Realistic NCAA seed

[TriCountyCat]

If the worst and likely happens and we drop games at Auburn, Tennessee, Miss State?, SEC Tourney, maybe one more at home (UT, Alabama) what is the prediction of NCAA placement. Best I can remember we have been better than a 4 twice since 2015 and we would have been in the Covid year. Thats not good enough IMO. With UK Cal should have better than a 4 80% of the time. Am I wrong in thinking this?

 

[Cowtown Cat]

Totally agree. In that scenario, between a 4 and a 6 IMO.

 

[UKortho]

I think somewhere between a 4 and 6. Full disclosure- I don’t know much about the selection process. I feel we will deserve a 4 but might get dinged for the bad loss

 

[bthaunert]

I think the season could play out where we are anywhere from a 2-5.

 

[The_Answer1313]

I think the season could play out where we are anywhere from a 2-5.

I agree with this.

Despite what happened last game, I could see a 4 or 5 seed with the chance if we do well to play into a 3 or even 2.

 

[TriCountyCat]

If they go by the number of Q1 wins we are gonna have to win some games where we aren’t going to be favored. I said earlier in the year is Cal get worse than a 3 with this talent he has underachieved. By watching us play defense it’s apparent that none of our freshman ever has to guard in high school or AAU. So in Cal’s defense, that can’t be easy.

 

[TM2013]

5/6 seed most likely

 

[The_Answer1313]

If they go by the number of Q1 wins we are gonna have to win some games where we aren’t going to be favored. I said earlier in the year is Cal get worse than a 3 with this talent he has underachieved. By watching us play defense it’s apparent that none of our freshman ever has to guard in high school or AAU. So in Cal’s defense, that can’t be easy.

It also says to me that whoever is doing these rankings clearly they do not evaluate defense. It's heavily skewed to the offensive side of the ball.

It really makes me take another look when they say Oh Player X is the number 1 rated recruit in America, what their game really is. Mostly on highlight videos, u see the offense. But if a guy is giving up as many points as he is scoring, that's a problem.

 

[WeWant9]

I got a feeling it’ll be like 2011. We’ll be a hot team by year’s end, but took some bad losses and end up a 4 seed.

2 seed is probably the ceiling at this point, and that would involve only losing a couple more games. Not sure I see that happening

 

[gharding07]

3 seed is probably our ceiling, 6 is the floor(that would be really bad for all the talent on this team).

 

[IowaMuse]

Number 1 seeds are set. UConn, Purdue, UnC, and prob Tenn but could be Houston. After that who knows. It feels like the next 20 teams are all the same (in terms of seeding)

 

[1STSergeant]

3 or 4

 

[RunninRichie]

UK is in it’s longest 1 seed drought since 1978.

 

[FinancialPlannerZac]

We were a #2 seed in 17, 19, and 22. We were on track to be a #2 seed as well in 2020... just for the record.

 

[Dontworryboutit23]

4-6 seed most likely maybe even a 7 or 8 seed if things unravel any more. Maybe a outside shot at a 3

 

[JonathanW]

3-5 seed. 2 is possible, but doubtful. Things would have to fall apart to drop to a 6 IMO.

 

[$Z71$]

I think the season could play out where we are anywhere from a 2-5.

I think we end up a 2-4 but most likely a 2 or 3. I don't see a world we get less than a 4 seed. People don't seem to understand everyone has been losing not just us. 7-8 losses could still get a 2 or 3 seed depending.

 

[MissingWCC]

I don't think it matters a great deal this year as long as it's no worse than a six. The way that the top teams have lost to lower tier will make for bracket pandemonium. The team catches fire at the right time has the biggest advantage.

 

[UKBB4Ever]

1 seed. 2 at worst.

 

[ukcatz12]

Anything from 1 to 5 or 6 is probably in play right now. Every other top 10 team is going to drop a few more in conference except for UNC because the ACC is terrible. If this team runs the table (not likely but not impossible) it's probably a 1 seed. Drop a few more and it'll be a 2 or 3. If the wheels fall off it'll be a 5 or worse.

 

[Son_Of_Saul]

Aren't we already in our longest streak without a #1 seed?

Cal will add to that the next two years until Dybantsa gets here.

 

[true blue1]

4-6

 

[bucsrule8872]

4-6 seed seems likely. Outside shot at a 3.

I doubt we slip to a 7 or 8, barring a complete meltdown.

On the other hand, a 2 seed seems out of reach.

 

[The_Answer1313]

I find that a lot of opinions on this matter when the question was asked. A day out from USC, these predictions i think are on a bit of the lower side.

Before that game people couldn't believe Gary Parrish had us ranked where he did and that we were "easily" a top 10 team.

We are probably somewhere in between of all this.

 

[Wildcats1st]

If the worst and likely happens and we drop games at Auburn, Tennessee, Miss State?, SEC Tourney, maybe one more at home (UT, Alabama) what is the prediction of NCAA placement. Best I can remember we have been better than a 4 twice since 2015 and we would have been in the Covid year. Thats not good enough IMO. With UK Cal should have better than a 4 80% of the time. Am I wrong in thinking this?

We have 13 games left. We will likely lose those 3 on the road. I also estimate we will lose 2 more. 1 in the tournament and 1 we don’t see coming. Maybe at vandy.

 

[TriCountyCat]

We have 13 games left. We will likely lose those 3 on the road. I also estimate we will lose 2 more. 1 in the tournament and 1 we don’t see coming. Maybe at vandy.

I thought the same thing and if that happens our number of quad 1 wins won’t be worth a crap. Let’s hope SC was a wake up call.

 

[M4CAT]

Right now they should be a 4-6 seed. They have 13 regular season games remaining and a lot of work to do to improve their seed line. 2-3 record vs Quad 1 teams. There are good opportunities left for big wins but it is time to start winning against these teams and let 2 Quad 1 games go in the last 2 road games vs A&M and South Carolina.

 

[U Go UK]

We’ll be a bubble team. Going to lose 5-6 more in the conference and the one in SECT.

 

[Boyd94]

Number 1 seed or Cal should get the boot. No excuses.

 

[KYFOSSIL]

We’ll be a bubble team. Going to lose 5-6 more in the conference and the one in SECT.

You are a complete mron if you think we are a bubble team

 

[KYExtemper]

Hate getting into that 4/5 seed range to the point that I'd much rather just be a 6.

 

[TriCountyCat]

Hate getting into that 4/5 seed range to the point that I'd much rather just be a 6.

If we are any of those we have underachieved and it’s once again on the head man.

 

[KYExtemper]

If we are any of those we have underachieved and it’s once again on the head man.

After the last few years, people here said EVERYTHING depended on how this class was going to do. Looks like we're headed for more disappointment (hope I'm wrong).

Just tired of this cycle of hype, short of expectations, and rinse and repeat.

 

[fatguy87]

Except for when we were spitting hotfire from deep, we've consistently been in that 15 to 20 range on metrics.

I'll stick to a 4/5 seed based on that. If the bottom falls out, like in 2014, we could be looking at a 6-7 seed.

 

[KyCPA]

If the worst and likely happens and we drop games at Auburn, Tennessee, Miss State?, SEC Tourney, maybe one more at home (UT, Alabama) what is the prediction of NCAA placement. Best I can remember we have been better than a 4 twice since 2015 and we would have been in the Covid year. Thats not good enough IMO. With UK Cal should have better than a 4 80% of the time. Am I wrong in thinking this?

5 or 6 seed.

 

[KyCPA]

We’ll be a bubble team. Going to lose 5-6 more in the conference and the one in SECT.

Even if that happened I think we would be looking at 8 or 9 seed.

 

[CatOfDaVille]

I agree with the majority on this thread, but it's still a little too early to speculate IMO.

Let's see how we do through these next 7 games.

@ Ark
vs UF
vs UT
@ Vandy
vs Zags
vs Miss
@ AU

If we go 6-1 over the next seven, I'd say we're firmly in the 2 seed conversation with an outside look at a 1 seed.

5-2 or 4-3 and we're at the 3-4 seed level.

We'd have to collapse to fall below a 5 seed.

Other teams are going to lose as well.

 

[Wildcat-in-STL]

im going to bet a 4-5 seed at best and a sweet 16 or earlier exit. This team takes after the coach as most teams do and its soft soft soft and mentally weak just like Cal.

 

[Runnin'Ramel]

I think UK ends up in the 4/5 game.

 

[know1]

4 or 5 for me as well.

It would be interesting to go back and look at all posts last season and in the early offseason about this monster class and how Cal was getting things back on track.