Most likely record in next 2 games

[electricat2]

As a Statistician, I think in terms of probabilities. Now the easiest calculation comes from assuming one outcome does not affect the other (independent events). Of course the Gonzaga outcome can't affect the Clemson outcome, but the opposite can't be said. However, to keep this simple we will assume independence (Clemson outcome doesn't affect Gonzaga outcome).

In my estimation, I give us a 70% chance to win at Clemson, and a 40% chance to win in Seattle (not technically at Gonzaga).
So assuming independence, that means we have a 28% chance to win both (2-0), a 18% chance to lose both (0-2), and thus a 54% chance to split them (1-1).

um....yea thats just what i was thinking

 

[yabbadabbadoo]

As a Statistician, I think in terms of probabilities. Now the easiest calculation comes from assuming one outcome does not affect the other (independent events). Of course the Gonzaga outcome can't affect the Clemson outcome, but the opposite can't be said. However, to keep this simple we will assume independence (Clemson outcome doesn't affect Gonzaga outcome).

In my estimation, I give us a 70% chance to win at Clemson, and a 40% chance to win in Seattle (not technically at Gonzaga).
So assuming independence, that means we have a 28% chance to win both (2-0), a 18% chance to lose both (0-2), and thus a 54% chance to split them (1-1).

You forgot one very important factor.
The Pope factor.
It’s good for 20-30%.

 

[IbnSaran]

I think the question is will Blue get in to these sites? If we get enough folks there to start some go big blue chants when we make a run I think we have a good chance to win both. I think this team will be energized by the full arena with fans going crazy even if they are mostly against them. Then if we can start a chant, especially in Littlejohn Coliseum, they will be supercharged.

If this was next year, when everyone will know we will be good, then Blue would have snapped up these tickets. Wait and see attitude this year may hurt our road crowd a little.

 

[silentsaregolden2.0]

If Butler can control Nemrod, we win against Gonzaga. He leads the nation in assists, over 10.0 apg. He is the head-cut it off-and we win. 2-0 for the week, and as someone above said, # 3 in the next polls. And yes, I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express!

I think they would be undefeated if their coaching staff hadn't screwed the pooch. They took Nemhard out for rebounding, thinking they could get him back in after the FTs, but didn't know or remember the rule about not being able to re-enter until time had run off. Not for sure that he would have delivered had he been in, but they were lost without him that possession.

 

[silentsaregolden2.0]

UK has shot about 27 to 28% from three in its last two games. I don't think that slump continues. UK is due for a rise in solid shooting from three. If UK shoots close to its average, they beat Clemson by 6 to 8 points and they beat Gonzaga by 3 to 4 points.

Hopefully, but while I think we are above average overall from 3 as a team, I think our early numbers were skewed by Brea going 20-27. Outside of him, it wasn't great. On the other hand, we had 3 misses late because Kriisa was trying to get to double figures or 1000 pts, whatever it was. And Garrison is 0-5 and he has no business shooting 3s, although he did make a shot with his foot barely on the line, so that would have been 1.

That being said, I think of our main group, the only 2 that shouldn't be shooting them are Williams and Garrison. We should be fine this seasonj, but I don't think we will shoot as well as we all had hoped.

 

[nssdigitalchumps]

We don’t start freshmen anymore. It will be 2-0

 

[Son_Of_Saul]

Hopefully, but while I think we are above average overall from 3 as a team, I think our early numbers were skewed by Brea going 20-27. Outside of him, it wasn't great. On the other hand, we had 3 misses late because Kriisa was trying to get to double figures or 1000 pts, whatever it was. And Garrison is 0-5 and he has no business shooting 3s, although he did make a shot with his foot barely on the line, so that would have been 1.

That being said, I think of our main group, the only 2 that shouldn't be shooting them are Williams and Garrison. We should be fine this seasonj, but I don't think we will shoot as well as we all had hoped.

The numbers last season weren't fiction for Brea (50%), Kriisa (42%), Oweh (38%), Carr (37%), Almonor (39%), and Robinson (34%).

This team will finish the season in the 37 to 40% range, which is about what was expected.

 

[Cleatortoises]

Cats by 90.
GBB!