Time to lay down its hard to beat a team 3 times

[HalHR2500]

That is the most overblown statement ever, it’s about matchups and personnel usually the same the third time around

Matchups, matchups, matchups

UK cannot beat Bama period, but they can beat UT 3 times

Why it’s matchups and personnel

Time to put that old axiom to bed

 

[Cats192]

That is the most overblown statement ever, it’s about matchups and personnel usually the same the third time around

Matchups, matchups, matchups

UK cannot beat Bama period, but they can beat UT 3 times

Why it’s matchups and personnel

Time to put that old axiom to bed

In 2019, we beat Auburn twice before the tournament. Then they beat us in the Elite 8.

 

[UKWildcats1987]

In 2019, we beat Auburn twice before the tournament. Then they beat us in the Elite 8.

And LSU in 86.

 

[cats#1again]

In 2019, we beat Auburn twice before the tournament. Then they beat us in the Elite 8.

We blew them out and 20 days later lost to them. It happens
UT is playing best of the season right now too

 

[Rideordiewildcat]

In 2019, we beat Auburn twice before the tournament. Then they beat us in the Elite 8.

3 times actually. Twice reg. season and in SECT.

 

[UKWildcats1987]

3 times actually. Twice reg. season and in SECT.

We didn't play AU in 2019 sec tournament. We lost to UT in semis and then AU clobbered UT n finals.

 

[Rideordiewildcat]

We didn't play AU in 2019 sec tournament. We lost to UT in semis and then AU clobbered UT n finals.

Shit that's right.

 

[BC_Wader]

And LSU in 86.

Didn't we beat them three times?Then we got Ricky Blantoned!

 

[UKWildcats1987]

Didn't we beat them three times?Then we got Ricky Blantoned!

Yeah u are right. Before my time. 4th time wasn't the charm n 86

 

[rick64]

Correct. In 1986 UK beat LSU 3X. 2X in the regular season and 1X in the SECT.

Then......

Kentucky vs. Louisiana State (March 22, 1986)

 

[jeffky]

That is the most overblown statement ever, it’s about matchups and personnel usually the same the third time around

Matchups, matchups, matchups

UK cannot beat Bama period, but they can beat UT 3 times

Why it’s matchups and personnel

Time to put that old axiom to bed

Tenn may not get there ucla and Utah state both are decent teams you got to remember tenn has a hard time scoring other than Lanier they don't have a prolific scorer . We are a bad match up for tenn

 

[know1]

I think there's a chance we have the Vol's number this year. We shouldn't have beaten them on paper either game and we did.

 

[Catzman]

Its not impossible, but remember the 2012 team beat Vandy twice regular season and lost in SEC tournament...

 

[Digger-Cat]

In 2019, we beat Auburn twice before the tournament. Then they beat us in the Elite 8.

We don't have Cal anymore. Part of it was Auburn was scolding hot in that tournament, but I'm going to say most of it was Cal. Just look at Cal's results in the tournament after that 2019 loss. Embarrassment, after embarrassment, after embarrassment.

 

[AmericanDragon]

No one said it’s impossible, just hard, and thus you contradicted yourself after just three sentences.

 

[JimboBBN]

My first thought when I saw the draw as well. Why the Vols they’ll be out for blood.

Then I looked at the other two seeds and considered it not so bad. We avoided Pitino, Izzo, and Bama.

 

[kats23]

Both teams have to get there first. I'll worry about Tennesee when Tennesee is in front of us. We have two more ballgames before that and we're still banged up. A run to the Sweet 16 rests on a bruised and battered shoulder of Lamont Butler

 

[baseball is life]

Gotta get to them first

 

[NociHTTP]

No one said it’s impossible, just hard, and thus you contradicted yourself after just three sentences.

And he hasn't been in here all season, and pops up just now to say that.

 

[Seth_C]

Unfortunately, it IS hard to beat a good team 3 times. It just is. Okay, let's say we are better than them, but how much better? Let's say we are so much better that you expect us to win 4 out of 5 times we play -- we are much better than them. So any one game you figure we have an 80% chance to win. Now, that remains true in any one game, and technically if we meet them that is just one game, so we would have an 80% chance of winning.

However, our odds of winning 3 out of 3 against them is only 51.2% in this scenario. Winning 4 of 4 would be even less likely, at only 41%.

 

[Catfan in Tn.]

Just beat Troy.

 

[wildcat2243]

If UTs guards are not making shots. We should beat them.

 

[Butters' Dad]

This is like counting eggs instead of chickens.

 

[JumperJack]

Matchups are important but that axiom has a lot of truth. Familiarity matters.

Beside, this bunch needs to worry about Troy.

 

[billoliver40]

Don't worry about Tennessee. Worry about Troy.

 

[HalHR2500]

Team that wins first two, win approximately 72% for game 3 - because of the matchups

According to STATS LLC., there have been 981 similar matchups across Division I college basketball over the past 10 seasons. The teams entering the third game 2-0 are a combined 710-271 (.724 winning percentage) in the third meeting.

UK can’t beat Bama no matter how many times they could play this year, but they can beat TN

Zakir Ziegler freezes up against Big Blue, in fact their whole team has some mental block

The theory usually is used by team that won first two and lost last game as an excuse

 

[blue cincy]

Enjoy the ride, one game at a time. Almost every tourney each team no matter how good, has a game they could have lost. UK will have to be on their A game more than ever. I think with the leadership (guys that have played in tourney), we will be fine. Does not mean we win but out of our region (our half of the bracket) we can beat all teams and we could be upset by most of the teams. I think we will be in the 2nd weekend. From there it will be a toss up. We might have 2 hard wins this weekend or we might beat 2 teams rather easily. Just have to see how it plays out. GO BIG BLUE!!!!!!!

 

[CastleRubric]

Correct. In 1986 UK beat LSU 3X. 2X in the regular season and 1X in the SECT.

Then......

Kentucky vs. Louisiana State (March 22, 1986)

And had to beat Alabama a fourth time the game before that

 

[BlueSince92]

??????????

Did you just say time to lay down?

 

[twwilliams9]

Gotta love the insightful comments from these posters, 'We gotta get past Troy first”…..well no sh-*t sherlock! It's not like we didn't already know that. Still, speculating about potential future matchups is always a fun way to pass time and engage in discussion with basketball junkies.

 

[Edgarman]

That is the most overblown statement ever, it’s about matchups and personnel usually the same the third time around

Matchups, matchups, matchups

UK cannot beat Bama period, but they can beat UT 3 times

Why it’s matchups and personnel

Time to put that old axiom to bed

We have two games as does TN before that match up could occur. Personally, it will be a dog fight to get to the sweet 16. Not saying we won't or can't, but we best bring our A game. In the NCAAT, throwing your jock strap on the court will NOT get you a win. Back in the 80's and 90's it might get you a few wins since very few schools cared much about basketball. Today many mid-major programs can beat your ass if you are not focused. Ask Cal if it can happen. This year there are 10 or 12 schools that could win it all. NIL has dispersed talent so much that there is not a slam dunk projected winner. I doubt going forward there will ever be a dominate program in college basketball. Too many schools today care about basketball and most have deep pockets.

 

[MrHotDice]

In 2019, we beat Auburn twice before the tournament. Then they beat us in the Elite 8.

Uk can beat anyone because none of the games have a flow and just becomes point runs. The reverse can happen as well.

 

[Rockford]

I'd rather be playing a team having beaten them twice than losing to them twice

 

[Emarc]

dont overlook Tx or Illini.

 

[SmyrnaCatFan]

Don't forget the NCAA ref treatment we get.

 

[HenryMuto]

Kentucky has to make it that far first before we even worry about it see past tournaments

 

[The_Answer1313]

I swear I had read a Kenpom article about this topic.....

 

[NKYWildcat]

We match up better vs Tennessee than we do the other teams. They arent as offensive oriented as the other three "top SEC teams" and we seem to match up with them man for man, size vs size, and athleticsm vs athleticsm at all five positions. Thats not the case with the others, especially Bama and Auburn. We didnt have Butler and had like two possessions of Carr in Knoxville. I think the whole gang started in Lexington, but Butler went out midway through the second half....we actually made the big push to win without him in the game if I remember correctly.

We've shot the three well against them both games, and goaded them into shooting 45 (!!!) threes in Knoxville, and then they only went 3-18 from three in Rupp. Beating them a third time will require pretty mich the same blueprint.

 

[wildcat_nation28]

got to win the first 2 game first

 

[OHIO COLONEL]

Correct. In 1986 UK beat LSU 3X. 2X in the regular season and 1X in the SECT.

Then......

Kentucky vs. Louisiana State (March 22, 1986)

I was having dinner at Bone's (lived in Atlanta....one of the best steak houses in the country) when these very tall guys starting walking in and sitting at some tables the staff had scooted together. Then a guy walked in behind them I recognized....Dale Brown. After we got done with dinner I walked over and told him I was a UK grad and wished them a good game. Jinxed us I guess.