First, we were 7-6 last year vs. the schedule you mentioned, i.e., in line with what I see again this year.
Second:
GA and Texas are legit NC contenders. Georgia is light years better than us on paper, and we play Texas on the road in front of 100,000 fans, late in the season when they are likely to be gunning for a playoff bid.
Ole Miss is right behind Texas and UGA, and although I think they are probably overrated, we have not won in Oxford since 1979.
UK is 1-19 last 20 games vs. Auburn. I am 63 years old and can only remember one win ever vs. Auburn
Tennessee? Uh right, we will win that game in Knoxville for sure, don't we always kick their butt?
South Carolina, Louisville and Florida will be tough games, probably won't lose all three, but odds are pretty good we won't win all three either.
So that leaves four games I am pretty sure we will win, Vandy plus the other three OOC teams. Hard for me to find more than 2 or 3 wins vs. the other 8. What am I missing?