UK still a 3-seed in updated bracketology

[Digger-Cat]

When you compare us with the other 2 and 3 seed possibilities, our resume is better.
Even our bad wins aren't bad. UGA just beat Florida and had them down by 26 at one point and Ohio State went and won at Purdue a couple weeks ago. Arkansas just beat Missouri and is actually pretty damn good right now.

 

[OmahaCats]

I feel like we'll hold on to a 3 seed as long as we beat OU and LSU and win one game in the SECT.

From listening to the committee chairman last week, it sounds like the committee is taking injuries and our ridiculous conference into account.

It’s wild to think that a 10 or 11 loss team could get a 3 Seed. But that just shows how strong the sec is this year

 

[Wildcats1st]

Go look at Palm’s bracket he released right before the tournament committee unveiled the top four seeds and compare…absolutely awful methodology this year. Lunardi was pretty close. This year Lunardi has been better than Palm

Since the 16 reveal no one has stepped up to seize our 3 seed. Too many good wins need to finish strong

 

[Tampa_cat54]

Go look at Palm’s bracket he released right before the tournament committee unveiled the top four seeds and compare…absolutely awful methodology this year. Lunardi was pretty close. This year Lunardi has been better than Palm

If I recall correctly, Palm nearly ALWAYS underseeds us. Don't think he is a big Kentucky guy.

Last year he regularly had us as a 5 or a 6 seed in his brackets, all the way until the end. We got a 3 seed.

 

[runt#69]

SEC will have all 4 final four teams if Lunardi's bracket holds up.....

 

[Cats192]

If I recall correctly, Palm nearly ALWAYS underseeds us. Don't think he is a big Kentucky guy.

Last year he regularly had us as a 5 or a 6 seed in his brackets, all the way until the end. We got a 3 seed.

Yeah.

I didn't save all the examples. But the last 4-5 years, it always seems like Palm has us lower than consensus and the committee.

 

[LineSkiCat14]

Just to give some an idea.. Kentucky dropped from a 3.31 to a 3.37 in Bracket Matrix.. meanwhile, St. Johns moved up to a 3.55 from I believe a 3.60. It's not a ton of movement.. but it's worth noting neither team played last night. So we know that brackets still take a few days to update, and it also shows just how close this can get down to the wire. There's only about 1.4pts that separates UK from being a 3-seed to being a 5-seed.. So while I still think even though the SEC play helps our SOS, even a loss can drop us just enough to fall into that 4-range, and any more losses could start seeing us dip close to being a 5.

 

[Cats192]

I'm pretty confident that we're currently a 3 seed. Most of the bracket matrix guys (check their Twitter feeds, not the website itself which lags by days) have us as a 3 seed.

I think as it stands, the top 6 are pretty set barring something shocking. I do think the last two 2-seeds are in play.

 

[LineSkiCat14]

I'm pretty confident that we're currently a 3 seed. Most of the bracket matrix guys (check their Twitter feeds, not the website itself which lags by days) have us as a 3 seed.

I think as it stands, the top 6 are pretty set barring something shocking. I do think the last two 2-seeds are in play.

Yeah, we're a 3-seed now. But we have work to do. like I could see a scenario where Mizz jumps us, IF they beat us, and we stumble a bit otherwise.

Also, I'm not factoring in SECT play.. but this should help us big time if we have our full team back. With Jrob and Butler I love our chances to win at least a game or two.. where as without them.. it was iffy. We do that and we're more than safe,

 

[ImTheVillageIdiot]

I'm pretty confident that we're currently a 3 seed. Most of the bracket matrix guys (check their Twitter feeds, not the website itself which lags by days) have us as a 3 seed.

I think as it stands, the top 6 are pretty set barring something shocking. I do think the last two 2-seeds are in play.

Is this team capable of winning out? I doubt they do it but it is POSSIBLE, given how this team has performed versus top teams. Should they manage to go 4-0 and have a good showing in the SECT, I have no doubt this team could snag a 2-seed. Is that going to happen? Most likely not. Hoping though 🤞

 

[LineSkiCat14]

I think healthy they could certainly make it to the SECTF. And possible they win it all. What stinks is that we're not gonna get a double bye, or maybe even a single bye. It's gonna be tough sledding.

 

[aceman509]

I think if we go 3-1 and win one game in the SEC tournament we have a decent shot at a 2 seed, as long as the one loss isnt against LSU. I know that sounds crazy, but that means we would add 4 more quad 1 wins and have no more bad losses, and would also mean we improve on our efficiency metrics like kenpom quite a bit

 

[ImTheVillageIdiot]

I think if we go 3-1 and win one game in the SEC tournament we have a decent shot at a 2 seed, as long as the one loss isnt against LSU. I know that sounds crazy, but that means we would add 4 more quad 1 wins and have no more bad losses, and would also mean we improve on our efficiency metrics like kenpom quite a bit

Beating Auburn or Missouri on the road are massive massive wins, so I could see it. Some teams would have to fail to grab quality wins I’d say

 

[Cats192]

Just going by Lunardi's latest for simplicity, not trying to argue how good he is or isn't.

I think the top 6 are pretty well set and will be some combination of these 6 teams

1's: Auburn, Duke, Alabama, Houston
2's: UT, Florida

Beyond them:
Michigan State: @Maryyland tonight, vs Wisconsin Sunday, @ Iowa March 6th, Michigan March 9th.
Texas A&M: Vanderbilt tonight, @Florida Saturday, Auburn March 4th, @LSU March 8th

Iowa State: (I actually think the loss to OK State hurts worse than them just falling to #9 overall, and we may leap them with a win tonight, certainly if we beat Auburn). Remaining games: Vs #17 Arizona, vs #25 BYU, @Kansas State (who is desparate).

Wisconsin: @Michigan State, @Minnesota, vs Penn State. Iowa probably winds up as a 2 seed, especially if they win @ Michigan State

Probably best case scenario: Michigan State loses tonight, Wisconsin loses Sunday.
Texas A&M loses hopefully 2/4 with Florida and Auburn on the schedule.
Iowa State could lose multiple.

We obviously have to take care of our own business. Win @Oklahoma and beat LSU. Win 1 of Auburn or @Mizzou--3 seed is safe. Win all 4, jump to a 2 seed.

For practical purposes, I'm not sure it matters a ton. Whoever you knock out of the 2 seed probably is the 3 seed we end up playing in the Sweet 16. I think the goal/hope is be a 2 or 3 to avoid the 1 seeds as long as we can (maybe even hope for an upset).

 

[HenryMuto]

No clue how this guy has Kentucky as #15 overall the 3rd 4th seed and has Texas Tech at #11 overall

Shelby's Bracket WAG

www.bracketwag.com

Both teams are 2-2 since the reveal show and at that time Kentucky was #10 and Tech #13

Kentucky has better losses lost at Texas and Bama while Tech lost at TCU and home to Houston

Kentucky was a combined 15 point dog in those 2 games while Tech was a combined 6 point favorite in their 2 losses.

Kentucky has better wins home to Vandy and at Oklahoma while Tech wins are Oklahoma State and home to West Virgina.

Make it make sense please

 

[ImTheVillageIdiot]

No clue how this guy has Kentucky as #15 overall the 3rd 4th seed and has Texas Tech at #11 overall

Shelby's Bracket WAG

www.bracketwag.com

Both teams are 2-2 since the reveal show and at that time Kentucky was #10 and Tech #13

Kentucky has better losses lost at Texas and Bama while Tech lost at TCU and home to Houston

Kentucky was a combined 15 point dog in those 2 games while Tech was a combined 6 point favorite in their 2 losses.

Kentucky has better wins home to Vandy and at Oklahoma while Tech wins are Oklahoma State and home to West Virgina.

Make it make sense please

It’s kind of like someone having four separate college teams in their profile picture. Does it mean someone is 35% a UK fan, 30% OSU, 25% Xavier and 10% Cleveland State, or do I have the percentages off?

Just kidding with ya.

 

[Cats192]

Some of the other bracket matrix guys have done their updates toay on Twitter.

Seeing multiple seed lists with us as the top overall 3.
I've seen 1 with us as the last 2.

 

[ImTheVillageIdiot]

Some of the other bracket matrix guys have done their updates toay on Twitter.

Seeing multiple seed lists with us as the top overall 3.
I've seen 1 with us as the last 2.

That’s not correct. Better go check again, we are in line for a 5 seed 😂

/s

 

[Cats192]

That’s not correct. Better go check again, we are in line for a 5 seed 😂

/s

Before I could finish typing this, we dropped to a 6.

 

[ImTheVillageIdiot]

Before I could finish typing this, we dropped to a 6.

Oh no and Arkansas is getting a three seed. We got screwed again!!!!!

 

[Digger-Cat]

Some of the other bracket matrix guys have done their updates toay on Twitter.

Seeing multiple seed lists with us as the top overall 3.
I've seen 1 with us as the last 2.

Texas a&m and Tennessee better be careful, they have tough schedules to finish out. Both are on the 2 line right now, but that might not hold.

If, somehow, the cats beat Auburn on Saturday and UT loses to Alabama, things will get interesting.

A&M… oof, they are @ Florida, Auburn and @LSU. I don't see them staying on that 2 line.

 

[HenryMuto]

The only thing that sucks is if we go 1-2 in the next 3 games we will likely drop to a 4 seed and these people will be "right" in the end.

 

[ImTheVillageIdiot]

The only thing that sucks is if we go 1-2 in the next 3 games we will likely drop to a 4 seed and these people will be "right" in the end.

Not according to Jack Pilgrim. According to KSR, we are projected a 3 seed “solidly” even if we go 1-2 and beat MSST in the SECT.

 

[yes_takeaside]

It is.. assuming Auburn and Mizz are maybe just too far out of reach for where the team is right now with injuries.

But.. it sounds like we will get Butler back in a week and maybe even Jrob for that final Mizz game.. so if that happens, I like our chances much more for potentially stealing a game from Mizz or even Auburn (although Auburn is gonna be tough no matter what).

Im just glad we got Vandy. That will go a long way in keeping us in a 5-seed and up range. Because had we lost that game, we would then HAVE to win some of these upcoming games or we would be looking at the potential of a 6-seed.

Will keep repeating this. A 6 seed is way better than a 4/5 not that I think Cats will lose to LSU which would have to happen

 

[ImTheVillageIdiot]

Will keep repeating this. A 6 seed is way better than a 4/5 not that I think Cats will lose to LSU which would have to happen

As long as we don’t crap the bed in SECT and take care of LSU, sounds like we will likely end up a 3 seed regardless according to Sources Say KSR

 

[HogFan2012]

As of now your the 2nd 3 seed.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GkxON-GWMAAKPC9?format=jpg&name=900x900

 

[bucsrule8872]

We won’t be penalized by losing against the #1 team in the NET.

We won’t be penalized for losing to the #12 team in the NET playing on the road.

We are most likely a 3 seed, unless:

1. we lose to LSU. Quad 3 game. That would hurt.

2. we lose the first game in the SEC to a Quad 2 team. Only two teams would be Quad 2 losses in the tourney right now and that’s LSU and SCAR. OU is teetering on the line at NET #50 (51-100 are Quad 2 at a neutral site). The rest of the tourney will be Quad 1 games.

3. most of the other teams fighting for 3 and 4 seeds go on impressive runs to end their season and tourneys.

Any combination of those 3 things could push us down to a 4 seed.

If we lose out and several other teams get hot, we might drop to a 5 seed. But the chances of that happening is slim to none.

Right now, we are sitting pretty as a 3 that could slip to a 4, if a lot of things go wrong for us.

But a 5 seed seems a bit of a stretch given our resume. Don’t forget we have four wins over the NET top 5. Not many teams can say that.

 

[Princecal]

We won’t be penalized by losing against the #1 team in the NET.

We won’t be penalized for losing to the #12 team in the NET playing on the road.

We are most likely a 3 seed, unless:

1. we lose to LSU. Quad 3 game. That would hurt.

2. we lose the first game in the SEC to a Quad 2 team. Only two teams would be Quad 2 losses in the tourney right now and that’s LSU and SCAR. OU is teetering on the line at NET #50 (51-100 are Quad 2 at a neutral site). The rest of the tourney will be Quad 1 games.

3. most of the other teams fighting for 3 and 4 seeds go on impressive runs to end their season and tourneys.

Any combination of those 3 things could push us down to a 4 seed.

If we lose out and several other teams get hot, we might drop to a 5 seed. But the chances of that happening is slim to none.

Right now, we are sitting pretty as a 3 that could slip to a 4, if a lot of things go wrong for us.

But a 5 seed seems a bit of a stretch given our resume. Don’t forget we have four wins over the NET top 5. Not many teams can say that.

Can any other team say that? Auburn would be my only guess.