I've heard anywhere from a 2 to a 4 as being the best we can do at this point.
While I think it would be very difficult for us to get a 2, requiring us to win our next 6 games and maybe a little luck on a few other teams having more than 1 loss, I think it is possible.
But I think a 3 is a realisitic goal (& just as good).
So, the purpose of this post is that I decided to compare 2 teams, not UK, with very different current expected seeds.
Team A: currently projected as a 3 seed
Team B: currently projected as a 6 seed
Losses: Team A = 6 / Team B = 5
Current NET of all Loses: Team A = 4*, @122, @139, 47, @9, @25 / Team B = @23, @6, 97, @7, 91 (* not Home or Away)
Best (top 40) NET Wins: Team A = 13*, 24*, 23, 25 / Team B = 19, @5, 28
IMO, honestly you can make a case for Team B to be ahead of Team A, but without a doubt they are VERY close. Team B has 1 less loss, AND it's Road losses are to much better teams, but it's Home losses are to worse teams. Team A has 1 more "good win", but Team B's best win is much better.
So, my assessment is that these 2 teams are at most 1 more loss by Team A or 1 more "good win" by Team B apart.
BTW, if you are wondering, these are Duke and South Carolina.
While I think it would be very difficult for us to get a 2, requiring us to win our next 6 games and maybe a little luck on a few other teams having more than 1 loss, I think it is possible.
But I think a 3 is a realisitic goal (& just as good).
So, the purpose of this post is that I decided to compare 2 teams, not UK, with very different current expected seeds.
Team A: currently projected as a 3 seed
Team B: currently projected as a 6 seed
Losses: Team A = 6 / Team B = 5
Current NET of all Loses: Team A = 4*, @122, @139, 47, @9, @25 / Team B = @23, @6, 97, @7, 91 (* not Home or Away)
Best (top 40) NET Wins: Team A = 13*, 24*, 23, 25 / Team B = 19, @5, 28
IMO, honestly you can make a case for Team B to be ahead of Team A, but without a doubt they are VERY close. Team B has 1 less loss, AND it's Road losses are to much better teams, but it's Home losses are to worse teams. Team A has 1 more "good win", but Team B's best win is much better.
So, my assessment is that these 2 teams are at most 1 more loss by Team A or 1 more "good win" by Team B apart.
BTW, if you are wondering, these are Duke and South Carolina.
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