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Stock Advice Thread

Same thought I had when I stumbled across Mampilly 2018ish. He looks for mega trends that will play out and then finds the best companies that will benefit from that trend. Many of the names I was in or looking at for my "investment" account were in his model portfolio.

On an unrelated note: I had never heard of "Reddit" until this past Wed. On Wed. evening I noticed that the biggest long position I have in my "trading" account had popped from $13ish to $16ish in the after hours. It's a silver miner by the name of First Majestic Silver (symbol AG). I figured I best look to see what's out there on the wire: maybe they released some news, maybe some rumor, figured it had to be something cause the volume was strong as well.

What did I find? Some folks on some site called Reddit Moneybets or something like that had started to buy AG because of the large short position (22 - 24% of float).

So now, given that I was already heavily long sliver miners, with AG being the largest position, I'm rooting for the Reddit crowd and their #silversqueeze movement, lol.
AG up yuge! But 10% off the high also with a story about Mexican tax fraud.
 
AG up yuge! But 10% off the high also with a story about Mexican tax fraud.

The disputed Mexican tax issue is from last year and helped to get the short position to 23% of float in the first place. Last Wed. night there was a preliminary favorable ruling from a judge.

If you want to provide a link to the story you are referring to, I can tell you whether it's something being re-circulated or actually a new development since last Wed's preliminary ruling.

The tax dispute will play out and wouldn't be surprised if it ends up in international tribunal/court.
 
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The disputed Mexican tax issue is from last year and helped to get the short position to 23% of float in the first place. Last Wed. night there was a preliminary favorable ruling from a judge.

If you want to provide a link to the story you are referring to, I can tell you whether it's something being re-circulated or actually a new development since last Wed's preliminary ruling.

The tax dispute will play out and wouldn't be surprised if it ends up in international tribunal/court.

Just read what was put out on today's wire. Didn't see anything that wasn't already known/baked-in.

First take is that it's the typical re-hash of something being put out to try to shake a few folks who don't know any better.
 
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It did! Unfortunately, I only own 55 shares. I was considering buying more Friday but didn't.

It was unfortunate that word leaked out about the THCB agreement late last night that ran up the PM this morning. Price went up to 27 in the PM. I was hoping for the release in the morning after market open and it would have done a lot better than it has thus far today. Still a lot of upside here.

My plan was to parlay those THCB profits into CCIV today and increase my position with CCIV. Oh well, still waiting on a dip with CCIV to add there. That said, with THCB at $12.5 average, I am going to hold for awhile and see what happens.

On a different note, I can't believe what WKHS is doing. It may be a mistake, but I took some profits and sold some shares with it spiking over 38 ... might parlay some of that into CCIV.
 
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Last couple of days have seen some red, but been having a lot of fun with the SPAC world.

To name a few:
  • PIC, merger with XL Fleet on Dec. 21st, bought at 12, expecting 25
  • SBE, merger to be with ChargePoint, bought it late at 15. but has been above 40 now
  • QS has been a beast, didn't expect to hit 80 now in the 70's
  • THCB, another battery play, merger to be with Microvast, bought at 11.9, could it be a beast like SBE and QS
  • BFT, merger to be with Paysafe, bought at 12, going to be a beast
  • GIK, merger to be with Lightning Motors, bought at 12, should see 20+
  • NGA, merger to be with Lion Electric, should see 20-25+
  • WKHS, survived the delay in the USPS contract, still holding long for big reward in 1st Q 2021
  • RIDE, the gap in the chart in the 18 range hopefully filled today, still holding long for big reward in 2021

This update post from December 10, 2020 has worked out fairly well "thus far". Hoping things stay positive in the market ...
  • I ended up selling my entire position on PIC upon merger with XL for 35
  • I ended up selling all of SBE at 35 and buying some other SPAC's
  • I sold all of QS at a peak and reinvested those profits
  • THCB had DA today, still holding and hoping for a good run here
  • BFT, currently at 16+, I am probably going to hold post-merger
  • GIK, currently at 15+, have to see how this plays out if it has any XL run in it or not
  • NGA, currently at 26, I was asleep at the wheel when it hit 35 and didn't sell and then buy back in after the dip ... that was a mistake on my part, now I probably hold post-merger
  • WKHS has hit 38-40 in January, and I have sold some of the position for profit and still holding for decision on USPS contract to see if a big spike can get hit
  • RIDE, has been flat, but I like this long-term and am holding
  • Some new positions include THBR, IPOF at 12.4, GSAH at 11.3, WPF at 11, and CCIV at 17.
Would welcome any other suggestions on new positions in the SPAC world.
 
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The disputed Mexican tax issue is from last year and helped to get the short position to 23% of float in the first place. Last Wed. night there was a preliminary favorable ruling from a judge.

If you want to provide a link to the story you are referring to, I can tell you whether it's something being re-circulated or actually a new development since last Wed's preliminary ruling.

The tax dispute will play out and wouldn't be surprised if it ends up in international tribunal/court.
Just read what was put out on today's wire. Didn't see anything that wasn't already known/baked-in.

First take is that it's the typical re-hash of something being put out to try to shake a few folks who don't know any better.
I'm reading nothing new as well although it's dated today but see for yourself.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-mexican-tax-authorities-seek-135113792.html

AG finished up 22% today. HL was up 28% also as the silver trade is on. Some of the pot names with high short interest had a great day as well. SNDL was up 48%.

This Reddit group buying is not going away it seems.
 
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I'm reading nothing new as well although it's dated today but see for yourself.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-mexican-tax-authorities-seek-135113792.html

AG finished up 22% today. HL was up 28% also as the silver trade is on. Some of the pot names with high short interest had a great day as well. SNDL was up 48%.

This Reddit group buying is not going away it seems.


Yeah, what I saw was dated today by Reuters, but same---nothing new.

I'm bullish silver miners long term and have been for a year or so from the $13 - $15 oz paper spot price. Personally view silver in the early innings of a long term bull market.

Certainly welcome the additional buying interest be it from Reddit or whomever. Will add some yeast to what can already be a volatile trade.
 
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This update post from December 10, 2020 has worked out fairly well "thus far". Hoping things stay positive in the market ...
  • I ended up selling my entire position on PIC upon merger with XL for 35
  • I ended up selling all of SBE at 35 and buying some other SPAC's
  • I sold all of QS at a peak and reinvested those profits
  • THCB had DA today, still holding and hoping for a good run here
  • BFT, currently at 16+, I am probably going to hold post-merger
  • GIK, currently at 15+, have to see how this plays out if it has any XL run in it or not
  • NGA, currently at 26, I was asleep at the wheel when it hit 35 and didn't sell and then buy back in after the dip ... that was a mistake on my part, now I probably hold post-merger
  • WKHS has hit 38-40 in January, and I have sold some of the position for profit and still holding for decision on USPS contract to see if a big spike can get hit
  • RIDE, has been flat, but I like this long-term and am holding
  • Some new positions include THBR, IPOF at 12.4, GSAH at 11.3, WPF at 11, and CCIV at 17.
Would welcome any other suggestions on new positions in the SPAC world.


I'm holding THCB and BFT for awhile.

I have BTWN. I had THCA and dumped it to add into BFT. Might look to get back into it now that THCB has the DA.
 
Can anyone confirm AppHarvest going public yesterday? They originally announced going the SPAC route back in Sept under NOVS. But now Fidelity and Yahoo state they went public yesterday under APPH........but a couple websites like SeekingAlpha still have them under NOVS and that APPH is AppHead......a cell phone app maker?
 
Can anyone confirm AppHarvest going public yesterday? They originally announced going the SPAC route back in Sept under NOVS. But now Fidelity and Yahoo state they went public yesterday under APPH........but a couple websites like SeekingAlpha still have them under NOVS and that APPH is AppHead......a cell phone app maker?

Stock hit 40s
 
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Is anyone starting to get cold feet? I mean this market has been on absolute tear for over 6 months. I'm getting the feeling we may see the balloon pop fairly soon. Anyone taking cover in shorts or puts, stop loss orders etc ?
 
Is anyone starting to get cold feet? I mean this market has been on absolute tear for over 6 months. I'm getting the feeling we may see the balloon pop fairly soon. Anyone taking cover in shorts or puts, stop loss orders etc ?



I have my watch list and generally only buy something when it's well red.......so, there are sometimes lengthy periods where I don't buy at all.....just build my cash position. For this reason, cash has been building for me for a little while now. I don't use shorts/puts. Occasionally I'll use trailing stop losses, but almost all of my buys are with long term mindsets. If something drops in price, I don't want to sell it off with a stop loss........I want to buy more of it.
 
Let's start a Stock Advice thread where posters can drop stock tips for each other and dissect each others investments. I will start.


For all you value investors out there, there is a really good play in Gilead Sciences GILD. They are currently trading at only 7.2X their earnings. They have a dividend yield of 2.3%. The payout ration is tiny at 15% so the dividend is more than safe. Their Hepatitis C business is declining, but it will be a cash cow for years to come. They have new HIV drugs in the pipeline and a possible cure for non-alcoholic fatty liver coming as well.

This is not a buy and sell soon, this is something to add to your IRA and set on it for 10 years. Good luck and do your own research before buying!!!
I own this stock as well. My financial adviser bought it I think about 3 yr ago. It's doing well.
 
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I'm holding THCB and BFT for awhile.

I have BTWN. I had THCA and dumped it to add into BFT. Might look to get back into it now that THCB has the DA.

Very nice close today for BTWN. Not sure what the news was/is to drive that up at the end. Is there a rumored DA out there with somebody?
 
Very nice close today for BTWN. Not sure what the news was/is to drive that up at the end. Is there a rumored DA out there with somebody?

There isn't even an LOI yet.
The claim is a board member from Tokopedia is now over at BTWN.
 
Is anyone starting to get cold feet? I mean this market has been on absolute tear for over 6 months. I'm getting the feeling we may see the balloon pop fairly soon. Anyone taking cover in shorts or puts, stop loss orders etc ?


I had initiated a long SPY puts and long UVXY calls trade at end of December using Feb expirys. Other than being in the green briefly early on after initiating the trade, the rest of the time was in the red. Last week both went back to a nice green color and was able to close them out for a profit.

Yesterday starting moving money back into SPY Puts and UVXY calls using Mar 19 expiration. Also inititiated a long puts trade on TSLA, using three different expiration date sets: Feb 19, Mar 19 and Apr. 16.

Have added to SPY long PUTS here this morning. Watching the QQQ here with the eye on that 330.32 intraday high from Jan. 25th.
 
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Same thought I had when I stumbled across Mampilly 2018ish. He looks for mega trends that will play out and then finds the best companies that will benefit from that trend. Many of the names I was in or looking at for my "investment" account were in his model portfolio.

Just re-read what I wrote above in re to Paul Mampily and I think it deserves a clarification, just in case.

I really like and respect Paul Mampilly's work---at least what I've seen. I did take out a subscription to what I'd call his basic service: Profits Unlimited. The information received has been worth much more than the cost. I believe initially I signed up for a year at around $99, but upped it to a multi-year subscription when later received an attractive offer.

I obviously don't trade off of it, but I do value his work and benefit from it as it pertains to investment themes and ideas for my long-term investment account.

I cannot speak to any of his other services. I've only been exposed to Profits Unlimited for what has now been less than 3 years.

Just thought it best to clarify my previous comment in regards to Mampilly.
 
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I dumped BTWN for a nice little profit and bought warrants on THCB and BFT.

There's a rumor that F may have a deal with THCB (Microvast) to produce batteries for them. I hope it's true!
 
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I dumped BTWN for a nice little profit and bought warrants on THCB and BFT.

There's a rumor that F may have a deal with THCB (Microvast) to produce batteries for them. I hope it's true!

Only a few SPAC’s that I have or plan on holding post-merger as a long hold ... THCB and BFT are two of them.
 
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The biggest market tailwind is still the fed but even more stimulus adds gasoline to the fire. At least for a while. Buying the dips keeps working until it doesn't I suppose.

Liquidity appears to still be plentiful enough to keep lifting the market. Was strong enough to absorb last week's punch and then go on to make new closing highs on the SPX and NDX.
 
Just re-read what I wrote above in re to Paul Mampily and I think it deserves a clarification, just in case.

I really like and respect Paul Mampilly's work---at least what I've seen. I did take out a subscription to what I'd call his basic service: Profits Unlimited. The information received has been worth much more than the cost. I believe initially I signed up for a year at around $99, but upped it to a multi-year subscription when later received an attractive offer.

I obviously don't trade off of it, but I do value his work and benefit from it as it pertains to investment themes and ideas for my long-term investment account.

I cannot speak to any of his other services. I've only been exposed to Profits Unlimited for what has now been less than 3 years.

Just thought it best to clarify my previous comment in regards to Mampilly.

I've watched some more of his videos, my take is I totally agree with his concept of looking at disruptive technologies and investing in companies that will be part of the next wave. I did that 4 years ago with Amazon and Google and they are still paying off big.

However he seems to rely heavily on the ARK investment ETFs and the stocks he recommends are some that are in the ARK portfolios. Since then I've watched a lot of Catharine Wood's videos who is the founder/manager of ARK and I think there is where the true action is. She is a highly impressive fund manager and really understands the next wave of disruptive technologies. I have since taken a position in all 5 of ARK's ETFs

So to conclude, I'm not saying Mampilly doesn't know anything but I just think he is trying to tap in the ARKs themes and strategies, manipulate them around and put his own spin on them and then charge people a bunch of money for his investment products. You don't need any of that, just go to the ARK website and read abut their funds and how they are managed. Look at the great returns and dive in.

 
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I've watched some more of his videos, my take is I totally agree with his concept of looking at disruptive technologies and investing in companies that will be part of the next wave. I did that 4 years ago with Amazon and Google and they are still paying off big.

However he seems to rely heavily on the ARK investment ETFs and the stocks he recommends are some that are in the ARK portfolios. Since then I've watched a lot of Catharine Wood's videos who is the founder/manager of ARK and I think there is where the true action is. She is a highly impressive fund manager and really understands the next wave of disruptive technologies. I have since taken a position in all 5 of ARK's ETFs

So to conclude, I'm not saying Mampilly doesn't know anything but I just think he is trying to tap in the ARKs themes and strategies, manipulate them around and put his own spin on them and then charge people a bunch of money for his investment products. You don't need any of that, just go to the ARK website and read abut their funds and how they are managed. Look at the great returns and dive in.




I too am in all Ark funds. Have they set a date for ArkX yet?
 
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