
The notion that Hillary has not had these questions in advance is BS. She's a complete liar.
This night will be Trump debating the moderator while Hillary pumps in rehearsed lines from her earpiece
This night will be Trump debating the moderator while Hillary pumps in rehearsed lines from her earpiece
Hillary probably saw these questions a week ago.
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