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Norlander ranks NCAAT teams 1-68

I think his write-up is spot on:

The WIldcats had eight top-15 wins this season, and I'd have Mark Pope's group even higher if they were healthy. But with Lamont Butler's shoulder a lingering concern and Jaxson Robinson now out for the season (wrist), in addition to not having Kerr Kriisa since December, there's a ceiling on this group. That said, Pope's done a wonderful job in his first year at his alma mater. Kentucky scores 85.3 points per game, and that's led by one of the most surprisingly great transfers this season: Otega Oweh. The former Oklahoma Sooner leads UK at 16.2 per night, followed by Butler and Koby Brea averaging 11.5. Kentucky's spotty defense cost this team a few times in big spots this season, but it's a lot better than where it was in mid-January. With the style of play and the camaraderie on the court, UK is a threat to make the second weekend -- but it also could be vulnerable to a first-round upset. A lot's on the table with this group, which makes them fun to watch.
 
Not sure how anyone has Duke, yet two other teams, ahead of the Gators right now
My gut reaction bracket last night had Florida winning it all. I've since gone and edited that. Golden, like Pope, has never won an NCAA tournament game. I think it's a lot to ask him to come in and win six straight (especially with Pitino in the bracket). And it feels like so often the "hot" team coming into the tournament ends up flaming out before anyone expects. Auburn last season is a great example.

Unfortunately, assuming Flagg is healthy, I think it's Duke's to lose...
 
My gut reaction bracket last night had Florida winning it all. I've since gone and edited that. Golden, like Pope, has never won an NCAA tournament game. I think it's a lot to ask him to come in and win six straight (especially with Pitino in the bracket). And it feels like so often the "hot" team coming into the tournament ends up flaming out before anyone expects. Auburn last season is a great example.

Unfortunately, assuming Flagg is healthy, I think it's Duke's to lose...
I get that Duke ran through the ACC, but they haven’t seen truly quality opponents in over two months. Do we really know just how good they are?
 
Norlander also did his bracket on YouTube .. and he really kind of was selling on the SEC. He did have UK beating Tennessee, but he had a lot of SEC first round upsets.

That would be surprising. The sec bitchslapped these conferences in November and December ooc.

I mean yeah we are gonna see a lot of sec teams lose due to seeding but I still think sec gets 6 n sweet 16 and 4 in elite 8 and 2 in final four and a sec team wins a title. Success.
 
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I get that Duke ran through the ACC, but they haven’t seen truly quality opponents in over two months. Do we really know just how good they are?
No , we don’t. There are at least a few teams that would have looked just as impressive as Duke playing that schedule.
We don't know, sure, but I worry them winning the ACC tournament without Flagg (including some close games) will help them in a tight tournament game because they may not feel like it's got to be Flagg down the stretch. The predictive metrics aren't everything but they're not nothing and Duke leads in Kenpom, NET, BPI, and EvanMiya, and is 2nd in Bart Torvik.
 
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We don't know, sure, but I worry them winning the ACC tournament without Flagg (including some close games) will help them in a tight tournament game because they may not feel like it's got to be Flagg down the stretch. The predictive metrics aren't everything but they're not nothing and Duke leads in Kenpom, NET, BPI, and EvanMiya, and is 2nd in Bart Torvik.
But would Florida lead in Kenpom, NET, BPI, and EvanMiya, and be 2nd in Bart Torvik against the competition that Duke played? Hard to say. Duke played what? six ranked teams? And lost to 3 of them? I’m just hoping they’re overrated.
 
It looks to be so awfully close with the top teams I'm not sure it really matters at this point.

Duke is +38 in eff margin
UF is +36
Houston and Auburn are +35

Duke "might" be a 1 point favorite over UF in a potential title game.

We've never had this many dominant 1 seeds before. I don't think we've had a year in history where all 1 seeds made a final four but if it was to happen, it be this one. There is a clear cut line before these four teams and the tier right below.
 
Norlander knows about as much as my left nut that tinges when it rains.

He sucks Dook off so hard with the first rank he's left dry mouthed and bumbling the rest the way.

Oh No Reaction GIF by Breaking Bad
 
It looks to be so awfully close with the top teams I'm not sure it really matters at this point.

Duke is +38 in eff margin
UF is +36
Houston and Auburn are +35

Duke "might" be a 1 point favorite over UF in a potential title game.

We've never had this many dominant 1 seeds before. I don't think we've had a year in history where all 1 seeds made a final four but if it was to happen, it be this one. There is a clear cut line before these four teams and the tier right below.
Have you been able to find a free source for efficiency margin stats?
 
Not sure how anyone has Duke, yet two other teams, ahead of the Gators right now
Duke has incredible defensive players at every position, has athleticism that exceeds almost everyone and has a do-it-all power forward with elite guard skills that is a matchup problem for literally 67 teams in the bracket. I picked Duke to beat Florida in my bracket. I would love to be wrong but Duke has everything you would want in a national championship contender. Elite superstar - check. Depth - check. Elite rim protector - check. Elite wing defenders - check. Shooting and spacing - check. Slashers - check. Physicality - check. Finesse - check. I hope Duke loses the first game but I think they are really good.
 
That’s a thorough and well written piece. Norlander really put in some work accurately explaining his grounds for nearly all of em.
 
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