First, I've truly appreciated being on your board a lot the past couple weeks since Iowa found out they'd be playing Kentucky in the Citrus Bowl game. You are an amazingly respectful and knowledgeable fan base and so many posters here I wish I could sit down with to have a beer. I'd invite most any of you here to stop by one of my tailgates if you're ever in Iowa City for an Iowa game sometime in the future. Seriously!
On to my thoughts about the Iowa team you'll play in 2 weeks. I have attended Iowa games since the 1970s-- currently hold 8 season tickets. University of Iowa grad, Iowa native here and live in Iowa City for years now. I pride myself in being objective -- not a homer, though my loyalty with Iowa runs deep.
So here goes in a simple forecast:
From the opening kickoff, understand completely Iowa predicates their success on the defense-- NOT their offense. Has been the case for 23 years with Kirk Ferentz-- consistent all those years.
Iowa also prides themselves in strong specialty teams play; and most years has had great specialty teams.
They pride themselves in playing very sound fundamental football; low amount of turnovers.
These are all Kirk Ferentz staples. He is a Bill Belicheck disciple-- having coached under him in the NFL in Cleveland. Style points mean nothing to Ferentz. One of his greatest wins ever was in 2003 I believe when Iowa beat Penn State 6-4 in State College.
IOWA OFFENSE:
Statistically, one of the worst in college football in 2021-- ranking 123rd. Even if you look at Iowa's offenses from the last 5 years standpoint, both nationally and in the B1G conference it ranks very low in all categories. This is because the top three themes for the Iowa offense is ball control by eating clock, being risk adverse, and not turning the ball over.
Iowa's best RB, Tyler Goodson, as you likely know, is opting out of the game to turn pro.
Iowa's best offensive player, without a close second, is center Tyler Linderbaum. If he does turn pro after this game, he'll be a high 1st round draft pick. He's a gem.
After Linderbaum, best players on "O" are TE Sam LaPorta. Iowa knows TEs as we are proud to say we are TEU with Dallas Clark, George Kittle, TJ Hockensen, and Noah Fant from here. LaPorta not in their class but he'll be playing on Sundays in two seasons.
Iowa Offensive Line a mess this year-- young and inexperienced. Sad because usually this is the strength of the team. Will it grow up in the Citrus Bowl? Likely not enough.
You may see Iowa play two QBs- Spencer Petras and Alex Padilla. All respect to them but neither will strike great fear into you. Petras hates to tuck the ball and run, and will throw the ball away 6 times a game. Padilla more mobile, but not near the passer Petras is. Side note: Truly hard for Hawk fans to believe Petras broke most every high school record of Jared Goff when he came to Iowa (from same high school). Mind boggling.
If not mistaken, Iowa's offense averaged about 24 points a game this year and Iowa's defense and special teams contributed to a good chunk of that. Averaged less than 20 points a game in B1G play-- YIKES!
IOWA DEFENSE:
Again, the staple. However, not near as good in the last 7 games as it was in the first 6. The defense went 29 consecutive games giving up 24 points or less until that streak snapped in their 8th game of the year against Wisconsin.
You won't see Iowa providing much of a pass rush, but they will be very strong on the line and up the middle. Early in the season we had a ridiculous amount of turnovers created be the defense but that dwindled as the year went on. Iowa does pride themselves on creating lots of turnovers-- always has.
Best defensive player absolutely is LB Jack Campbell. Clone of former Hawk great LB and NFL star Chad Greenway. CB Riley Moss is going to play in the game but foregoing one more year of college to go to the NFL draft this spring. He was hurt at mid-season and missed some games and absolutely not 100% healthy but he's been good.
Iowa will be without CB Matt Hankins ( a good one) in the Citrus though he's missed the last few games now.
IOWA SPECIAL TEAMS/KICKING:
Tory Taylor is an amazing Punter. Pins teams down in the old "coffin corner" especially. May leave Iowa after 2022 as the schools best punter I've ever seen-- even better than former NFL All-Pro Reggie Roby. Personally I wouldn't trade him for another punter in the country.
Caleb Shudak was 3rd team All-American this year. He's just been suburb-- all I can say.
Charlie Jones an absolute BIG THREAT on kick off and punt returns. He's been great.
Overall, kickoff and punt return teams are a strength of this team.
KEYS TO BEATING IOWA:
Score more than 24 against Iowa and odds go way way up you win. Iowa just doesn't have the offensive firepower to keep up.
We were 6-0 to start the season and ranked #2 overall. Had 6 games left against 6 unranked opponents-- we were thinking possible college football playoff. Then we went 4-2 in those games-- losing at home against Purdue in a horrific performance and then getting waxed at Wisconsin. Still backed into the B1G West Division title and played Michigan in the B1G title game and got waxed. Iowa fans hoping Iowa restores the look in the first 6 games vs. the look in the final 7 games. But overall, still a 10-win season.
Lots of pride at Iowa. Ferentz in year 23. We've had 4 top 10 finishes under Ferentz. 2 B1G titles overall (though some time ago now). MANY New Years bowl appearances. Only two football coaches in past 43 years year between Hayden Fry and Ferentz. Iowa ranks I think in top 10 currently in most former players in the NFL currently-- shocking stat to most. And I believe only Ohio State has more in the NFL right now than does Iowa.
There you go. There's the most objective Iowa scouting report you'll get from a longtime Iowa football follower who knows football pretty well.
Great respect for your Wildcats and have expressed many times in posts here the respect we have for Mark Stoops and the entire Stoops family. We consider him "family" because of the deep roots here. If we lose, can't say I'll be deeply upset losing to a Stoops. And for the record, as much as I don't want to say so, I see Kentucky winning but be assured I will be rooting hard for the Hawks.
On to my thoughts about the Iowa team you'll play in 2 weeks. I have attended Iowa games since the 1970s-- currently hold 8 season tickets. University of Iowa grad, Iowa native here and live in Iowa City for years now. I pride myself in being objective -- not a homer, though my loyalty with Iowa runs deep.
So here goes in a simple forecast:
From the opening kickoff, understand completely Iowa predicates their success on the defense-- NOT their offense. Has been the case for 23 years with Kirk Ferentz-- consistent all those years.
Iowa also prides themselves in strong specialty teams play; and most years has had great specialty teams.
They pride themselves in playing very sound fundamental football; low amount of turnovers.
These are all Kirk Ferentz staples. He is a Bill Belicheck disciple-- having coached under him in the NFL in Cleveland. Style points mean nothing to Ferentz. One of his greatest wins ever was in 2003 I believe when Iowa beat Penn State 6-4 in State College.
IOWA OFFENSE:
Statistically, one of the worst in college football in 2021-- ranking 123rd. Even if you look at Iowa's offenses from the last 5 years standpoint, both nationally and in the B1G conference it ranks very low in all categories. This is because the top three themes for the Iowa offense is ball control by eating clock, being risk adverse, and not turning the ball over.
Iowa's best RB, Tyler Goodson, as you likely know, is opting out of the game to turn pro.
Iowa's best offensive player, without a close second, is center Tyler Linderbaum. If he does turn pro after this game, he'll be a high 1st round draft pick. He's a gem.
After Linderbaum, best players on "O" are TE Sam LaPorta. Iowa knows TEs as we are proud to say we are TEU with Dallas Clark, George Kittle, TJ Hockensen, and Noah Fant from here. LaPorta not in their class but he'll be playing on Sundays in two seasons.
Iowa Offensive Line a mess this year-- young and inexperienced. Sad because usually this is the strength of the team. Will it grow up in the Citrus Bowl? Likely not enough.
You may see Iowa play two QBs- Spencer Petras and Alex Padilla. All respect to them but neither will strike great fear into you. Petras hates to tuck the ball and run, and will throw the ball away 6 times a game. Padilla more mobile, but not near the passer Petras is. Side note: Truly hard for Hawk fans to believe Petras broke most every high school record of Jared Goff when he came to Iowa (from same high school). Mind boggling.
If not mistaken, Iowa's offense averaged about 24 points a game this year and Iowa's defense and special teams contributed to a good chunk of that. Averaged less than 20 points a game in B1G play-- YIKES!
IOWA DEFENSE:
Again, the staple. However, not near as good in the last 7 games as it was in the first 6. The defense went 29 consecutive games giving up 24 points or less until that streak snapped in their 8th game of the year against Wisconsin.
You won't see Iowa providing much of a pass rush, but they will be very strong on the line and up the middle. Early in the season we had a ridiculous amount of turnovers created be the defense but that dwindled as the year went on. Iowa does pride themselves on creating lots of turnovers-- always has.
Best defensive player absolutely is LB Jack Campbell. Clone of former Hawk great LB and NFL star Chad Greenway. CB Riley Moss is going to play in the game but foregoing one more year of college to go to the NFL draft this spring. He was hurt at mid-season and missed some games and absolutely not 100% healthy but he's been good.
Iowa will be without CB Matt Hankins ( a good one) in the Citrus though he's missed the last few games now.
IOWA SPECIAL TEAMS/KICKING:
Tory Taylor is an amazing Punter. Pins teams down in the old "coffin corner" especially. May leave Iowa after 2022 as the schools best punter I've ever seen-- even better than former NFL All-Pro Reggie Roby. Personally I wouldn't trade him for another punter in the country.
Caleb Shudak was 3rd team All-American this year. He's just been suburb-- all I can say.
Charlie Jones an absolute BIG THREAT on kick off and punt returns. He's been great.
Overall, kickoff and punt return teams are a strength of this team.
KEYS TO BEATING IOWA:
Score more than 24 against Iowa and odds go way way up you win. Iowa just doesn't have the offensive firepower to keep up.
We were 6-0 to start the season and ranked #2 overall. Had 6 games left against 6 unranked opponents-- we were thinking possible college football playoff. Then we went 4-2 in those games-- losing at home against Purdue in a horrific performance and then getting waxed at Wisconsin. Still backed into the B1G West Division title and played Michigan in the B1G title game and got waxed. Iowa fans hoping Iowa restores the look in the first 6 games vs. the look in the final 7 games. But overall, still a 10-win season.
Lots of pride at Iowa. Ferentz in year 23. We've had 4 top 10 finishes under Ferentz. 2 B1G titles overall (though some time ago now). MANY New Years bowl appearances. Only two football coaches in past 43 years year between Hayden Fry and Ferentz. Iowa ranks I think in top 10 currently in most former players in the NFL currently-- shocking stat to most. And I believe only Ohio State has more in the NFL right now than does Iowa.
There you go. There's the most objective Iowa scouting report you'll get from a longtime Iowa football follower who knows football pretty well.
Great respect for your Wildcats and have expressed many times in posts here the respect we have for Mark Stoops and the entire Stoops family. We consider him "family" because of the deep roots here. If we lose, can't say I'll be deeply upset losing to a Stoops. And for the record, as much as I don't want to say so, I see Kentucky winning but be assured I will be rooting hard for the Hawks.
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