Perhaps Creed is right, but I don't think it's the main issue.
Before Brooks was hired I posted a history of college football where I outlined what a place like Kentucky would look like when successful.
There are very few blue blood programs that can reload every single year. Places like Bama, Michigan.....can yield 10+ wins every year with very little fall off. They recruit so well that there is little to no drop off. If they have to replace a coach or staff, they do so with the elite candidates.
Most programs are not blue blood programs. They are subject to an ebb/flow of wins/losses. And this ebb/flow come regardless of success level. For example, Kentucky was a horrid program for 60-70 years.....averaging about 3-4 wins/year. Even during this terrible period, there was an ebb/flow where season win totals would fluctuate from 1-2 wins up to about 4-5 wins/year. Even teams who have been respectable have ebb/flow. Programs like Auburn will drop down to 4-5 wins/year on occasion, but then rise back up to perhaps win 9-10. Look at programs who have kept coaches around for a long time......you'll see a fluctuation in wins/losses per year.
My thought was that Kentucky was capable of what Auburn looked like above. Depending on staff, schedule, roster, injuries, recruiting, luck, etc.........in a typical 4-5 yr span, they would dip down to 5-6 wins and then up to about 9-10 wins. This is mostly what we've seen out of Stoops thus far.
Now certainly, you could argue that we haven't gotten back to 9-10 wins since 2018 and that would be a valid argument. But you could also argue that if Levis had improved for his Senior year like we hoped.......or if Leary showed as much potential as he did in 2021.....that getting to 9-10 wins in 2022 or 2023 is that not that big of a stretch.
Plus, NIL (started in 2021) and the pandemic didn't help matters at all. Sure, there are programs that used NIL/Covid to benefit.....but there are many programs who have been affected negatively.