From Sunday:
We are still sitting at #10 overall with the committee IMO. We were 12 but Florida State and Virginia have dropped like a rock since the initial seedlings were announced. Should pass Florida if we beat them to get to #9. Gonna be tough to get into the top 8 unless one of those teams goes on a two game losing streak.
So......still a 3 seed.
Most of the teams ahead of us are in the same conferences. They all can't win their conference tournaments and many of them have games against each other to close out their conference regular seasons. Villanova and Gonzaga are the only teams ahead of us who won't bump into other teams ranked higher than us. We win out and the rest should shake out for us. Now that is not a given obviously, but it puts us in control of our own seed. Just win baby.
The preview bracket:
This Week:
Villanova - 1-1 Loss to Butler
Kansas - 1-0 (Texas game in progress)
Baylor - 1-1 Loss to Iowa State (1-3 in their last 4) Still have to play WV
Gonzaga - 2-0
North Carolina - 2-0 Pounded Louisville this week
Florida State - 2-0; 0-2 the prior week
Louisville - 1-1 Loss to North Carolina
Oregon - 2-0
Arizona - 1-0 Hosts UCLA in prime time tonight
Virginia - 1-1 Have lost 6 of last 9
Florida - 1-1 Loss to Kentucky; Starting C out for season
Kentucky - 2-0 Haven't lost since the preview bracket came out.
Kansas, Baylor, and West Virginia all play in the same conference tournament. Two are guaranteed one more loss.
UNC, Duke, Louisville, and Virginia all play in the same conference tournament. Three are guaranteed one more loss. UNC and Duke play each other in the regular season. Virginia has fallen out of contention.
UCLA, Oregon and Arizona play in the same conference tournament. One of them is guaranteed at least one more loss. Arizona and UCLA play tonight, with someone obviously taking a loss.
I would contend we have safely moved ahead of the following teams since this thing was put out:
Baylor
Florida State
Virginia
Florida (key injury is a factor)
I don't think anyone has done enough to jump us. Therefore that would make us the number 8 overall seed, which translates to a 2 seed.