Well if Kentucky is 9-3 per say...it depends on timing and quality of teams we beat.
Wins over
Tennessee, Auburn, South Carolina, Louisville, @ Florida, Vandy
Losses: Georgia, @ Ole Miss, @ Texas
I think we'd have an outside shot at the playoff IMO.
-2021: we ended 9-3 and were #22 in the Final Ranking...a lot of that had to do with timing of our losses coming 3 in a row...then our remaining wins didn't elevate us at the time. Losing to UGA bad wasn't a killer...but then losing to Miss State & a UT team (that wasn't that good in 2021) all in a row really killed our momentum in the polls.
-2018: we were 9-3 and #14 in the final poll. #11 Team and lost to a UT team with a losing record....but unlike 2021 we didn't have a 3 game losing streak. After the Texas A&M loss....we had a bye....then beat Vandy & a really good Missouri team on the road to keep us from falling to far and got us in the top 10. Georgia wasn't a bad loss that year....UT was....but we spaced them out.
I think the eye test can tell a lot of things....like our 2018 team was a better team than 2021 due to the historic defense....2021 had some glaring flaws.
Now here's a 3rd example....2023 Missouri who finished 10-2....
-They played Memphis and Kansas State as their non-conference opponents
-Losses to LSU and Georgia were not bad losses
-Better record than our 2018 team and better resume tbh
-They finish #9 in the Final Playoff Poll & our 2018 team finished #14 with a worse record & resume
Missouri wasn't ranked to start the year....got ranked but then fell right out. They were unranked on October 14th when they played us. Finally get ranked and beat USCjr. the next week...but then fall a bit and after losing to UGA...even after blowing out UT they didn't rise too much.
The reason is that they weren't ranked early and they had a ceiling on how far the polls would let them rise....where you're ranked in the AP/Coaches poll early influences the playoff rankings heavily. Had Missouri started the year ranked #20....they would've finished higher in the polls.