UK still a 3-seed in updated bracketology

[Digger-Cat]

When you compare us with the other 2 and 3 seed possibilities, our resume is better.
Even our bad wins aren't bad. UGA just beat Florida and had them down by 26 at one point and Ohio State went and won at Purdue a couple weeks ago. Arkansas just beat Missouri and is actually pretty damn good right now.

 

[OmahaCats]

I feel like we'll hold on to a 3 seed as long as we beat OU and LSU and win one game in the SECT.

From listening to the committee chairman last week, it sounds like the committee is taking injuries and our ridiculous conference into account.

It’s wild to think that a 10 or 11 loss team could get a 3 Seed. But that just shows how strong the sec is this year

 

[Wildcats1st]

Go look at Palm’s bracket he released right before the tournament committee unveiled the top four seeds and compare…absolutely awful methodology this year. Lunardi was pretty close. This year Lunardi has been better than Palm

Since the 16 reveal no one has stepped up to seize our 3 seed. Too many good wins need to finish strong

 

[Tampa_cat54]

Go look at Palm’s bracket he released right before the tournament committee unveiled the top four seeds and compare…absolutely awful methodology this year. Lunardi was pretty close. This year Lunardi has been better than Palm

If I recall correctly, Palm nearly ALWAYS underseeds us. Don't think he is a big Kentucky guy.

Last year he regularly had us as a 5 or a 6 seed in his brackets, all the way until the end. We got a 3 seed.

 

[runt#69]

SEC will have all 4 final four teams if Lunardi's bracket holds up.....

 

[Cats192]

If I recall correctly, Palm nearly ALWAYS underseeds us. Don't think he is a big Kentucky guy.

Last year he regularly had us as a 5 or a 6 seed in his brackets, all the way until the end. We got a 3 seed.

Yeah.

I didn't save all the examples. But the last 4-5 years, it always seems like Palm has us lower than consensus and the committee.

 

[LineSkiCat14]

Just to give some an idea.. Kentucky dropped from a 3.31 to a 3.37 in Bracket Matrix.. meanwhile, St. Johns moved up to a 3.55 from I believe a 3.60. It's not a ton of movement.. but it's worth noting neither team played last night. So we know that brackets still take a few days to update, and it also shows just how close this can get down to the wire. There's only about 1.4pts that separates UK from being a 3-seed to being a 5-seed.. So while I still think even though the SEC play helps our SOS, even a loss can drop us just enough to fall into that 4-range, and any more losses could start seeing us dip close to being a 5.

 

[Cats192]

I'm pretty confident that we're currently a 3 seed. Most of the bracket matrix guys (check their Twitter feeds, not the website itself which lags by days) have us as a 3 seed.

I think as it stands, the top 6 are pretty set barring something shocking. I do think the last two 2-seeds are in play.

 

[LineSkiCat14]

I'm pretty confident that we're currently a 3 seed. Most of the bracket matrix guys (check their Twitter feeds, not the website itself which lags by days) have us as a 3 seed.

I think as it stands, the top 6 are pretty set barring something shocking. I do think the last two 2-seeds are in play.

Yeah, we're a 3-seed now. But we have work to do. like I could see a scenario where Mizz jumps us, IF they beat us, and we stumble a bit otherwise.

Also, I'm not factoring in SECT play.. but this should help us big time if we have our full team back. With Jrob and Butler I love our chances to win at least a game or two.. where as without them.. it was iffy. We do that and we're more than safe,

 

[ImTheVillageIdiot]

I'm pretty confident that we're currently a 3 seed. Most of the bracket matrix guys (check their Twitter feeds, not the website itself which lags by days) have us as a 3 seed.

I think as it stands, the top 6 are pretty set barring something shocking. I do think the last two 2-seeds are in play.

Is this team capable of winning out? I doubt they do it but it is POSSIBLE, given how this team has performed versus top teams. Should they manage to go 4-0 and have a good showing in the SECT, I have no doubt this team could snag a 2-seed. Is that going to happen? Most likely not. Hoping though 🤞

 

[LineSkiCat14]

I think healthy they could certainly make it to the SECTF. And possible they win it all. What stinks is that we're not gonna get a double bye, or maybe even a single bye. It's gonna be tough sledding.

 

[aceman509]

I think if we go 3-1 and win one game in the SEC tournament we have a decent shot at a 2 seed, as long as the one loss isnt against LSU. I know that sounds crazy, but that means we would add 4 more quad 1 wins and have no more bad losses, and would also mean we improve on our efficiency metrics like kenpom quite a bit

 

[ImTheVillageIdiot]

I think if we go 3-1 and win one game in the SEC tournament we have a decent shot at a 2 seed, as long as the one loss isnt against LSU. I know that sounds crazy, but that means we would add 4 more quad 1 wins and have no more bad losses, and would also mean we improve on our efficiency metrics like kenpom quite a bit

Beating Auburn or Missouri on the road are massive massive wins, so I could see it. Some teams would have to fail to grab quality wins I’d say

 

[Cats192]

Just going by Lunardi's latest for simplicity, not trying to argue how good he is or isn't.

I think the top 6 are pretty well set and will be some combination of these 6 teams

1's: Auburn, Duke, Alabama, Houston
2's: UT, Florida

Beyond them:
Michigan State: @Maryyland tonight, vs Wisconsin Sunday, @ Iowa March 6th, Michigan March 9th.
Texas A&M: Vanderbilt tonight, @Florida Saturday, Auburn March 4th, @LSU March 8th

Iowa State: (I actually think the loss to OK State hurts worse than them just falling to #9 overall, and we may leap them with a win tonight, certainly if we beat Auburn). Remaining games: Vs #17 Arizona, vs #25 BYU, @Kansas State (who is desparate).

Wisconsin: @Michigan State, @Minnesota, vs Penn State. Iowa probably winds up as a 2 seed, especially if they win @ Michigan State

Probably best case scenario: Michigan State loses tonight, Wisconsin loses Sunday.
Texas A&M loses hopefully 2/4 with Florida and Auburn on the schedule.
Iowa State could lose multiple.

We obviously have to take care of our own business. Win @Oklahoma and beat LSU. Win 1 of Auburn or @Mizzou--3 seed is safe. Win all 4, jump to a 2 seed.

For practical purposes, I'm not sure it matters a ton. Whoever you knock out of the 2 seed probably is the 3 seed we end up playing in the Sweet 16. I think the goal/hope is be a 2 or 3 to avoid the 1 seeds as long as we can (maybe even hope for an upset).