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7 of the 8 losses

Dontworryboutit23

Dontworryboutit23

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Jan 4, 2022
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7 of the 8 losses Kentucky has led or trailed by only 1 point in the second half and lost every single time
- Kansas game had a 14 point lead in the second half, blew the lead instantly and lost
-UNCW they came out flat and played cocky after a big win over Miami, they still got up 6 in the second half and choked in the second half
-Texas A&M- got up 7 in the second half, had multiple chances to get rebounds to put put some separation and didn’t, lose in OT
- SCAR- played like shit and got their ass kicked in the second half
-Florida- back and forth game, up 4 with 22 seconds left and choke the game away, calipari chooses not to foul up 3, cost him another game
-Tennessee- UT dominated but at 1 point it was 46-45, Kentucky had 2 chances to get rebounds to get momentum and blew it
- Gonzaga- shit start, Kentucky gets momentum in the second half, get a 6 point lead, and again chokes the game away.
scored on almost every possession for 12 straight mins by running 1 play
LSU- 15 point lead in the second half, disappears in 2 mins, shit defense, shit sub patterns, shit coaching, bad effort by players, and then you waste another unreal Rob effort. Just an inexcusable loss. The last play just highlights all the shit that is Kentucky basketball

So the point is In 6 of the 8 losses Kentucky should have won, if they just win the 3 at home they should have and tonight Kentucky is 22-4, and still in a great position, but they didn’t and now their tourney spot is up to chance and they still have to sweat out making the tourney
 
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Our defense is atrocious. Instead of becoming stingier late in games like most teams do, we play with more holes than Swiss cheese. It usually becomes more difficult to score late in games but we can’t get a stop.

In the Gonzaga game, the Zags scored on all but 4 of their possessions in the last 13 minutes and we had possession to win with 10 seconds to go.

It is obvious this team can’t defend when the other team needs to score.
 
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LineSkiCat14 said:
It tells me that we're probably not as bad as our record states.. but at the same time, if we can't play for a full 40, and we still have mental lapses, then we're going to lose more close games.
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I appreciate the positive outlook, but this just tells me whenever there is any game pressure or tight situation our coach and team will crumble every time
 
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ncaaky said:
Our defense is atrocious. Instead of becoming stingier late in games like most teams do, we play with more holes than Swiss cheese. It usually becomes more difficult to score late in games but we can’t get a stop.

In the Gonzaga game, the Zags scored on all but 4 of their possessions in the last 13 minutes and we had possession to win with 10 seconds to go.

It is obvious this team can’t defend when the other team needs to score.
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I noticed last night that I started transitioning from thinking we were going to get stops(because our defense was improving/LSU not that good) to HOPING we could get a stop. That feeling was what I had consistently had before the last couple games. I knew we were in trouble.

Another monster second half from a UK SEC opponent. Let’s just say that’s more the norm for us this year.
 
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WeWant9 said:
If the game is close, there’s a good chance UK is going lose…usually in a spectacular fashion.
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It’s why I laugh when all the cal cult group sit there and say March is all that matters and if they make a run to a final four. Kentucky’s defense isn’t good enough to win 4 games in a row. They may get 2 if they are lucky
 
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We never know what team is going to show up, we’re so consistent at being inconsistent & the mix matching of lineups in late Feb…….at this point, if Reed, Rob or Reeves don’t carry us then we’re not going to win. Thiero must play then a combo of bigs & Tre whenever his hang nails heal but I can’t say I have faith they’ll make a run. I’d love to eat crow but there’s too much evidence that says we won’t.
 
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It honestly wouldn’t surprise me if we made a deep run. Not going to say title, but Elite 8 and who knows what happens there.

But with Cal’s stubborn lineups, the more likely scenario is we go down first weekend because we played a few dudes 20 minutes that should be getting 6.
 
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chroix said:
The spitballing he’s been doing with the lineups is all the evidence you need. We have a championship caliber team. The coach doesn’t know what to do with it.
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THIS is the #1 issue….basketball is a game of continuity. The more a specific lineup plays together the better it gets at both offense and defense. You play a 8 man rotation unless foul trouble and you play players at the same intervals each game. It’s very obvious that Cal has made promises to: Wagner, Edwards, Bradshaw, and Big Z. Cal at the end of the season still won’t accept that in the half court Sheppard is clearly the best PG option and is still trying to force Wagner to do things he can’t right now. If he would shorten the playing rotation and play the best players we would be a lot better.
 
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chroix said:
The spitballing he’s been doing with the lineups is all the evidence you need. We have a championship caliber team. The coach doesn’t know what to do with it.
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This is the very reason Rob enters the game and isn’t comfortable passing the ball and playing defense right off the bat. He gets a foul and throws the ball away because he wants to do as much as he can because he knows Cal will limit his time. It is beyond ridiculous that he doesn’t start!!

Rob would be so much better(I know that sounds crazy as good as he’s been) if he could play looser from the opening tip til the end of the game!!!

Reed does pretty good coming off the bench, but it is even CRAZIER that he doesn’t start because of all of the things he gives the team.

DJ was being touted as a defensive stopper after the Auburn game but he reverted back last night and gave us NOTHING on the offensive end. And he is a WORSE passer than Rob!
 
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We've lost five games by five points or fewer and our Kenpom luck rating is 309th out of 362. Without it sounding like an excuse, it's probably fair to say this team could easily be 22-4 or so if a few things that broke against us broke for us.
 
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ukcatz12 said:
We've lost five games by five points or fewer and our Kenpom luck rating is 309th out of 362. Without it sounding like an excuse, it's probably fair to say this team could easily be 22-4 or so if a few things that broke against us broke for us.
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Luck, ie ability to win close games?
 
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STL_Cat said:
Luck, ie ability to win close games?
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It's more than that. As far as Kenpom's luck rating I dont know exactly what goes into it. There's always randomness involved somewhat and a bad team can win a string of close games and a good team can lose a string of close games. It happened a few years ago in the NFL with the Vikings. They were somehow 11-0 in one score games, and it turns out they weren't actually that good and a bad Giants team beat them in the first round of the playoffs.
 
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Dontworryboutit23 said:
7 of the 8 losses Kentucky has led or trailed by only 1 point in the second half and lost every single time
- Kansas game had a 14 point lead in the second half, blew the lead instantly and lost
-UNCW they came out flat and played cocky after a big win over Miami, they still got up 6 in the second half and choked in the second half
-Texas A&M- got up 7 in the second half, had multiple chances to get rebounds to put put some separation and didn’t, lose in OT
- SCAR- played like shit and got their ass kicked in the second half
-Florida- back and forth game, up 4 with 22 seconds left and choke the game away, calipari chooses not to foul up 3, cost him another game
-Tennessee- UT dominated but at 1 point it was 46-45, Kentucky had 2 chances to get rebounds to get momentum and blew it
- Gonzaga- shit start, Kentucky gets momentum in the second half, get a 6 point lead, and again chokes the game away.
scored on almost every possession for 12 straight mins by running 1 play
LSU- 15 point lead in the second half, disappears in 2 mins, shit defense, shit sub patterns, shit coaching, bad effort by players, and then you waste another unreal Rob effort. Just an inexcusable loss. The last play just highlights all the shit that is Kentucky basketball

So the point is In 6 of the 8 losses Kentucky should have won, if they just win the 3 at home they should and tonight Kentucky is 22-4, and still in great possesion, but they didn’t and now their tourney position is up to chance and they still have to sweat out making the tourney
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All of those point directly to poor coaching decisions. These aren't unlucky situations, they are created by bad choices, bad substitutions, and in some cases influenced by bad reffing.
 
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chroix said:
The spitballing he’s been doing with the lineups is all the evidence you need. We have a championship caliber team. The coach doesn’t know what to do with it.
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Yep, this is a coach that in the past has stuck with a 7 or at max 8-man rotation, and usually his best. Now he's back to rotating 10 guys at some of the most absurd times in the game, and the wackiest combinations. It makes zero sense.

But what do I know, I'm just a Bennie...
 
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It shows me that we have the talent to play with any college team in the country, but a coach who could lose with it to a church league team.
 
Dontworryboutit23 said:
7 of the 8 losses Kentucky has led or trailed by only 1 point in the second half and lost every single time
- Kansas game had a 14 point lead in the second half, blew the lead instantly and lost
-UNCW they came out flat and played cocky after a big win over Miami, they still got up 6 in the second half and choked in the second half
-Texas A&M- got up 7 in the second half, had multiple chances to get rebounds to put put some separation and didn’t, lose in OT
- SCAR- played like shit and got their ass kicked in the second half
-Florida- back and forth game, up 4 with 22 seconds left and choke the game away, calipari chooses not to foul up 3, cost him another game
-Tennessee- UT dominated but at 1 point it was 46-45, Kentucky had 2 chances to get rebounds to get momentum and blew it
- Gonzaga- shit start, Kentucky gets momentum in the second half, get a 6 point lead, and again chokes the game away.
scored on almost every possession for 12 straight mins by running 1 play
LSU- 15 point lead in the second half, disappears in 2 mins, shit defense, shit sub patterns, shit coaching, bad effort by players, and then you waste another unreal Rob effort. Just an inexcusable loss. The last play just highlights all the shit that is Kentucky basketball

So the point is In 6 of the 8 losses Kentucky should have won, if they just win the 3 at home they should and tonight Kentucky is 22-4, and still in great possesion, but they didn’t and now their tourney position is up to chance and they still have to sweat out making the tourney
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If you go back and look at a lot of games since Cal has been here, you will see that he loses a lot of games that he should have won.

Just about every time he has been eliminated in the tournament it was to a team that UK should have beaten.
 
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We also easily could have lost at Florida, probably should have lost to Saint Joes, easily could have lost to UNC, and were losing late at Arkansas. So really this team could be 14-12 if some breaks didn't go our way in those games.
 
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aceman509 said:
We also easily could have lost at Florida, probably should have lost to Saint Joes, easily could have lost to UNC, and were losing late at Arkansas. So really this team could be 14-12 if some breaks didn't go our way in those games.
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Put it this way. If Bradshaw and his Scud-missle 3 didn't go in, the gators get that win.

Bradshaw should never shoot another 3 at UK, unless he works on it every day over the summer and comes back next season.

But Cow gives him the green light.
 
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Dontworryboutit23 said:
7 of the 8 losses Kentucky has led or trailed by only 1 point in the second half and lost every single time
- Kansas game had a 14 point lead in the second half, blew the lead instantly and lost
-UNCW they came out flat and played cocky after a big win over Miami, they still got up 6 in the second half and choked in the second half
-Texas A&M- got up 7 in the second half, had multiple chances to get rebounds to put put some separation and didn’t, lose in OT
- SCAR- played like shit and got their ass kicked in the second half
-Florida- back and forth game, up 4 with 22 seconds left and choke the game away, calipari chooses not to foul up 3, cost him another game
-Tennessee- UT dominated but at 1 point it was 46-45, Kentucky had 2 chances to get rebounds to get momentum and blew it
- Gonzaga- shit start, Kentucky gets momentum in the second half, get a 6 point lead, and again chokes the game away.
scored on almost every possession for 12 straight mins by running 1 play
LSU- 15 point lead in the second half, disappears in 2 mins, shit defense, shit sub patterns, shit coaching, bad effort by players, and then you waste another unreal Rob effort. Just an inexcusable loss. The last play just highlights all the shit that is Kentucky basketball

So the point is In 6 of the 8 losses Kentucky should have won, if they just win the 3 at home they should and tonight Kentucky is 22-4, and still in great possesion, but they didn’t and now their tourney position is up to chance and they still have to sweat out making the tourney
Click to expand...
While true, it’s still the same team with the same coach. The results are not going to improve.

Losing close games is in Cal’s DNA.
Throughout his career it’s his defining stat.
 
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Losing that many close games where you were in control is an indication of poor in game management.

It’s the same as a football coach that always gives up end of half touchdowns bc poor clock management.

When talent wins out, the 1-3 situational decisions don’t matter as much. But in a possession for possession crunch time, the details make the difference.
 
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CUJO_1970 said:
Wow is this a real statistic?

How is this even possible?
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It's real. It was on ksr just a week ago. The statistic is pretty much on point I can't remember exactly it might have been three for 27 or 1 for 27 if it's bad. Depends on how many years you go back it's it's pretty bad
 
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BigRedMachineBigBlueNation said:
Something something it’s hard to win titles. Meanwhile UConn has won 5 titles in 25 years.
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Two of them courtesy of...

jJcfaYs.jpeg
 
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Dontworryboutit23 said:
7 of the 8 losses Kentucky has led or trailed by only 1 point in the second half and lost every single time
- Kansas game had a 14 point lead in the second half, blew the lead instantly and lost
-UNCW they came out flat and played cocky after a big win over Miami, they still got up 6 in the second half and choked in the second half
-Texas A&M- got up 7 in the second half, had multiple chances to get rebounds to put put some separation and didn’t, lose in OT
- SCAR- played like shit and got their ass kicked in the second half
-Florida- back and forth game, up 4 with 22 seconds left and choke the game away, calipari chooses not to foul up 3, cost him another game
-Tennessee- UT dominated but at 1 point it was 46-45, Kentucky had 2 chances to get rebounds to get momentum and blew it
- Gonzaga- shit start, Kentucky gets momentum in the second half, get a 6 point lead, and again chokes the game away.
scored on almost every possession for 12 straight mins by running 1 play
LSU- 15 point lead in the second half, disappears in 2 mins, shit defense, shit sub patterns, shit coaching, bad effort by players, and then you waste another unreal Rob effort. Just an inexcusable loss. The last play just highlights all the shit that is Kentucky basketball

So the point is In 6 of the 8 losses Kentucky should have won, if they just win the 3 at home they should and tonight Kentucky is 22-4, and still in great possesion, but they didn’t and now their tourney position is up to chance and they still have to sweat out making the tourney
Click to expand...

Yep, UNCW, Gonzaga, Florida are all just awful losses. Those three at minimum should be W's.
 
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ukcatz12 said:
We've lost five games by five points or fewer and our Kenpom luck rating is 309th out of 362. Without it sounding like an excuse, it's probably fair to say this team could easily be 22-4 or so if a few things that broke against us broke for us.
Click to expand...
Luck eventually evens out over time.
Going 1-27 in one possession games is not just bad luck. That is a trend.
 
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