On paper, this game does not look like a very good tactical matchup for us on first blush. GA's offense has been significantly more productive than ours has been. GA's third down conversion efficiency has been significantly better than ours, and GA's efficiency in the red zone has been far better than ours. GAs defense has been intercepting more passes than ours has.
Other than that, the two defenses have been roughly comparable. The two teams also have identical turnover margins.
But there are two stats that might bode well for UK tonight. For one thing, UK's defense has created significantly more sacks than GA's defense. Another thing - and this is potentially big - UK's defense against the run has been considerably better than GA's (although GA's hasn't been bad).
We have Keeshaun Silver and Deone Walker on our DL, and they are very hard to move. Our LBs are downhill playmakers, and two of them (Jackson and Wallace) grew up in GA. I mention this because our LBs will be motivated tonight. If our defense against the run can control GA's running game without having to move one of our safeties up into the box, then we can force GA's offense to be one-dimensional and we can attack GA's offensive pocket.
Something to keep in mind, as well. Todd Monken left for the NFL. Coach Bobo is not as innovative as Monken was. So there's that.
See above, where I discussed earlier yesterday why last night's game was not a good matchup for UK on paper. We had just one big advantage in this game, and that was the stout run defense Silver, Hayes, Walker, Saunders, and Oxendine had been enforcing up until yesterday. Throughout our first five games, our defense against the run had been considerably better than our defense against the pass. This is a statistical fact, and we have discussed it before. From the very first game, I and others have mentioned our inexperienced CBs as one of the team's limitations. They will improve with more snaps.
Reasonable people will give some credit to Kirby's staff for putting together an excellent offensive game plan. The Dogs never even tried to run at Walker and Silver. They were too smart to waste offensive snaps that way. From the beginning, the Dogs ran the football on the edges and, more often, threw the ball over the top of our defense They executed their game plan very well, which was made even easier by having elite receiver Brock Bowers. And BTW, Carson Beck entered yesterday's game as one of the SEC's top passers. He was brilliant yesterday.
This morning, the fellowship of the miserable are out in force because we lost to the #1 team in the country, the two-time national champions, on their own field. They are ecstatic, because this is their first opportunity of the 2023 season to push their negative agendas and spew their venom. These are mainly unhappy people, disgruntled former boosters, and naive people who believe UK has an obligation to entertain them every week. Don't listen to them. The SEC is the best and most difficult college football conference, and GA has earned our respect. I would prefer a perfect undefeated season every year, of course. But I live in the real world, so I do not lose sight of the progress that has been since Hal Mumme and Claude Bassett landed us on NCAA probation and, particularly, since Joker Phillips' 2-9 season in 2012. In the real world, there are always lots other people who want to succeed in competitive environments. They can't all succeed at the same time. That's competition, and it gets tough sometimes. The progress Stoops has made is amazing, but yesterday was a setback. That's how it works in the real world. When things get difficult, some people chicken out while others persevere and become more determined. That's just how it is. So don't listen to the chickens.