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Your guess on the Florida game spread ?

Should be UK -1.

Most of the models have this within a point either way with the outliers favoring Florida by a few points.

But as others have mentioned in this thread making this a pick em or having UF favored means betters are going to load up on UK.


I will say that if this opens at a pick em or worse and the public loads up on UK then that is a bad sign for us as it shows Vegas taking a stand in Florida winning outright
 
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I have it modeled as UK -3.

I suspect it will open more like UK -1.5. Kenpom indicates Florida should be favored, but I don’t think they will do that with the game at UK.

Plus listing it with Florida favored invites gamblers to load up on Kentucky, which I don’t think Vegas wants, given the reality that models like mine consider UK the favorite.

Well done.
 
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Yes, they will. The OSU game exposed us pretty badly. And we still won't have Kerr back.

UF will be the favorite and by at least -3.5. And they will cover that quite easily because I simply don't see this team turning it around in 5 days after really not showing much of an improvement in key areas 10 days after a royal ass kicking.

This aged really well.

Kentucky is -1.5 point favorite.

Super awesome take.
 
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