Drive Analysis

[Lost In FL]

Was curious, so I tried to conduct a "drive analysis" on 2024 UK drives. Here is what i found, let me know if you agree/disagree.

First, UK had 127 drives. First, break it down into good, bad, punts and other.
Good 31%: 40 scores (25 TD and 15 FG)
Bad 27%: 20 Turnovers (15 INT - 2 for TD and 5 Fumbles - 1 for TD) + 13 TO on Downs + 1 Missed FG.
Punts 35%: 44 Punts
Other 7%: 4 End of Half, and 5 End of Game.

What was interesting was likelihood of good, bad, punts, and other depending upon where the drive started.
36 drives inside the UK 20: 25%, 28%, 39%, and 8% (Bad included one pick-6, one FUM return for TD, and 2 TO on Downs)
85 drives between 20 and the 50: 33%, 25%, 35%, and 7% (Bad included 1 pick-6 and NINE TO on Downs!!)
6 drives past mid-field: 50% (1 TD + 2 FG), 50% (2 TO on Downs + 1 missed FG); 0 punts; 0 other.

Observations:
1. 6 drives past mid-field all season seems pathetic. 50% TOs on those drives seem even worse.
2. 13 TO on Downs seems high, like CMS tried to gamble too much this season.
3. While scoring likelihood increased as field position improved, it wasn't the WOW I was expecting.
4. 35% of drives ending in with a punt. That was ONLY 6 "3 and outs".

 

[Lost In FL]

@The-Hack and others.
No discussion of the analysis? Man, if i had any feelings they'd be hurt lol!

 

[gojvc]

Looks like the offense wasn’t very good.

 

[Lost In FL]

I looked at some different filters.
Average TD drive 8 plays for 73 yards.

The fact UK only had 6 drives start on the other side of the field also looks poorly on the defense and punt return team.

 

[Lost In FL]

Average FG drive was 9 plays for 48 yards. I find that interesting that the average TD drive had less plays than the average FG drive.

 

[The-Hack]

@The-Hack and others.
No discussion of the analysis? Man, if i had any feelings they'd be hurt lol!

Very detailed analysis.

And even without comparisons with other teams, those numbers look very, very modest.

[You have to give older posters at least 24 hours to absorb and respond!!].

 

[Lost In FL]

I'm pretty old too. If i get bored tonight, i'll look at defense and someone else ... not ND or OSU because I cannot stand either of them.

 

[Lost In FL]

Very detailed analysis.

And even without comparisons with other teams, those numbers look very, very modest.

[You have to give older posters at least 24 hours to absorb and respond!!].

Okay, since you demanded that i look at the defensive statistics ... I did.

Looked at it a little differently than the offense. Overall 131 drives.
29 drives that start inside the 20: scored 28% of the time; TO 17%; punted 38%; and 17% other.
56 drives that started between the 20 and 30: 20% scores; 27% TOs; 43% punts; and 10% other.
29 drives that started between the 31 and 50: 59%; 10%; 24%; 7%
10 drives that started in UK territory: 50%; 10%; 20%; 20%.

Overall: 33% scores; 19% TOs; 35% punts; and 12% other.

Takeaways:
1. D was pretty good on the 85 drives that started inside the 30: 19 scores vs 20 Turnovers! 35 punts too.
2. 39 drives at 31+, a TOTALLY different story: 22 scores vs 4 turnovers. (FOUR TOs!?!) only 9 punts.

Yard Start (# of drives): Score %; TO %; Punt %; Other %
0-19 (29): 28%; 17%; 38%; 17%
20-30 (63): 21%; 27%; 43%; 10%
31-50 (29): 59%; 10%; 24%; 7%
51+ (10): 50%; 10%; 20%; 20%

 

[Lost In FL]

Offense analysis in a similar way:
Yard Start (# of drives): Score %; TO %; Punt %; Other %
0-19 (36): 25%; 28%; 39%; 8%
20-30 (57): 35%; 18%; 42%; 5%
31-50 (28): 29%; 39%; 21%; 11%
51+ (6): 50%; 50%; 0%; 0%

You'd think that the 31-50 would be better than 20-30, but not so much.
When UK got the ball past the 30, they were more likely to turn it over (FUM, INT, Downs, Missed FG) than to score. That is CRAZY.

 

[maysvilleky]

I think people just have one summary for last season….it stunk. Time to move on. But thanks for your efforts. It just points out how much of a struggle it was offensively.