I don't buy Penn State as a double digit favorite over Boise at all. Boise's only loss was to Oregon by 3 points. Their SMU game would've been closer if SMU's QB didn't have a brain meltdown and throw two pick 6's in the early stages of the game. Not sure if Boise prevails (I hope they do) but I feel they are just getting blasted this year by the media who is in the pockets of the SEC (ESPN) and Big 10 (FOX).
I think Ohio State can beat Oregon. They had a good battle last time and this time Ohio State has the revenge factor. They are the most talented team in the field, but they have to put it all together. Not surprised they are a favorite.
Still think whoever wins GA-ND wins the lower half of the bracket. ND has a good running attack and one of its better defenses in years. However, their lack of a vertical passing attack makes me question if the team is a national title squad. GA without Beck opens up a lot of questions, but I jumped on the under when it came out since I expect that to keep going downwards until game time. It'll be a grind it out/old school football game for people like me that love the smash mouth style.
Only quarter-final that I think will be a blowout is Texas-Arizona State. The Longhorns should put ASU out quickly and coast by at least 3 scores.
The big playoff reform must happen is the top 4 seeds need to be the best 4 ranked teams. No auto bids to the bye as a conference champ. That is why Ohio State-Oregon and ND-GA are happening in the quarters and not later. If that had been the case this year our bracket would've been:
(8) Indiana-(9) Boise State winner vs. (1) Oregon
(5) Notre Dame-(12) Clemson winner vs. (4) Penn State
(6) Ohio State-(11) Arizona State winner vs. (3) Texas
(7) Tennessee-(10) SMU winner vs. (2) Georgia
So under that system I think we probably still get first round blowouts but we would've had a quarters like Oregon-Boise, Penn State-Notre Dame, Texas-Ohio State, and Georgia-Tennessee. THAT is a much better slate than what we get in the next round IMO.