I don’t see why it has to be one or the other.
I feel like it is pretty much automatic Pope will get a first round win this year, with the caliber of players he’s able to attract here compared to what he beat Kansas with for BYU.
At the same time, in the highly unlikely chance he flubs his first year, why would I be pissed at him? He’d do all the being pissed at him for me. Plus, bare minimum, here is a guy who is passionate about winning every single game for Kentucky basketball following all our greatest traditions, who is fascinating to listen to and really answers questions, who plays a very exciting offensive style and a very scrappy defensive style, who has a tiny little ego, who is a Rhodes scholar, who respects my opinion and does not call me a Benny, who is trying his guts out to build a lethal team of high-IQ high-skill actual basketball players who love the university, love each other, are absolutely frenzied to win, and in general will be a lot more likely to want to hang around than the average under the last regime with at least no interest from the coach in making any splash on draft night.
Bare minimum. Guy like that, I honestly don’t see how I would be physically capable of being mad at him over a first-round loss his first year here. Sad, sure. Probably a lot more sad than usual lately because probably I will have grown to love his team and certainly I won’t be waiting for the other shoe to drop like I always was in March with post-2019 Cal. But I still don’t honestly see how I would be mad at him.
All the same, I have essentially zero expectation of a first round loss or of missing the tournament this year.