Versus those two teams that blew big leads😎
But that kind of drives the whole point home.
Yeah, that's alarming too. For Duke and Gonzaga.
My point is context matters and I think it's something that gets lost in both human polls and computer metrics.
Let's say you are playing a game and you are up 20-25 most of the game. 4 mins left in the game you decide you are going to put your bench guys in. You win by 10. The game was never in doubt. The only reason it was that close was because you made the decision to rest some starters.
Contrast that with a tight back and forth game where the trailing teams has to foul at the end and the leading team makes a bunch of free throws and extends the lead to win by 10.
The end result is both teams won by 10. That's what the polls see. That's what the metrics will also see. But the context matters. IMO, how you got there matters. The end result is great in terms of resume building, but we are trying to compete for national titles here, not just have a nice resume.
In three games vs Clemson, Duke and Gonzaga we had this:
vs Clemson 4:20 left in the game trail by 8, We had an 11.3% chance of winning the game at that point.
vs Duke trailed 42-32 at half. Trailed 61-53 with 9:55 left in the game. We had a 6.5% chance of winning at that point.
vs Gonzaga trailed 52-34. At that point we had a 3.1% chance of winning the game.
March is a one and done tournament. You can't put yourself behind the 8 ball too many times and expect to win six games in a row which is what we are striving for here.
That's why I said no one needs to "eat crow". There's some massive overreactions like most game threads but the issues in the first half were definitely worth discussing. And you can bet that while Pope is happy they won these games (always better to be on this side), he's also thinking right now how did we get down by that much to begin with and how can we prevent that going forward. It's just what good coaches and good teams do. Get better in additional to winning.