I’ve been asking it tax questions, and it’s not good enough to replace me yet. Yesterday I asked it a specific question, and it cited made up case law for an incorrect answer.
I think that issue is going to delay its widespread acceptance in law / tax practices a bit longer than would otherwise occur. Everyone I know who has played with using it for legal drafting says that it has a tendency to make-up facts and case citations. I'm sure the programmers will figure that out eventually but professionals can't take the risk of relying on something with even a small threat of committing fraud/malpractice.
Frankly, if I have to go proofread every document for basic factual errors and Shepardize every case citation, that is less time savings than just writing it myself for most tasks.
I'm of two minds on the issue of AI. On the one hand, every major technological change causes widespread predictions of massive job losses and putting entire industries out of business. The word processor, for instance, was supposed to put lawyers out of business and that didn't happen. Even when an innovation does put an industry out of business (like buggy whips), it usually creates jobs elsewhere.
Initially, I think AI will be much the same in that it will cause job disruptions but not widespread job losses.
On the other hand, however, the speed of the technological innovation that this will allow could very well lead to changes happening so much faster than any other innovation in history that what I just described could all happen in 5 years or less and almost all knowledge jobs could become obsolete.
I doubt that happens but it no longer seems preposterous.
One good thing about it, I guess, is that with demographic trends, people are living much longer and having far fewer kids. There will be fewer workers available to care for all of us soon to be old farts, so we may need droid X-ray techs, etc to care for us.
All in all, I find the whole thing dismal and gloomy. The older I get, the more I resent how seemingly every behavior in life somehow involves the internet and I find myself purposefully avoiding technology to the greatest degree possible.
There is a chance that humanity hates AI so much, a large percentage choose to not interact with it and go back to living life without staring through screens 90% of our waking hours.