Kentucky 88, UCLA 86. Gives UK a 59% chance of winning Friday night.
KenPom Predicts...
- Thread starter KA4Prez
- Start date
another tight game... another 5 years of my life lost.
I'm jacked for this game.
Like when y'all played Ohio State in 2011. Loved watching a nail biter that I didn't care what the outcome is.
Like when y'all played Ohio State in 2011. Loved watching a nail biter that I didn't care what the outcome is.
538 has to be factoring in the Memphis part. KP is viewing this as a neutral game.
Teams that travel further distances tend to do worse. The larger the difference in travel between the two teams, the more favorable it is for the closer team.
If they'd played defense in the game earlier this season like they're playing now, no way UCLA wins that game at Rupp.
If the score is Kentucky 88, UCLA 86, I give us 100% chance of winning.
You could say the same about their improvement on defense as well tho.
Although they did give up 1.15 to a league average Kent St offense.
Tho 1.06 to an above average Cincy offense.
Bottom line is this thing is gonna be won on offense.
There has only been one game this entire season they were held to under 1.00 ppp.
in over half of their games they scored at least 1.20 ppp.
Conversely the last time we put up over 1.20 was all way back Feb 7th vs LSU.
I think it's a forgone conclusion that team is going to put up points on us. We just need to match them.
Although they did give up 1.15 to a league average Kent St offense.
Tho 1.06 to an above average Cincy offense.
Bottom line is this thing is gonna be won on offense.
There has only been one game this entire season they were held to under 1.00 ppp.
in over half of their games they scored at least 1.20 ppp.
Conversely the last time we put up over 1.20 was all way back Feb 7th vs LSU.
I think it's a forgone conclusion that team is going to put up points on us. We just need to match them.
Welsh, the center, killed us two years in a row I think he hit 80% of his shots .. Leaf unexpectedly hurt us in December. We must keep these two guys under control.. Ball will get his points.
The other issue is who guards Fox. Alford took Ball off Fox in the first game because Ball could not stay in front of him. Will be interested to see who tries to stay in front of him on Friday. I won't be surprised to see a zone.
Well of course. You want the easier teams advancing in the event you do. That makes total sense.
I figured as much. I bet he trashes UK any chance he gets when he's not on this board.
I wish he's right, but I can't see is beating UCLA. They're simply a better team..
I imagine this coming down to the end. All about who can execute at the end and hitting free throws.
I like our chances. The best thing Calipari did that no one talks about is slowing it down some. Obviously, we run when we can, but not on every possession, which helps us defensively (instead of being out of position on bad shots). We've had a lot of close games and know how to close them out.
I like our chances. The best thing Calipari did that no one talks about is slowing it down some. Obviously, we run when we can, but not on every possession, which helps us defensively (instead of being out of position on bad shots). We've had a lot of close games and know how to close them out.
It's ok seeding committee, we can do WSU, UCLA, UNC, KU, then whoever for the title. That's not unreasonable at all.
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