I'll take you up on a tailgate beer. I live in the Iowa City area. I go past Kinnick almost every day.
2 Weeks Before Game Day: Iowa Analaysis From An Iowa Fan
- Thread starter rucker4
- Start date
Iowa 2002 vs. 2009, and now Iowa 2015 vs. 2021. Prior to the Michigan game and since the Big Ten Title game, Kirk Ferentz has talked about how draining the 2015 Title Game was on the 2016 Rose Bowl game.
It will be interesting to see how the bowl prep goes for Iowa, especially in the offensive line.
Iowa played 10 B1G games. The Iowa State game was certainly another solid opponent.
How much gas does Iowa have heading into the Citrus Bowl?
Against Purdue, at 6-0, they didn't have much in them at all.
The Iowa State and Penn State games were the best games all around, though they fell behind at home against PSU.
Iowa needs to get off to a good start in Orlando.
That first drive against Michigan looked promising, then they entered the red zone and garbage.
Lately, the red zone has been garbage for Iowa.
This one is going to be an interesting one.
Send me a message before the season next year begins. You are a Kentucky grd I'm assuming by your handle?
It was even worse in 2020 against Northwestern. Iowa got off to what a 17-0 start, but lost 21-20 and OC Brian Ferentz had QB Spencer Petras throw 51 passes?
Purdue was worse, since we could actually attend that game, post-covid 19
I don't normally read long paragraphs written on message boards but gotta say I enjoyed your detailed breakdown and analysis. Hope the Cats prevail but I can definitely think of other teams I'd hate losing to way more than Iowa.
Hoping for a great game!
Is Spencer Petras better or worse than Nate Stanley?
Stanley had better O-Line play around him.
As @BrewHawk mentioned, what will the O-Line bring in the bowl game.
Ironically, OC Brian Ferentz is 3-0 in bowls.
Then, you have his issues against Purdue and at Wisconsin (2017 and 2021).
Will RB Ivory Kelly-Martin perform well or will we see three RBs in Orlando?
I hope CB Terry Roberts can return. His absence has taken some of the early mojo and energy on special teams down a notch.
Both Kentucky and Iowa have had successful seasons. Both out performed their preseason predictions.
@rucker4 I did have Iowa at 10-2 and 51 as a tiebreaker. But, at 6-0, I wasn't ready to book any trips to Indy.
Thanks to Minnesota, Iowa did get to Indy and played a hot Michigan team, who were equal on special teams all season with Iowa.
Bad match up. Worse loss to Michigan in 40 years quite frankly. Purdue loss felt like the 1961 to 1980 era level.
Wisconsin was given four turnovers inside Iowa 30. Gift wrapped win.
Iowa had back to back games where TD passes happened without a player within 10 yards.
Basically happened with Michigan's trick play, as well.
Iowa's defense will face a stern test in Orlando.
Haha. So you want to ask me questions now despite not answering the easy ones I served up to you that you refuse to answer? hahaha But hey, I'll answer anyway: I think 99 of 100 Iowa fans would take Nate Stanley on talent alone despite the fact Stanley is way down the list of most talented QBs at Iowa. So doesn't speak well for Petras.
I already replied earlier to you about Brian Ferentz, You're trying to put lipstick on a pig with him. Count on one hand in 5 years how many solid games he's had as an OC. Every other game he's been an AVERAGE Offensive Coordinator on his best days, and typically below average on the others. Most Iowa fans share the same opinion so it's not just me.
Special teams are still strong even without Terry Roberts. Let's not overblow this.
Again, Wisconsin dominated Iowa in all phases of our game there this year-- so stop again with the excuses.
Iowa still a good team-- just not mired in all these excuses you keep using. We won 10 games which is fantastic. We lost 3 and in all 3 were beaten bad-- combined score of 93-17.
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Thanks much same bowie-- there's a name from the past!
Glad you enjoyed my post. I did it with no bias involved and was just being dead honest-- not sugar coating of anything.
I think it will be a great game too-- guessing low scoring. Two teams and two head coaches very very similar.
Iowa lost to Purdue, Wisconsin and Michigan. They were blowouts.
Analytics suggest falling behind isn't good for Iowa or most opponents against any of those teams.
Special teams have been inconsistent this season. Terry Roberts is missed. In many games, Iowa had the second best punter.
Brian Ferentz in losses didn't attack the end zone or go vertical.
Thankfully, he did against Minnesota. Otherwise, Iowa vs. Michigan wouldn't have been.
Which Kentucky team do we get in Orlando?
Both teams turned the ball over in their losses.
Both starting RBs are known to fumble. All three QBs are poor in losses with interceptions.
It should be an interesting one.
UK needs to get its run game going and not let Levis throw bad passes. Iowa defense has great hands and will make you pay.
Probably the least imposing 10 win team you ever saw though. And that was with their starting RB.
They have an excellent punter. Don't battle them ugly.
Probably the least imposing 10 win team you ever saw though. And that was with their starting RB.
They have an excellent punter. Don't battle them ugly.
Umm, Levis is the 5th rated QB in the SEC. You arent really equating him with your QB's are you? In fact, Levis is #15 and Petras is #89 in the NCAA. Even more telling, you only faced 1 QB rated higher, Purdue's.
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The only knock I know of was the 3 INTs in the MS ST game. Against Iowa, Sean Clifford was known for his INTs, not Levis.
The whole team played a crap game at Miss State. For whatever reason, we never play well there. I added to my previous post, you may not have seen it.
Lol, you're a nut, Hawk Homer #1 is pretty funny. I'm just trying to keep it real.
but this cid dude is "unreal" in his analysis of Iowa
@BigBlueFanGA Much respect to you and your vastly statistically higher QB. As mentioned previously, Iowa made it to this Bowl this year on the strength of the defense and special teams play, with the offense (including QB Petras or Padilla) playing “well enough” to win 10 games. Ferentz describes his team like a car that’s not fancy nor flashy, but does alright getting from point A to B, or words to that effect. Bottom line, typically if you can score more than 24 against us, then your odds of winning are pretty decent. But you score less than 24, don’t be surprised if the Hawks are playing the close kind of game it likes, with the winner decided pretty close to the end of the game….should be a good game!
Well, thanks, since stats are what they are. Question for you. Do you think Petras can beat us in the air?
Depends. Petras has played well in the past with a tight game or in the lead as he seems to manage games well for Kirk, but not as much when we’re down two touchdowns or more (though he did bring us back recently against Nebraska). He’s been in the program for three years total. If Iowa wins, it won’t be solely on Petras’ arm, but more likely a collection of things going our way, such as the turnover battle…
Yeah, your defense is gonna have to put up points, and/or special teams. Your offensive numbers just blow my mind when you see the record. I honestly can't wrap my head around it. Do you realize you're 111th in both rushing and passing, 123rd in total offense.. I will say that depending on those defensive/special teams points is a dangerous game. We should haveca fun game, I wish it would get here already.
I would venture to guess if you researched few teams have ever gone 10-3 with an offense as bad as Iowa's has been. Getting to even 300 yards total offense in a game for us is astounding. This has been the product of a very conservative approach, a very inexperienced and young OL, a very limited QB in ability, and a weak WR core (arguably our two best WR are true freshmen) overall.
Iowa's defense did put up lots of points early in the year and was stellar in the first 6 games-- creating LOTS of turnovers too. But in the last 7 games the defense gave up twice as any points per game as in the first 6 games and did not create turnovers anywhere close to how they did the first half of the year-- mainly because they just spent way too much time on the field all year because of such a poor offense.
Yeah but really, y'all had a miraculous season considering all that. Ferentz is a very good coach. He has played his hand pretty darn well. Tradition helps a lot. The players play up to expectations.
Thanks! Again, Iowa football has blessed it's fans in a large way since the 1981 season-- which was the season that ended 19 straight losing seasons and was Hayden's 3rd year at Iowa-- Rose Bowl year. Hayden created the culture the rest of the way. Ferentz picked up the torch in 1999 and needed two years to build the program back up, then he took off with it. We've had an amazing ride and when fans not familiar with Iowa look at this program's achievements dating back 40 years they really are astounded.
Iowa usually doesn't beat themselves. Might feel like plain vanilla football but it's been very winning football. Ferentz himself has lead Iowa to 4 top 10 finishes in the country in his time here, numerous bowl games, sent dozens of guys to the NFL (we are tied with Clemson for 6th currently in most players in NFL), have held our own against Michigan, Penn State, and Ohio State overall. We probably take it for granted in a way-- especially that stat again that only Alabama, Ohio State, LSU, Georgia, and Notre Dame have more guys currently in the NFL does Iowa and Clemson (tied). Who woulda thunk?
Yes, very strong tradition at Iowa. And STABILITY-- two Head Coaches over the past 43 years!
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Probably those effing stupid-ass cowbells. I had a headache by the second quarter of the Outback a couple years ago.
Yeah, we're like the Shreck of college football.
Just some Iowa history to give you an idea of the winning numbers in the recent past against good teams.
2016 Iowa vs #3 Michigan (14-13) Iowa with 230 total yards, 66 through the air.
2018 Iowa vs #18 Mississippi State (27-22) Iowa with 199 total yards. -15 yards rushing.
2019 Iowa vs #8 Minnesota (23-19) Iowa with 290 total yards.
2021 Iowa vs. #4 Penn State (23-20) Iowa with 305 total yards.
There are more examples of such wins going further back in history, but this illustrates how Iowa can get to a 10-3 record with a crappy offense.
Those wins have happened because of field position (punting), turnovers, special teams plays and efficient defense that rises up in the red zone, limiting the opponent to FGs. The offense is good enough to allow the defense to rest and make adjustments.
There are exceptions, such as Iowa beating #6 Ohio State 55-24 with 487 yards total, split evenly between rushing and passing. They had no answer that day, mostly due to a wonderful schematic advantage that Iowa discovered with their two first round TEs, Hockenson and Fant.
I see a closer game hinging on mistakes. If Iowa can limit big plays and win the turnover battle, they should win the game. If not, then the Cats may run away and hide. I really like our defense this year, despite what they showed in the second half vs a very good Michigan offense (that did the same thing to Ohio State the week before).
Iowa defense gave up 26 points a game last 7 games vs. 13 a game first 6. Fellt a lot had to do with defense just wearing down by being on the field so much. Hoping the time off since end of regular season will play big for them.
It may be Alex Padilla, not Spencer Petras? Padilla is healthy. Some are curious on Petras being 100%.
Neither have been outstanding, but they did help contributed to 10 wins.
Iowa was only 4-3 in final 7 games. Kentucky was 5-3 in SEC slate they faced.
Ultimately, it will come down to 60 minutes and head to head. Kentucky is a 3 point favorite.
Both programs have been competitive their past 3 bowl games, though it has been two seasons, since Iowa played in a game.
We will find out more. @TomKakert from Rivals' Hawkeye Report is one person who repeated it. What is the extent of Spencer Petras' injury.
I don't doubt he is Iowa's #1 at 13-5 as a starter compared to Alex Padilla at 3-0 over past two seasons. Petras didn't start Nebraska game, but was better in relief. Threw a better ball for a change.
Many Hawkeye fans have witnessed depth charts as being a possible example of who is #1, but Iowa's new starter at LT is another question, since #2 is listed and he started Michigan game and throughout most of the season, except due to an injury.
Over the course of 13 games, we have witnessed a number of different players start on offense for Iowa. C Tyler Linderbaum has started every game, but may be only offensive position in which that can be said. I suspect TE Sam LaPorta may have started all 13. Sometimes, Iowa has a given play and unit may have pushed a person into a start.
Frankly, I wouldn't have a problem seeing Alex Padilla as a starter. He fits the role well. I think Spencer Petras is a solid #2. He stepped up well in Nebraska game.
I don't doubt he is Iowa's #1 at 13-5 as a starter compared to Alex Padilla at 3-0 over past two seasons. Petras didn't start Nebraska game, but was better in relief. Threw a better ball for a change.
Many Hawkeye fans have witnessed depth charts as being a possible example of who is #1, but Iowa's new starter at LT is another question, since #2 is listed and he started Michigan game and throughout most of the season, except due to an injury.
Over the course of 13 games, we have witnessed a number of different players start on offense for Iowa. C Tyler Linderbaum has started every game, but may be only offensive position in which that can be said. I suspect TE Sam LaPorta may have started all 13. Sometimes, Iowa has a given play and unit may have pushed a person into a start.
Frankly, I wouldn't have a problem seeing Alex Padilla as a starter. He fits the role well. I think Spencer Petras is a solid #2. He stepped up well in Nebraska game.
I think you guys expected Williams to start at RB but Ivory Kelly Martin is getting the nod. Plumb at LT.
Iowa football releases updated depth chart ahead of Citrus Bowl
Kirk Ferentz and the Hawkeyes have released an updated depth chart ahead of the Citrus Bowl.
247sports.com
![[laughing]](http://l.yimg.com/j/assets/img/emoticons/classic/laugh.r191677.gif "Laughing [laughing]")
Our depth charts don't mean anything.I think you guys expected Williams to start at RB but Ivory Kelly Martin is getting the nod. Plumb at LT.
Iowa football releases updated depth chart ahead of Citrus Bowl
Kirk Ferentz and the Hawkeyes have released an updated depth chart ahead of the Citrus Bowl.
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