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It honestly doesn't matter. We'd have to jump Washington St and one of either Florida or LSU to possibly sneak into one of the CFP6 games.
At this point, the only way it is not UK vs Penn State in the Citrus Bowl is if UGA wins a close game (keeping Bama in the playoffs at spot #4) AND Ohio State wins tonight. If that happens, Penn State will make the last at-large CFP6 spot and we would face Northwestern or Iowa in the Citrus.
If UGA and Ohio State win BUT Alabama gets blown out (which is starting to look more likely), Oklahoma may get the 4th playoff spot and knock Penn State out of the last at-large spot, putting them in the Citrus Bowl with us again.
I'm giving it a 50/50 shot right now of our opponent in the Citrus being Penn State.
I hadn’t looked at it that closely...thought that being top 12 would get you in, but looks like we would be one of the few top 12 teams to not get in if we jumped that much.