Colgate Raiders (Hamilton, NY)
Conference: Patriot League
Head Coach: Matt Langel (14th season: 229-192)
Schedule: Record (2-8)
11/05 SUNY CANTON W 95-62
11/09 at Drexel L 56-73
11/12 at Syracuse L 72-74
11/18 at NC State L 49-72
11/22 at Harvard L 67-78
11/27 at UNCW W 72-59
11/29 vs App State L 50-72
11/30 vs Sam Houston L 78-82
12/04 CORNELL L 57-84
12/08 at Northeastern L 75-78
12/11 at Kentucky (Rupp Arena: 20,500)
Game Information
Game time: 8pm EST
TV Channel: ESPN2 (Tom Hart and Dane Bradshaw)
Spectrum: Channel 27; U-Verse: Channel 606, 1606 HD
DISH: Channel 143; DirecTV: Channel 209
Streaming: Watch ESPN
Radio: UK Sports Network (Tom Leach and Jack Givens)
Radio options: WLAP 630, WBUL 98,1 (IHeart Radio- WLAP)
Satellite Radio: XM Channel 190, Sirius Channel 106, Internet Channel 960
Probable Starters
#1 G Brady Cummins 6-6 190 Jr 11.3pts, 3.7reb, 1.6ast, 37.8% 3fg
#5 G Nicolas Louis-Jacques 6-4 195 Sr 10.9pts, 1.7reb, 1.6ast, 37.3% 3fg
#3 G Jalen Cox 6-3 165 So 8.7pts, 5.0reb, 3.4ast, 1.7stl, 11.8% 3fg
#25 G Parker Jones 6-6 190 So 9.4pts, 4.7reb, 1.9ast, 1.3stl, 33.3% 3fg
#33 F Sam Wright 6-9 240 So 7.4pts, 3.6reb, 33.3% 3fg
Key Reserves
#10 G Chandler Baker 6-5 185 Sr 7.5pts, 1.5reb, 33.3% 3fg
#13 G Kyle Carlesimo 6-2 180 Jr 3.0pts, 0.9reb, 30.8% 3fg
#2 G Blake Forrest 5-11 175 Fr 2.9pts, 1.6reb, 1.5ast, 26.3% 3fg
#9 F Cameron Brennan 7-0 230 Fr 1.9pts, 2.0reb, 0.0% 3fg
OUT #55 F Jeff Woodward 6-11 270 Grad 9.8pts, 5.5reb, 3.0ast, 0.0% 3fg
Team Stats
Points Per Game 67.1
Points allowed 73.4
Scoring Margin -6.3
Field Goal Pct .437
FG% allowed .469
3PT FG Pct .322
3pt FG% allowed .372
FT Pct .689
Rebounds Per Game 31.3
Rebounds allowed 35.6
Rebounds Margin -4.3
Assists Per Game 13.5
Turnovers Per Game 11.3
Assist/Turnover Ratio 1.2
Steals Per Game 6.5
Blocks Per Game 2.2
KenPom Analysis
Overall rating: #273
Offense: #249
Defense: #273
Best numbers
Defensive FTA/FGA: #60 (opponents don’t shoot many FTs)
Defensive rebounding: #123
Offensive turnover%: #130
Worst numbers
Offensive FTA/FGA: #363 (they don’t shoot many FTs)
Offensive rebounding: #355
3pt% Defense: #322
Effective FG% defense: #322
Offensive Block%: #321
Analysis: Well, this will be Kentucky’s final below 200-rated opponent of the 2024-25 season. The Cats are riding high, coming off a huge, come-from-behind win over Gonzaga in Seattle. Meanwhile, Colgate is coming off 4 straight losses, and 8 losses in their last 9, and sporting a 2-8 overall record on the season. They haven’t been very competitive for most of those losses, though part of their problem is that they’ve been missing grad student and starting center Jeff Woodward who is 6-11 270lb and was the leading rebounder on the team, since their 4th game of the season. He is still their rebounding leader by average.
Looking at Colgate’s personnel, they’re led by a pair of guards, #1 Brady Cummins who is a 6-6 190lb Junior averaging 11.3 points, 3.7 rebounds, 1.6 assists, and 37.8% from 3pt range, who is really playing the small forward, and #5 Nicolas Louis-Jacques, a 6-4 195 Senior averaging 10.9 points, 1.7 rebounds, 1.6 assists, and averaging 37.3% from 3. The guy playing the 4 spot is another guard- #25 Parker Jones, 6-6 190lb Sophomore averaging 9.4 points, 4.7 rebounds, 1.9 assists, 1.3 steals, and shooting 33.3% from 3, which is trouble for Colgate. The point guard is #3 Jalen Cox, a 6-3 165lb Sophomore averaging 8.7 points, 5.0 rebounds, 3.4 assists, 1.7 steals, and only shooting 11.8% from 3. The guy who has replaced Woodward at center is forward #33 Sam Wright, a 6-9 240lb Sophomore averaging 7.4 points, 3.6 rebounds, and shooting 33.3% from 3.
From the bench, the top scorer is another guard, #10 Chandler Baker, a 6-5 185lb Senior averaging 7.5 points, 1.5 rebounds, 33.3% 3fg. He’s in the game to shoot threes primarily. He has shot 48 threes on the season out of only 72 total shots, so 2/3 of his shots come from long range. From there, they just don’t have much scoring. It’s #13 Guard Kyle Carlesimo averaging 3.0 points and #2 Guard Blake Forrest averaging 2.9 points and shooting only 26.3% from 3. As for any size off the bench, it’s #9 F/C Cameron Brennan, a 7-0 230 Freshman averaging 1.9 points and 2.0 rebounds per game.
Colgate will struggle against UK, with or without Lamont Butler and Kerr Kriisa. I know we’re all hoping Butler will be back for this game, but this game will be a likely dominant win either way. Since their starting center went out, Colgate lost by 22 at Appalachian St on a neutral site and 27 to Cornell at home. Their best opponent on the season was NC State, before they lost Woodward, they still lost 49-72. Halametrics predicts UK 95-Colgate 61, Bart Torvik says UK 92-60, Dratings predicts UK 91-67, KenPom predicts UK 89-62, and EvanMiya says UK 87-60. The Line: Kentucky -30.5; Over/Under: 157.5. I think UK hits 100 again and covers the spread.
My Prediction: Kentucky 103 Colgate 68
Conference: Patriot League
Head Coach: Matt Langel (14th season: 229-192)
Schedule: Record (2-8)
11/05 SUNY CANTON W 95-62
11/09 at Drexel L 56-73
11/12 at Syracuse L 72-74
11/18 at NC State L 49-72
11/22 at Harvard L 67-78
11/27 at UNCW W 72-59
11/29 vs App State L 50-72
11/30 vs Sam Houston L 78-82
12/04 CORNELL L 57-84
12/08 at Northeastern L 75-78
12/11 at Kentucky (Rupp Arena: 20,500)
Game Information
Game time: 8pm EST
TV Channel: ESPN2 (Tom Hart and Dane Bradshaw)
Spectrum: Channel 27; U-Verse: Channel 606, 1606 HD
DISH: Channel 143; DirecTV: Channel 209
Streaming: Watch ESPN
Radio: UK Sports Network (Tom Leach and Jack Givens)
Radio options: WLAP 630, WBUL 98,1 (IHeart Radio- WLAP)
Satellite Radio: XM Channel 190, Sirius Channel 106, Internet Channel 960
Probable Starters
#1 G Brady Cummins 6-6 190 Jr 11.3pts, 3.7reb, 1.6ast, 37.8% 3fg
#5 G Nicolas Louis-Jacques 6-4 195 Sr 10.9pts, 1.7reb, 1.6ast, 37.3% 3fg
#3 G Jalen Cox 6-3 165 So 8.7pts, 5.0reb, 3.4ast, 1.7stl, 11.8% 3fg
#25 G Parker Jones 6-6 190 So 9.4pts, 4.7reb, 1.9ast, 1.3stl, 33.3% 3fg
#33 F Sam Wright 6-9 240 So 7.4pts, 3.6reb, 33.3% 3fg
Key Reserves
#10 G Chandler Baker 6-5 185 Sr 7.5pts, 1.5reb, 33.3% 3fg
#13 G Kyle Carlesimo 6-2 180 Jr 3.0pts, 0.9reb, 30.8% 3fg
#2 G Blake Forrest 5-11 175 Fr 2.9pts, 1.6reb, 1.5ast, 26.3% 3fg
#9 F Cameron Brennan 7-0 230 Fr 1.9pts, 2.0reb, 0.0% 3fg
OUT #55 F Jeff Woodward 6-11 270 Grad 9.8pts, 5.5reb, 3.0ast, 0.0% 3fg
Team Stats
Points Per Game 67.1
Points allowed 73.4
Scoring Margin -6.3
Field Goal Pct .437
FG% allowed .469
3PT FG Pct .322
3pt FG% allowed .372
FT Pct .689
Rebounds Per Game 31.3
Rebounds allowed 35.6
Rebounds Margin -4.3
Assists Per Game 13.5
Turnovers Per Game 11.3
Assist/Turnover Ratio 1.2
Steals Per Game 6.5
Blocks Per Game 2.2
KenPom Analysis
Overall rating: #273
Offense: #249
Defense: #273
Best numbers
Defensive FTA/FGA: #60 (opponents don’t shoot many FTs)
Defensive rebounding: #123
Offensive turnover%: #130
Worst numbers
Offensive FTA/FGA: #363 (they don’t shoot many FTs)
Offensive rebounding: #355
3pt% Defense: #322
Effective FG% defense: #322
Offensive Block%: #321
Analysis: Well, this will be Kentucky’s final below 200-rated opponent of the 2024-25 season. The Cats are riding high, coming off a huge, come-from-behind win over Gonzaga in Seattle. Meanwhile, Colgate is coming off 4 straight losses, and 8 losses in their last 9, and sporting a 2-8 overall record on the season. They haven’t been very competitive for most of those losses, though part of their problem is that they’ve been missing grad student and starting center Jeff Woodward who is 6-11 270lb and was the leading rebounder on the team, since their 4th game of the season. He is still their rebounding leader by average.
Looking at Colgate’s personnel, they’re led by a pair of guards, #1 Brady Cummins who is a 6-6 190lb Junior averaging 11.3 points, 3.7 rebounds, 1.6 assists, and 37.8% from 3pt range, who is really playing the small forward, and #5 Nicolas Louis-Jacques, a 6-4 195 Senior averaging 10.9 points, 1.7 rebounds, 1.6 assists, and averaging 37.3% from 3. The guy playing the 4 spot is another guard- #25 Parker Jones, 6-6 190lb Sophomore averaging 9.4 points, 4.7 rebounds, 1.9 assists, 1.3 steals, and shooting 33.3% from 3, which is trouble for Colgate. The point guard is #3 Jalen Cox, a 6-3 165lb Sophomore averaging 8.7 points, 5.0 rebounds, 3.4 assists, 1.7 steals, and only shooting 11.8% from 3. The guy who has replaced Woodward at center is forward #33 Sam Wright, a 6-9 240lb Sophomore averaging 7.4 points, 3.6 rebounds, and shooting 33.3% from 3.
From the bench, the top scorer is another guard, #10 Chandler Baker, a 6-5 185lb Senior averaging 7.5 points, 1.5 rebounds, 33.3% 3fg. He’s in the game to shoot threes primarily. He has shot 48 threes on the season out of only 72 total shots, so 2/3 of his shots come from long range. From there, they just don’t have much scoring. It’s #13 Guard Kyle Carlesimo averaging 3.0 points and #2 Guard Blake Forrest averaging 2.9 points and shooting only 26.3% from 3. As for any size off the bench, it’s #9 F/C Cameron Brennan, a 7-0 230 Freshman averaging 1.9 points and 2.0 rebounds per game.
Colgate will struggle against UK, with or without Lamont Butler and Kerr Kriisa. I know we’re all hoping Butler will be back for this game, but this game will be a likely dominant win either way. Since their starting center went out, Colgate lost by 22 at Appalachian St on a neutral site and 27 to Cornell at home. Their best opponent on the season was NC State, before they lost Woodward, they still lost 49-72. Halametrics predicts UK 95-Colgate 61, Bart Torvik says UK 92-60, Dratings predicts UK 91-67, KenPom predicts UK 89-62, and EvanMiya says UK 87-60. The Line: Kentucky -30.5; Over/Under: 157.5. I think UK hits 100 again and covers the spread.
My Prediction: Kentucky 103 Colgate 68
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