Aike’s Model Update - 3/5/25

[Aike]

Turns out beating up on bad teams is good for your metrics. Who knew?

Setting up an 11 vs 12 showdown to end the season.

1. Auburn 4.26
2. Duke 3.82
3. Tennessee 3.06
4. Houston 2.98
5. Florida 2.93
6. Gonzaga 2.88
7. Arizona 2.65
8. Iowa St 2.61
9. Texas Tech 2.50
10. Alabama 2.40
11. Missouri 2.29
12. Kentucky 2.21
13. Maryland 2.142
14. Purdue 2.135
15. UConn 2.11
16. Kansas 2.095
17. Clemson 2.092
18. St John’s 1.99
19. Michigan St 1.95
20. Mississippi St 1.954
21. BYU 1.952
22. UCLA 1.91
23. Marquette 1.90
24. Michigan 1.80
25. Mississippi 1.75
27. Louisville 1.61
28. Georgia 1.60
29. Vanderbilt 1.58
30. Arkansas 1.57
36. Texas A&M 1.32
37. Ohio St 1.31
38. North Carolina 1.28
40. Oklahoma 1.23
48. Texas 1.09
51. Indiana 1.00
74. LSU 0.61
83. S Carolina 0.47

 

[BlueWorldOrder74]

What is pulling Texas AM down?

 

[Aike]

What is pulling Texas AM down?

They play garbage basketball. They try to win by mucking up the game and hoping the refs fall for their flops.

Hard to get away with that for long in the tournament. Always exceptions, but I’ll be surprised if they win more than one game. Hope they win none, honestly.

 

[will1976]

Turns out beating up on bad teams is good for your metrics. Who knew?

Setting up an 11 vs 12 showdown to end the season.

1. Auburn 4.26
2. Duke 3.82
3. Tennessee 3.06
4. Houston 2.98
5. Florida 2.93
6. Gonzaga 2.88
7. Arizona 2.65
8. Iowa St 2.61
9. Texas Tech 2.50
10. Alabama 2.40
11. Missouri 2.29
12. Kentucky 2.21
13. Maryland 2.142
14. Purdue 2.135
15. UConn 2.11
16. Kansas 2.095
17. Clemson 2.092
18. St John’s 1.99
19. Michigan St 1.95
20. Mississippi St 1.954
21. BYU 1.952
22. UCLA 1.91
23. Marquette 1.90
24. Michigan 1.80
25. Mississippi 1.75
27. Louisville 1.61
28. Georgia 1.60
29. Vanderbilt 1.58
30. Arkansas 1.57
36. Texas A&M 1.32
37. Ohio St 1.31
38. North Carolina 1.28
40. Oklahoma 1.23
48. Texas 1.09
51. Indiana 1.00
74. LSU 0.61
83. S Carolina 0.47

Thanks for the info!

 

[BlueWorldOrder74]

They play garbage basketball. They try to win by mucking up the game and hoping the refs fall for their flops.

Hard to get away with that for long in the tournament. Always exceptions, but I’ll be surprised if they win more than one game. Hope they win none, honestly.

I’m with you. And I agree, I just didn’t know computers knew that also!

 

[yabbadabbadoo]

Where’s Drake in the model ????
They’re same as Duke 27-3
Beat Vandy @ Vandy
Beat Kansas St @ Kansas St

I don’t see where just because you beat the hell out of trash teams it should catapult you to the top

I don’t see Drake anywhere !!!!

Texas A&M at 36 is a joke

St John’s should be ahead of Duke and they’re 18

 

[BlueCat#8]

Now we know how duke is ranked so high. They have beaten up bad teams all year

 

[ArtLaibsGhost]

How I Kansas 16 in the metric, they are absolute garbage

 

[Aike]

I’m with you. And I agree, I just didn’t know computers knew that also!

Only my computer 😂

 

[Aike]

How I Kansas 16 in the metric, they are absolute garbage

Go back and look at who they have beaten and their SOS.

 

[Aike]

Now we know how duke is ranked so high. They have beaten up bad teams all year

That has a lot to do with it, but they are also really good. We have seen life become more difficult for them when they rub into teams with a pulse.

 

[Aike]

Where’s Drake in the model ????
They’re same as Duke 27-3
Beat Vandy @ Vandy
Beat Kansas St @ Kansas St

I don’t see where just because you beat the hell out of trash teams it should catapult you to the top

I don’t see Drake anywhere !!!!

Texas A&M at 36 is a joke

St John’s should be ahead of Duke and they’re 18

It’s time for you to make your own model. I can’t wait to pick it apart line by line 😁

 

[JwUKFan11]

They play garbage basketball. They try to win by mucking up the game and hoping the refs fall for their flops.

Hard to get away with that for long in the tournament. Always exceptions, but I’ll be surprised if they win more than one game. Hope they win none, honestly.

You might have the smartest computer in the world if it can watch the games and make human like decisions such as this! What an accomplishment.

 

[MonsterMash79]

Now we know how duke is ranked so high. They have beaten up bad teams all year

I honestly think they get beat early

 

[Aike]

I honestly think they get beat early

I hope they do. Should blitz their first round opponent. Could get a second round scare depending on draw. From Sweet 16 forward no one is safe.

 

[JimBR]

Does this include the Ole Miss win over the vols last night?

 

[Aike]

Does this include the Ole Miss win over the vols last night?

No

 

[jlock7614]

Turns out beating up on bad teams is good for your metrics. Who knew?

Setting up an 11 vs 12 showdown to end the season.

1. Auburn 4.26
2. Duke 3.82
3. Tennessee 3.06
4. Houston 2.98
5. Florida 2.93
6. Gonzaga 2.88
7. Arizona 2.65
8. Iowa St 2.61
9. Texas Tech 2.50
10. Alabama 2.40
11. Missouri 2.29
12. Kentucky 2.21
13. Maryland 2.142
14. Purdue 2.135
15. UConn 2.11
16. Kansas 2.095
17. Clemson 2.092
18. St John’s 1.99
19. Michigan St 1.95
20. Mississippi St 1.954
21. BYU 1.952
22. UCLA 1.91
23. Marquette 1.90
24. Michigan 1.80
25. Mississippi 1.75
27. Louisville 1.61
28. Georgia 1.60
29. Vanderbilt 1.58
30. Arkansas 1.57
36. Texas A&M 1.32
37. Ohio St 1.31
38. North Carolina 1.28
40. Oklahoma 1.23
48. Texas 1.09
51. Indiana 1.00
74. LSU 0.61
83. S Carolina 0.47

Historically, how has your model faired in the tournament?

 

[Aike]

Historically, how has your model faired in the tournament?

Pretty well.

 

[phunterd]

Thanks as always for posting.

 

[jlock7614]

Pretty well.

I guess I should have asked for more detailed examples. I appreciate data collection and statistics would love to see a more in depth analysis of how your model performed in prior tournaments if possible.