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Reed bailey sea of blue

Okay, but he was a sophomore

Don't care what his metrics showed. He clearly improved. Was he Anthony Davis good? No, but he did improve.

Okay, but again, he was a sophomore and I trust CMP to develop him.
Metrics are facts. You can ignore them if you want, but they tell the real story and not your eye test.

I agree on the others. I just need to see the improvement, not just hope it happens, before I could count on him being a starter and/or playing starter minutes. Again, I'm not sure anyone would argue Garrison, as a whole, was a better player at the end of the year than he was at the beginning. That's concerning.
 
Don’t want him . Doesn’t rebound.
And his 3pt shooting is overrated, take away just 1 game and he drops to 35.1% (13-37), that’s 1 make every 2.5 games.
No. You take # of 3s taken, and # of 3s made. You do not get to take his best game and deduct it. Hell, take his worst game and deduct that then if you are wanting to finagle his true shooting %. Even if you did your slanted thinking, 35% is NOT bad. Where would that have placed him on this years team ? Funny you leave out other important stats like his 3.8 assist per game. 3 point shooting is not all UK needs, somebody has to be able to score inside (this years teams big weak spot). He plays physical, evident by his attempting 7 free throws per game. The MOST FT's attempted on this years roster, was Oweh at 5.3 per game. Everybody wants to get caught in 3 point shooting, but at the end of the day, SOMEBODY has to score 2s and inside. The biggest thing that cost UK this year in the end, was not having people who could play physical, score inside, or draw fouls. Teams never got in foul trouble because UK did not draw fouls enough to do so.
 
Yes, but that's because Lamont Butler is exponentially better than Collin Chandler and Perry, not because Butler was a facilitator.
Amari Williams facilitated the offense from the top of the key.
You need guards to get the ball up the floor and create cutting and screening action while Amari looks to make the required play.
What Butoer did on offense, can be accomplished from the 2 spot.
This is why Demary is a good fit. He is not going to he fully tasked with driving to create offense.
He averaged something like 6 assists per game, and as you point out, was only partially the facilitator of the offense. Those are pretty good numbers. Not to mention he had a 2:1 A/TO ratio. Nothing to sneeze at either. There are better pure PGs out there, for sure. But Butler is pretty solid overall. I just disagree with the assertion you don't need a PG in this offense. I'd be curious to see Demary in that role though. Compared to what we had, I definitely think Demary would've been better than any of the non-Butler options. No argument from me there.
 
No. You take # of 3s taken, and # of 3s made. You do not get to take his best game and deduct it. Hell, take his worst game and deduct that then if you are wanting to finagle his true shooting %. Even if you did your slanted thinking, 35% is NOT bad. Where would that have placed him on this years team ? Funny you leave out other important stats like his 3.8 assist per game. 3 point shooting is not all UK needs, somebody has to be able to score inside (this years teams big weak spot). He plays physical, evident by his attempting 7 free throws per game. The MOST FT's attempted on this years roster, was Oweh at 5.3 per game. Everybody wants to get caught in 3 point shooting, but at the end of the day, SOMEBODY has to score 2s and inside. The biggest thing that cost UK this year in the end, was not having people who could play physical, score inside, or draw fouls. Teams never got in foul trouble because UK did not draw fouls enough to do so.
It's an extremely small sample size. He said it in an earlier post, he went 1-9 in the month of Feb. Good 3 point shooters don't make 1 or take 9 in a month. He's just a guy that shot a few threes and made a few threes. Nothing more, nothing less. He barely attempted one per game in 33 mins/game. There's no solid evidence that would support he shoots it all that well.
 
Oweh is NOT going to the NBA. He WILL get feedback to know he has to work on. He does not have the handles to be a 2G, too small to be aa 3. He would NOT be able to help his case as a combo guard because he can not run the point. He would average 8-10 to's per game trying to play point. Love him, but he is NOT going to the NBA this year, nowhere near ready.
 
That is true.

To me, however, the big problem is that he has ZERO awareness as an off ball defender. A guy his size should be lurking to come in and block a shot as the secondary offender.

I don't know how many times I've seen BG not drop back down to block or rebound (while Williams was good at this)

BG is just caught too many times picking flowers in right field instead of doing what is mentioned above IMHO... I don't think he has this awareness and I'm afraid it can't be coached up for him.... every player has a weakness and I think this is his TIFWIW

I don't think we can get a banner with him as the primary 5 man.... hope I'm wrong
IMHO, all this is due to his immaturity as a player. He gets far too involved in the emotions of everything TOO MUCH. Solve that and maybe we're working with a guy that can do it. But to me, that his major roadblock to success.
 
Oweh is NOT going to the NBA. He WILL get feedback to know he has to work on. He does not have the handles to be a 2G, too small to be aa 3. He would NOT be able to help his case as a combo guard because he can not run the point. He would average 8-10 to's per game trying to play point. Love him, but he is NOT going to the NBA this year, nowhere near ready.
100% correct. But I agree, get all the feedback needed. It's silly not to. The ability to make money (while developing) next year at UK is probably a much more attractive option than developing in the G-League at $40K. Hell, he can do that the next year when he's out of eligibility.
 
He averaged something like 6 assists per game, and as you point out, was only partially the facilitator of the offense. Those are pretty good numbers. Not to mention he had a 2:1 A/TO ratio. Nothing to sneeze at either. There are better pure PGs out there, for sure. But Butler is pretty solid overall. I just disagree with the assertion you don't need a PG in this offense. I'd be curious to see Demary in that role though. Compared to what we had, I definitely think Demary would've been better than any of the non-Butler options. No argument from me there.
Butler is a heck of a pg, nobody is doubting that.
I'm not saying you don't need a pg, you still need, one, but you can still win a title with this system without getting Braden Smith, Mark Sears, or a DeArron Fox.
But, you still need a guy at the 1 that is wired as a pg and I think Demary can do that.
 
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Butler is a heck of a pg, nobody is doubting that.
I'm not saying you don't need a pg, you still need, one, but you can still win a title with this system without getting Braden Smith, Mark Sears, or a DeArron Fox.
But, you still need a guy at the 1 that is wired as a pg and I think Demary can do that.
Totally agreed about not needing a guy like that to win one. In my mind, complete roster construction makes a huge difference too. Take this years team, for example. We REALLY needed Butler especially after Kriisa went down. We were just toast without that. Then JR went down and we were really toast. But even if JR stayed healthy, I'm not sure a big sample size with him in the PG rotation would be awesome. I know everyone talks about Oweh's need to improve his shot, and that's FOR SURE an area for improvement. But I'd really like to see him improve his handles, finishing, and decision-making with the ball in his hands. And honestly, I think that's a far more possible improvement over a few months than completely reworking his shot mechanics. That's just not an easy thing to do, especially over the course of a few months.
 
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Totally agreed about not needing a guy like that to win one. In my mind, complete roster construction makes a huge difference too. Take this years team, for example. We REALLY needed Butler especially after Kriisa went down. We were just toast without that. Then JR went down and we were really toast. But even if JR stayed healthy, I'm not sure a big sample size with him in the PG rotation would be awesome. I know everyone talks about Oweh's need to improve his shot, and that's FOR SURE an area for improvement. But I'd really like to see him improve his handles, finishing, and decision-making with the ball in his hands. And honestly, I think that's a far more possible improvement over a few months than completely reworking his shot mechanics. That's just not an easy thing to do, especially over the course of a few months.
Seems like we need guys that specialize in something.
We need 2 or 3 facilitators that can also shoot, need centers that can rebound, score, handle and pass, need 4's that can rebound, shoot, spin and score in the paint and guards that are elite shooters.
While Oweh isn't an elite shooter, he can pull it off, because defenses still have to come out and guard him.
Having at least 1 guard that can be a Lamont Butler, is really key IMO, but in 25/26, I hope Pope gets 2 or 3 of those guys. Injuries are such a killer.
 
People say these things about every one of out past guards who end up going to the nba. Posters said the same thing about Immanuel Quickly, Cason Wallace and etc. You can try to slice it all how you want to and find the faults in these guys but if you can play you can play. Oweh is in no way unatheltic and has an nba future whether that be this year or next. I see nba player when I watch Oweh play, it's obvious.

I didn't say Oweh was unathletic. I was just saying that once a player gets to the NBA, he needs to have SOMETHING that makes him stick... where does Oweh stack up?
- elite shooting? No
- elite athleticism (quickness, leaping ability)? No... good, strong athlete but not elite
- elite handles? No

I would argue that both Quickley and Wallace were quicker and better shooters.

Again, Oweh was a great college player this year for the Cats, and I HOPE he returns to UK. He could certainly prove me wrong about his skillset translating to the NBA (and if he does, great for him). It's just that his physical attributes and his game don't really scream NBA prospect yet.

Now, with his strength, if he comes back, works hard on his handle and shooting, then that certainly changes things...which is why I hope he returns.
 
No. You take # of 3s taken, and # of 3s made. You do not get to take his best game and deduct it. Hell, take his worst game and deduct that then if you are wanting to finagle his true shooting %. Even if you did your slanted thinking, 35% is NOT bad. Where would that have placed him on this years team ? Funny you leave out other important stats like his 3.8 assist per game. 3 point shooting is not all UK needs, somebody has to be able to score inside (this years teams big weak spot). He plays physical, evident by his attempting 7 free throws per game. The MOST FT's attempted on this years roster, was Oweh at 5.3 per game. Everybody wants to get caught in 3 point shooting, but at the end of the day, SOMEBODY has to score 2s and inside. The biggest thing that cost UK this year in the end, was not having people who could play physical, score inside, or draw fouls. Teams never got in foul trouble because UK did not draw fouls enough to do so.
No. That's why I am a STATISTICIAN and you are NOT.
It is not "slanted thinking" to remove outliers, that is the appropriate thing to do. To get a better picture of how a player will do, remove the best & worst 5% or 10% of his games, how did he do in that middle 80-90%.
Just like that kid that S.Carolina signed, he was great for 2 games (91 pts, 16-36 from 3), but the other 31 games he was just ok.
I admit, I did not look at his FTs, those are very good!!!
But you point out getting 2's is important too. Ok. He made 48.3% of his 2's, UK as a Team made 55.6% of our 2's. Even Garrison who many complain about made 57.5% of his, Carr made 63.9% of his. Only Kriisa, Chandler and Perry made <50%.
And I point out the 3's, because many fans are wanting him because of that 41.1% 3pt% as a big factor, when it is a misleading factor.
And his rebounding, is worse than Carr's and Garrison's (not as horrible as Almonor's), so not good.
 
What would we think, if Pope decides to build for the future and doesn’t take any Seniors, but plays the long game and grabs Sophomores and Juniors?

Demary- Jr
Folgueiras- Jr
Miller- So
Williams- So
Gwath- So
Green- So

PG Demary/Lewis/Perry
SG Oweh/Johnson/Green
SF Miller/Chandler/Noah
PF Folgueiras/Williams
C Garrison/Gwath/Moreno

This season might be the one you load up on young talent with, before the NIL rules change next week.

Competition shouldn’t be as tough in the SEC overall, with a lot of 5th year Seniors and regular Seniors leaving.

Auburn, Bama, Florida, and Tennessee lose a ton of experience, so those teams should settle back down to the mean.

Secure some younger guys, then keep them happy with playing time. Then you have a lot of experience coming back for 26-27.
 
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Move Gwath to starting center and Garrison to backup and I'm down with it. Also I would think Johnson is starting at UK next season regardless.
At Center, Garrison and Gwath would split close to 20/20 in minutes, I would think. That’s what Pope did most of the year with Williams and Garrison until Williams really asserted himself toward the end.

As for Johnson, I don’t know how that works out, but if we had a Smith/Oweh/Saunders backcourt, Johnson shouldn’t start and if he does, he earned it and will probably be a lottery pick. That’s three starters on Sweet Sixteen teams. That’s two leading scorers on Sweet Sixteen teams and the Big Ten Player of the Year. Johnson could play behind those three and still be a first round pick. Pettiford didn’t start for Auburn and he and Johnson were on par with each other in HS rankings.
 
What would we think, if Pope decides to build for the future and doesn’t take any Seniors, but plays the long game and grabs Sophomores and Juniors?

Demary- Jr
Folgueiras- Jr
Miller- So
Williams- So
Gwath- So
Green- So

PG Demary/Lewis/Perry
SG Oweh/Johnson/Green
SF Miller/Chandler/Noah
PF Folgueiras/Williams
C Garrison/Gwath/Moreno

This season might be the one you load up on young talent with, before the NIL rules change next week.

Competition shouldn’t be as tough in the SEC overall, with a lot of 5th year Seniors and regular Seniors leaving.

Auburn, Bama, Florida, and Tennessee lose a ton of experience, so those teams should settle back down to the mean.

Secure some younger guys, then keep them happy with playing time. Then you have a lot of experience coming back for 26-27.
With the portal and NIL, not sure you can "play the long game".
 
No, Fogueiras is a forward. Not only listed everywhere as one, also 6'9 & 215 (so 15lb lighter than Bailey), and he plays as a outside/inside PF. So you must be thinking of someone else.
He may be listed at that. He doesn't move anywhere near as well as Bailey. He moves like a 7'2" center that can barely dunk
 
He may be listed at that. He doesn't move anywhere near as well as Bailey. He moves like a 7'2" center that can barely dunk
Yet between "barely being able to dunk" and playing mostly on the perimeter, he gets 50% more rebounds than Bailey. Damn Bailey must have the vertical of me (which is really bad).
BTW, in another thread I showed how almost across the board, AF is the better player than RB, I think in like 8 of 10 categories.
 
No. That's why I am a STATISTICIAN and you are NOT.
It is not "slanted thinking" to remove outliers, that is the appropriate thing to do. To get a better picture of how a player will do, remove the best & worst 5% or 10% of his games, how did he do in that middle 80-90%.
Just like that kid that S.Carolina signed, he was great for 2 games (91 pts, 16-36 from 3), but the other 31 games he was just ok.
I admit, I did not look at his FTs, those are very good!!!
But you point out getting 2's is important too. Ok. He made 48.3% of his 2's, UK as a Team made 55.6% of our 2's. Even Garrison who many complain about made 57.5% of his, Carr made 63.9% of his. Only Kriisa, Chandler and Perry made <50%.
And I point out the 3's, because many fans are wanting him because of that 41.1% 3pt% as a big factor, when it is a misleading factor.
And his rebounding, is worse than Carr's and Garrison's (not as horrible as Almonor's), so not good.
WHOA Buddy, look out, we got us a STATISTICIAN on here. Well Stat man, you didn't take his worst performance shooting out, ONLY his best, thus my SLANTED comment. Yeap, writing down players stats at a scorers table DEFINITELY qualifies you to use slanted stats to fit your narrative. When I grow up, I want to be JUST like you, a STATISTICIAN. Hell, you used all caps to make yourself look super important and full of knowledge. LOL, I have seen it all now.








PSSST, I was kidding, I NEVER want to be a stat game sitting at a scorers table missing the game. But, you do you, big man on campus. Do you have groupies or legend of followers ???? I mean being a STATISTICIAN and all.
 
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WHOA Buddy, look out, we got us a STATISTICIAN on here. Well Stat man, you didn't take his worst performance shooting out, ONLY his best, thus my SLANTED comment. Yeap, writing down players stats at a scorers table DEFINITELY qualifies you to use slanted stats to fit your narrative. When I grow up, I want to be JUST like you, a STATISTICIAN. Hell, you used all caps to make yourself look super important and full of knowledge. LOL, I have seen it all now.








PSSST, I was kidding, I NEVER want to be a stat game sitting at a scorers table missing the game. But, you do you, big man on campus. Do you have groupies or legend of followers ???? I mean being a STATISTICIAN and all.
Lol, you really are making yourself look more and more stupid.
I don’t keep game stats at sporting events. Anyone, well except maybe you, could do that. That is not a real statistician.

No, I have a masters degree in statistics, and analyze data for a living. Showing cause and effect, looking for and avoiding bias, while finding statistically significant differences and correlations.
You know, like computer generated rankings like KenPom, Massey etc.., real statisticians like myself create those. Actually I created one about 20 years ago (was getting my raw data from Ken Pomeroy actually), and it was being published online with other well known ones for a couple of years until I simply was too busy at work to run it twice a week every week.
 
Big programs can. Mid-majors, not so much.
I think you’re missing the point. These dudes are one year mercs as long as the rules are what they are. There’s zero guarantee any of them that can stay, will. That’s what I mean by not being able to play the long game. Pope has a little bit of traction this year because they had some success. Go 18-14 next year and the entire team will bounce. He’s on record as saying a mix of 4/5 star frosh, experienced portal guys, and returnees is the formula. I don’t think he’s wrong about that.
 
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What would we think, if Pope decides to build for the future and doesn’t take any Seniors, but plays the long game and grabs Sophomores and Juniors?

Demary- Jr
Folgueiras- Jr
Miller- So
Williams- So
Gwath- So
Green- So

PG Demary/Lewis/Perry
SG Oweh/Johnson/Green
SF Miller/Chandler/Noah
PF Folgueiras/Williams
C Garrison/Gwath/Moreno

This season might be the one you load up on young talent with, before the NIL rules change next week.

Competition shouldn’t be as tough in the SEC overall, with a lot of 5th year Seniors and regular Seniors leaving.

Auburn, Bama, Florida, and Tennessee lose a ton of experience, so those teams should settle back down to the mean.

Secure some younger guys, then keep them happy with playing time. Then you have a lot of experience coming back for 26-27.
That's a roster that gets bounced in the Sweet Sixteen.

I think taking a few youngsters is fine, but not the entire portal class.
 
I wouldn’t use the word horrific. It’s only a slight hitch. He shot 35% from three. That’s not bad.
And Wheeler was shooting 36.6% before the QUITTER quit on his team. But he still was a bad shooter, since no one would even try to guard him outside 15' making every jumper he took a longer FT for him.

Oweh smartly became/was selective in his shots, not forcing them, only shooting them when set and wide open, thus the decent 35.5%. But that hitch both delays and limits when he can shoot them.
 
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And Wheeler was shooting 36.6% before the QUITTER quit on his team. But he still was a bad shooter, since no one would even try to guard him outside 15' making every jumper he took a longer FT for him.

Oweh smartly became/was selective in his shots, not forcing them, only shooting them when set and wide open, thus the decent 35.5%. But that hitch both delays and limits when he can shoot them.
Yeah, that's the big thing I see. If Garrison or Oweh had to shoot the 3s JR or Brea did...they'd be in the 20s, maybe. Those guys are basically playing H-O-R-S-E when they take a 3. Nobody is running them off the line. If Brea got Oweh's attempts, he'd have shot somewhere between 60-80%.
 
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And Wheeler was shooting 36.6% before the QUITTER quit on his team. But he still was a bad shooter, since no one would even try to guard him outside 15' making every jumper he took a longer FT for him.

Oweh smartly became/was selective in his shots, not forcing them, only shooting them when set and wide open, thus the decent 35.5%. But that hitch both delays and limits when he can shoot them.
What was wheelers sample size? 12 takes? Cal bringing in wheeler is why we are where we are. If the old timer had brought in a legit pg those two wheeler seasons would have ended differently. A legit pg with Oscar TyTy and kellen and we make a deep run. All cal had to do was recruit a competent pg something he had excelled at.
 
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I think you’re missing the point. These dudes are one year mercs as long as the rules are what they are. There’s zero guarantee any of them that can stay, will. That’s what I mean by not being able to play the long game. Pope has a little bit of traction this year because they had some success. Go 18-14 next year and the entire team will bounce. He’s on record as saying a mix of 4/5 star frosh, experienced portal guys, and returnees is the formula. I don’t think he’s wrong about that.
I didn’t miss the point.

I agree wholeheartedly with Pope.

What are you arguing about?

He said we needed returnees as part of the formula. That’s the same thing I said. We need guys to come back to be successful.

That’s playing the long game.

We can’t do it with just Portal guys and HS recruits every year. The key part and the hardest part will be keeping guys around.

So if Pope doesn’t try to get guys who will stay for multiple years, what is he suppose to do?

Players are going to bail. That’s true.

What is your solution?

How do you build your program in this day and age, if you can’t play the long game?

If everyone is leaving, then where are your returnees coming from?
 
I didn’t miss the point.

I agree wholeheartedly with Pope.

What are you arguing about?

He said we needed returnees as part of the formula. That’s the same thing I said. We need guys to come back to be successful.

That’s playing the long game.

We can’t do it with just Portal guys and HS recruits every year. The key part and the hardest part will be keeping guys around.

So if Pope doesn’t try to get guys who will stay for multiple years, what is he suppose to do?

Players are going to bail. That’s true.

What is your solution?

How do you build your program in this day and age, if you can’t play the long game?

If everyone is leaving, then where are your returnees coming from?
Your entire roster was built of underclassmen. That's my point. And I think was Pope's as well when he made the comment. Mix your returnees with elite level youth (whether that is portal frosh or incoming from HS) and portal vets (Carr/Williams/Butler). The days of having a cohesive roster are over until the rules change.

We could be saying the same thing, I'm not really sure. But when I see a roster that doesn't include any (or maybe one) upperclassmen, that's a concern.
 
Yet between "barely being able to dunk" and playing mostly on the perimeter, he gets 50% more rebounds than Bailey. Damn Bailey must have the vertical of me (which is really bad).
BTW, in another thread I showed how almost across the board, AF is the better player than RB, I think in like 8 of 10 categories.
could the differences be attributed to style of play, competition?
tapes of both look ok, but Bailey seems much more athletic and mobile
 
And Wheeler was shooting 36.6% before the QUITTER quit on his team. But he still was a bad shooter, since no one would even try to guard him outside 15' making every jumper he took a longer FT for him.

Oweh smartly became/was selective in his shots, not forcing them, only shooting them when set and wide open, thus the decent 35.5%. But that hitch both delays and limits when he can shoot them.
Wheeler had many problems, one of which is that he's tiny.

The dumbest thing I've ever SEEN on this board, comparing Oweh to Wheeler.

LOLz
 
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What was wheelers sample size? 12 takes? Cal bringing in wheeler is why we are where we are. If the old timer had brought in a legit pg those two wheeler seasons would have ended differently. A legit pg with Oscar TyTy and kellen and we make a deep run. All cal had to do was recruit a competent pg something he had excelled at.
15-41. The EXACT same number of attempts Reed Bailey took this year (17-41), but Wheeler's came in 13 less games.
I don't think anyone will argue with you now that Wheeler was a bad choice.
 
Wheeler had many problems, one of which is that he's tiny.

The dumbest thing I've ever SEEN on this board, comparing Oweh to Wheeler.

LOLz
The dumbest thing is you thinking that was comparing Oweh to Wheeler. SMH
It was comparing their 3pt %'s.
Any idiot knows that in every other aspect of the game Wheeler couldn't carry Oweh's jock.
 
could the differences be attributed to style of play, competition?
tapes of both look ok, but Bailey seems much more athletic and mobile
Yes, of course they can.

I'm just saying that when the sample size is 41 attempts, there is a lot less confidence in the 41% than if he had attempted 100+ 3's.
Also the lower # of attempts probably means he only took them when (wide) open, so there's a good chance if he shoots more 3's he would be taking more contested shots, lowering that %.

And the one thing I do love about Bailey is his enormous FT totals. That says to me he probably drives a lot. And FTs are the most efficient way to score.
So, I'd be "ok" with Bailey. I just think Folgueiras 3pt shooting (same % but a LOT more attempts) is more impressive, AND his rebounding (which was a weakness for us this year) is MUCH better. Let's get them both.
 
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