For you betters, #2 Houston only a 2.5 favorite @ unranked Iowa State

[UK90]

The Hilton magic works again. So, OP, do you now get why UH was such a “way too fishy” small favorite?

It’s funny how consistently these “look at this screwed up spread” threads get proven wrong. Never assume the Vegas oddsmakers have made a mistake. Those that do usually end up regretting it.

 

[StubbornPenny]

And that is exactly why Vegas gets rich. UK was underdogs against Florida. #8 vs unranked. Yes I know Florida didn't cover, but you get the point.
One thing to look at. How much of the $$$ is on the Houston side ? If it's 75-80% it means Joe public is on the "sure thing", sure things and locks very seldom cover. It's why you see people with gambling g problems losing it all. "No way this one can lose" , said the degenerate who lost his ass.
Gambling can be fun. But you have to set a limit you can afford to lose. Also do your homework and have a system of actually handicapping the games based on results, trends, and the actual game situations.

It’s also important to have a stash, and establish that your bets are 2% to 5% of your stash. Never go heavy on a “sure thing.”

This can also be explained in units. If I have $100 as a stash, 1 unit of betting is $2. If I am confident on a bet, I can go two units or 2.5 units. You really shouldn’t exceed 2.5 units ever. Tracking your profit or loss as units kinda reduces a little sticker shock. It’s all a percentages game.

 

[BGCATFAN2012]

This.

Vegas didn’t build all those massive casinos by not knowing what they’re doing.

By setting fake odds to draw bets. Listing odds and giving teams 88% chance to win when said teams go down 15 immediately.

 

[CatOfDaVille]

It’s also important to have a stash, and establish that your bets are 2% to 5% of your stash. Never go heavy on a “sure thing.”

This can also be explained in units. If I have $100 as a stash, 1 unit of betting is $2. If I am confident on a bet, I can go two units or 2.5 units. You really shouldn’t exceed 2.5 units ever. Tracking your profit or loss as units kinda reduces a little sticker shock. It’s all a percentages game.

Absolutely. I read somewhere that the best sports bettors only win like 51% of the time.

That's also why I prefer several smaller bets vs one big one.

Also parlays are generally not a good bet. I do some small ones here and there because it's really fun when they hit, but there's a reason why almost all of the promos and boosts on betting apps are centered around parlays.

 

[PhattyJ4UK]

Yall severely underestimate the power of home court in conference games against top teams. Houston would win by ten plus at home but this was the likely outcome.

Home favorites and slight dogs in conference play are the ticket.

 

[catsfanbgky]

It’s also important to have a stash, and establish that your bets are 2% to 5% of your stash. Never go heavy on a “sure thing.”

This can also be explained in units. If I have $100 as a stash, 1 unit of betting is $2. If I am confident on a bet, I can go two units or 2.5 units. You really shouldn’t exceed 2.5 units ever. Tracking your profit or loss as units kinda reduces a little sticker shock. It’s all a percentages game.

Approach it just like a investment. Money management is maybe the most important part outside research. Another HUGE mistake I have watched casual bettors do, try and bet 20 games on any given Saturday. Doing that gives you ZERO chance of making a profit. Juice will eat your ass up. IF you are very good and hit 60%, juice will eat it up from the 40% losses. Nobody , nobody is hitting 70% of their bets, 60 is very good and hard to sustain long haul.

 

[catsfanbgky]

Juat out of curiosity did anyone see what the % of money was on the Houston side ? Had to be 80-85% I would guess. Fade thr public bet and I wasn't even betting the game until I viewed this thread. I faded the OP. Thanks guy, I needed it after my shitty SC +13 at Bama. Looked solid early, but they got boatraced in the 2nd half. Ran straight out of the gym.

 

[UK90]

Yall severely underestimate the power of home court in conference games against top teams.

Looks to me like what you’re calling “y’all” is really only one person in one post.

The original post is really the only one that seemed baffled by the spread. Everyone else seemed to get it. But, hey, thanks for telling us what we already know.

 

[catman15]

Bad call by me i can own up lol I've started off solid though so I'm not gonna let it ruin a good basketball night for me

 

[ukcatz12]

Yall severely underestimate the power of home court in conference games against top teams. Houston would win by ten plus at home but this was the likely outcome.

Home favorites and slight dogs in conference play are the ticket.

And playing at Hilton two or three steps harder than just a normal conference road game. I believe in the last 12 years or so Iowa St. has the third most top 25 upsets at home of any team in the country. That place is hard to win at.

 

[ukfan1622]

Approach it just like a investment. Money management is maybe the most important part outside research. Another HUGE mistake I have watched casual bettors do, try and bet 20 games on any given Saturday. Doing that gives you ZERO chance of making a profit. Juice will eat your ass up. IF you are very good and hit 60%, juice will eat it up from the 40% losses. Nobody , nobody is hitting 70% of their bets, 60 is very good and hard to sustain long haul.

Well, if you hit 60% the vig will eat up the same percentage whether you bet 10 games or 1000 games. But if you can bet 10 games per week and hit 60% then you should already be rich from betting on games.

You are completely right about the betting many games chances of winning. I would guess nobody can hit 60% in the long run betting more than 5-6 games per week. Even if you're great at predicting games you are not likely to make money at it unless you can resist the urge to bet too many games and manage your money.