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GYERO

I don't think any potential schadenfreude I could have imagined could have played out as well as it has. BBN has been vindicated quicker then anyone could have expected

One milestone for me was in mid-December, when (iirc) The Field of 68 guys said, "ok, we have to say - there is no group of people in history that has been as right about something as UK fans were about Cal."

(or words to that effect).

And now, pretty much everyone / everywhere is realizing it.
 
* First, our opponents are running a 48.9% free throw attempt rate (which is just FTAs/FGAs). In the non-con we only allowed a 25.2% here, so one can speculate as to the reasons why that number has essentially doubled since SEC play began. This will hopefully not be sustainable.

* We are allowing a 34.2% offensive rebounding rate, which is bad. What is even worse is that 23.5% of the points we have given up in-conference have been off second chances. In non-con, those numbers were 25.4% and 11.4%, respectively, both of which are top-25ish nationally.

* Probably as a direct result of the aforementioned things, our SEC opponents are shooting 64% from 2 point range, a figure that would also lead the country. They're shooting pretty well from midrange, but the biggest problem is that we have allowed 43 shots at the rim in SEC play, and our opponents are shooting 80% on them.
Following up on this post from last week...

Against Texas A&M, we allowed:
- 42.4% FTA rate (still bad, but better)
- 28.2% offensive rebounding percentage
- 15.9% total points from second chances
- 55.2% 2 point percentage

Against Alabama:
- 50.7% FTA rate (yikes)
- 37.5% offensive rebounding percentage
- 14.7% total points from second chances
- 51.5% 2 point percentage

We really need to figure out a way to keep teams off the line. Don't think we're getting a great whistle or anything, but we do commit a lot of legit fouls too.

Also kinda think a large part of our issues with offensive rebounding comes from allowing way too many 3PAs. We are now up to a 51.6% 3 point attempt rate allowed in conference (32.2 attempts per game!), which is an insane number - would be the 4th-worst percentage allowed of any team in the last 6 seasons. A large part of that is who we've played, and so it should come down a bit, but does feel like we are giving up too many good looks from 3.

Probably some of that is downstream from inability to keep guards out of the paint, etc. This stuff is all interconnected, of course.
 
Also kinda think a large part of our issues with offensive rebounding comes from allowing way too many 3PAs. We are now up to a 51.6% 3 point attempt rate allowed in conference (32.2 attempts per game!), which is an insane number - would be the 4th-worst percentage allowed of any team in the last 6 seasons. A large part of that is who we've played, and so it should come down a bit, but does feel like we are giving up too many good looks from 3.
I'd be interested to slice that OReb stat based on line-ups. Carr is maybe one of the worst rebounding "bigs" I've seen in quite sometime. When he's in the line-up with Williams, we get absolutely slaughtered on the glass. I'd expect the statistics show that our rebounding is much better with Williams / Garrison / Almonor.

Edit: To wit, Carr is averaging 4 rpg in SEC play in 23.4 mpg. That's atrocious.
 
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Not political, but did you read about the dude Biden pardoned posthumously yesterday?

From Wikipedia:

He (Marcus Garvey) envisioned a unified Africa as a one-party state, governed by himself, that would enact laws to ensure black racial purity. Although he never visited the continent, he was committed to the Back-to-Africa movement, arguing that part of the diaspora should migrate there. Garveyist ideas became increasingly popular and the UNIA grew in membership. His black separatist views—and his relationship with white racists like the Ku Klux Klan (KKK) in the interest of advancing their shared goal of racial separatism—caused a division between Garvey and other prominent African-American civil rights activists

I can’t tell if this pardon who he is trying to appease with this. 😂
 
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Our first shot defense feels like it has been adequate. Those second and even 3rd attempts we give teams are killer. Too many are ball watching instead of looking to block out.

Getting a rebound off of one shot is getting increasing rare and it drives me nuts.

Spot on. The two biggest examples were the final six points of the 9-0 run after it was 81-81.
 
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Anything new on Wilson, @jayroon?
Doesn’t sound good. Sisk saying 90-95% UNC and he’s as dialed in as anyone to both programs.

Pilgrim is saying he wants to be at UK but UNC keeps increasing their NIL offer. They are desperate.

A source on Trilly’s site who’s friends with Dennis quit posting a few months ago and that’s who a lot of people were getting info from.

Maggard/Joe Adams are standing by UK because they think he signed an NIL deal and didn’t give us 30 days notice for the contract that he wasn’t coming here. But take that for what those two are worth.
 
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I'd be interested to slice that OReb stat based on line-ups. Carr is maybe one of the worst rebounding "bigs" I've seen in quite sometime. When he's in the line-up with Williams, we get absolutely slaughtered on the glass. I'd expect the statistics show that our rebounding is much better with Williams / Garrison / Almonor.

Edit: To wit, Carr is averaging 4 rpg in SEC play in 23.4 mpg. That's atrocious.
Good call. The following is only for SEC play:

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Should be noted that Carr actually has the 2nd-biggest positive delta on the team (after Robinson) for the whole season, so maybe it's the bad back which is causing this. Brea has been the worst at preventing offensive rebounds for the whole year, and that has gotten worse in SEC play. There is a huge drop-off from Robinson to him.

I suspected that Robinson would rank highly on this and he did. Maybe the key is keeping him on the court and involved in rebounding - thought he was huge against TAMU in that department. And also maybe just playing Almonor more minutes until Carr gets healthy again.

Here are our 3-man lineups sorted by opponent offensive rebounding % (higher numbers are worse, 2nd column are percentiles). This is for in-conference only, minimum 100 possessions:

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There's some double counting here, but I think it's fair to say that you see more Carr at the top and more Robinson at the bottom. Oweh could be more committed to the glass, as well.

BTW, as a side note: Williams is the best defensive rebounder in the SEC by percentage, and he's also an above-average offensive rebounder. Some of that is probably because he doesn't have a lot of competition on his own team, but still impressive.
 
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Doesn’t sound good. Sisk saying 90-95% UNC and he’s as dialed in as anyone to both programs.

Pilgrim is saying he wants to be at UK but UNC keeps increasing their NIL offer. They are desperate.

A source on Trilly’s site who’s friends with Dennis quit posting a few months ago and that’s who a lot of people were getting info from.

Maggard/Joe Adams are standing by UK because they think he signed an NIL deal and didn’t give us 30 days notice for the contract that he wasn’t coming here. But take that for what those two are worth.
Then why not match theirs?
 
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