I’m going to list out the full season model, as well as the model for the last 5 weeks of the season.
Before anyone tells me, yes, I’m aware that teams might be high in the model but not make the tournament.
I’ll try to run the full bracket by tomorrow to get overall odds, but this is a start for anyone interested. Feel free to ask questions about specific teams.
Full Season Model
1. UCONN 3.35
2. Auburn 2.89
3. Houston 2.860
4. Arizona 2.859
5. Tennessee 2.5513
6. Iowa St 2.5505
7. Purdue 2.38
8. Marquette 2.06
9. Alabama 2.05
10. Kansas 2.04
11. Kentucky 1.88
12. BYU 1.78
13. Michigan St 1.74
14. Duke 1.70
15. UNC 1.68
16. Gonzaga 1.60
17. Texas 1.55
18. TCU 1.50
19. Colorado 1.49
20. Creighton 1.48
21. St Mary’s 1.44
22. Mississippi St 1.43
23. Baylor 1.41
24. Virginia 1.37
25. St John’s 1.34
26. FAU 1.30
27. Wisconsin 1.29
28. Iowa 1.28
29. Texas Tech 1.21
30. Florida 1.20
31. New Mexico 1.16
32. Northwestern 1.11
128. Oakland 0.1745
Last 5 Weeks Model
1. UCONN 4.67
2. Auburn 3.72
3. St. John’s 3.22 (no wonder RP is so mad)
4. Houston 3.20
5. USC 3.09 (crazy)
6. Tennessee 2.63
7. Iowa St 2.56
8. Gonzaga 2.53
9. Ohio St. 2.52
10. Arizona 2.49
11. Kentucky 2.29
12. Creighton 2.27
13. Purdue 2.20
14. Duke 2.17
15. St Mary’s 2.09
16. UNC 1.87
17. Texas 1.83
18. Marquette 1.78
19. Baylor 1.65
20. Nebraska 1.58
21. Wisconsin 1.56
22. Mississippi St 1.52
23. Villanova 1.51
24. Pittsburgh 1.44
25. Texas Tech 1.40
26. TCU 1.392
27. Florida 1.390
28. Colorado 1.333
29. S Dakota St 1.327 (+103 comp to full year)
30. Cincinnati 1.3012
31. Michigan St 1.3011
32. San Diego St 1.297
116. Oakland 0.28
Before anyone tells me, yes, I’m aware that teams might be high in the model but not make the tournament.
I’ll try to run the full bracket by tomorrow to get overall odds, but this is a start for anyone interested. Feel free to ask questions about specific teams.
Full Season Model
1. UCONN 3.35
2. Auburn 2.89
3. Houston 2.860
4. Arizona 2.859
5. Tennessee 2.5513
6. Iowa St 2.5505
7. Purdue 2.38
8. Marquette 2.06
9. Alabama 2.05
10. Kansas 2.04
11. Kentucky 1.88
12. BYU 1.78
13. Michigan St 1.74
14. Duke 1.70
15. UNC 1.68
16. Gonzaga 1.60
17. Texas 1.55
18. TCU 1.50
19. Colorado 1.49
20. Creighton 1.48
21. St Mary’s 1.44
22. Mississippi St 1.43
23. Baylor 1.41
24. Virginia 1.37
25. St John’s 1.34
26. FAU 1.30
27. Wisconsin 1.29
28. Iowa 1.28
29. Texas Tech 1.21
30. Florida 1.20
31. New Mexico 1.16
32. Northwestern 1.11
128. Oakland 0.1745
Last 5 Weeks Model
1. UCONN 4.67
2. Auburn 3.72
3. St. John’s 3.22 (no wonder RP is so mad)
4. Houston 3.20
5. USC 3.09 (crazy)
6. Tennessee 2.63
7. Iowa St 2.56
8. Gonzaga 2.53
9. Ohio St. 2.52
10. Arizona 2.49
11. Kentucky 2.29
12. Creighton 2.27
13. Purdue 2.20
14. Duke 2.17
15. St Mary’s 2.09
16. UNC 1.87
17. Texas 1.83
18. Marquette 1.78
19. Baylor 1.65
20. Nebraska 1.58
21. Wisconsin 1.56
22. Mississippi St 1.52
23. Villanova 1.51
24. Pittsburgh 1.44
25. Texas Tech 1.40
26. TCU 1.392
27. Florida 1.390
28. Colorado 1.333
29. S Dakota St 1.327 (+103 comp to full year)
30. Cincinnati 1.3012
31. Michigan St 1.3011
32. San Diego St 1.297
116. Oakland 0.28