CBS Sports - Starting Lineup Prediction

[megablue]

Seems like the emphasis is on DEFENSE to start games ... Garrison over Williams surprised me a little bit.

Kentucky basketball roster 2024-25: Starting lineup prediction, rotation, outlook for Mark Pope's Wildcats

The Wildcats are welcoming an abundance of new players as the Mark Pope era begins in Lexington

www.cbssports.com

For reference, here are selected stats from last season, ranked by minutes played per game:

	HT	WT	MINS	PTS	REBS	3PTA	FG%	2P%	3PT%	FT%	STL	BLK	AST	TOV
KRIISA	6'3"	185	33.4	11.0	2.5	6.3	0.429	0.444	0.424	0.775	0.8	0.0	4.7	2.9
CARR	6'10"	220	32.5	13.5	6.8	2.8	0.526	0.595	0.371	0.781	0.5	1.5	1.5	1.2
ALMONOR	6'7"	219	32.0	16.4	5.1	7.4	0.436	0.494	0.394	0.800	0.5	0.7	1.7	1.6
BREA	6'6"	205	29.1	11.1	3.8	6.1	0.512	0.578	0.498	0.875	0.5	0.3	1.2	0.7
BUTLER	6'2"	205	27.5	9.3	2.6	2.9	0.421	0.485	0.302	0.594	1.5	0.2	3.0	1.5
ROBINSON	6'7"	190	26.4	14.2	2.5	6.9	0.426	0.532	0.354	0.908	0.7	0.4	1.3	1.5
OWEH	6'5"	215	24.9	11.4	3.8	1.7	0.493	0.520	0.377	0.643	1.5	0.4	1.0	1.8
WILLIAMS	6'10"	265	22.9	12.2	7.8	0.1	0.517	0.519	0.333	0.655	0.8	1.8	1.9	2.4
GARRISON	6'11"	245	22.7	7.5	5.3	0.0	0.572	0.572	0.000	0.648	0.8	1.5	1.5	1.7
NOAH	6'6"	200
PERRY	6'2"	170
CHANDLER	6'4"	170
TOTALS			251.4	106.6	40.2	34.2

CAREER 3PT PERCENTAGES
DNP = DID NOT PLAY
					Career	Career
	20-21	21-22	22-23	23-24	Overall	Conference
BREA	0.355	0.423	0.370	0.498	0.434	0.461
ALMONOR	DNP	0.343	0.381	0.394	0.385	0.403
KRIISA	0.368	0.336	0.366	0.424	0.368	0.376
OWEH	DNP	DNP	0.250	0.377	0.368	0.211
CARR	0.286	0.405	0.311	0.371	0.344	0.350
ROBINSON	0.286	0.326	0.343	0.354	0.343	0.317
BUTLER	0.290	0.329	0.342	0.302	0.321	0.294
WILLIAMS	0.00	0.500	0.267	0.333	0.308	0.333
GARRISON	DNP	DNP	DNP	0.000	0.000	0.000
NOAH
PERRY
CHANDLER

Last year comparisons, ranked by 3PT attempts ... Almonor, Robinson and Brea shot more threes per minute than Dilly ... and Kriisa shot more 3PM than Reeves ... so, we have four (4) newcomers that are high-volume three-point shooters.
Carr and Oweh have good three-point percentages, but were far less frequent in attempts:

	MINS	ATT	ATT/MIN	3PT%		MINS	MINS	ATT	ATT/MIN	3PT%
REEVES	1035​	188​	0.1816​	44.7%​		ALMONOR	1025​	236​	0.2302​	39.4%​
SHEPPARD	953​	144​	0.1511​	52.1%​		ROBINSON	871​	229​	0.2629​	35.4%​
DILLINGHAM	745​	144​	0.1933​	44.4%​		BREA	960​	201​	0.2094​	49.8%​
WAGNER	748​	96​	0.1283​	29.2%​		KRIISA	769​	144​	0.1873​	42.4%​
EDWARDS	686​	85​	0.1239​	36.5%​		BUTLER	1020​	106​	0.1039​	30.2%​
MITCHELL	817​	82​	0.1004​	30.5%​		CARR	1140​	97​	0.0851​	37.1%​
THIERO	535​	22​	0.0411​	31.8%​		OWEH	797​	53​	0.0665​	37.7%​
IVISIC	176​	16​	0.0909​	37.5%​		WILLIAMS	820​	3​	0.0037​	33.3%​
BRADSHAW	358​	14​	0.0391​	28.6%​		GARRISON	721​	0​	0.0000​	0.0%​
BURKS	140​	5​	0.0357​	40.0%​		CHANDLER				0.0%​
HART	10​	1​	0.1000​	100.0%​		PERRY				0.0%​
ONYENSO	448​	1​	0.0022​	0.0%​		NOAH				0.0%​

 

[zoid1]

Ya I read this when it came out. Butler and Carr probably got the PG and PF locked up as starters. I'd say Amari will get the start at C mainly due to his passing, experience and defense. SG and SF are our deepest positions as we have a plethora of players who can play them. IMO Oweh and Robinson will start. Butler, Oweh, Robinson, Carr and Williams gives us a great offensive and defensive balance to start the game.

 

[Aike]

Very interested to see what the rotations look like. Would note that Kerr has started nearly every game in his career, including on some very good Arizona teams.

I almost think it will be Butler/Kerr/Oweh/Carr/Williams.

Robinson was an effective 6th man last year, and maybe prefers that role.

If you sub for Butler you can slide Kerr over to the point. Could also come in with Perry at the point if you have early foul trouble for both Butler and Kerr.

Or you start Kerr, sub in Brea/Chandler for him, then bring Kerr back in for Butler.

Personally, I like the idea of that 1/3/5 of Butler/Oweh/Williams defensively, with more firepower at the 2/4.

All kind of moot until we see what the guys look like on the floor and playing together, but I’m excited about the possibilities.

 

[CatFanInIlliniLand]

On paper, this team looks deep!

 

[chroix]

On paper, this team looks deep!

Deep and we’ve got multiple looks/options.

 

[jeffky]

If Perry keeps shooting the percentages being reported no way in hell can you keep him out of the line up this kid can flat out shoot

 

[Son_Of_Saul]

Very interested to see what the rotations look like. Would note that Kerr has started nearly every game in his career, including on some very good Arizona teams.

I almost think it will be Butler/Kerr/Oweh/Carr/Williams.

Robinson was an effective 6th man last year, and maybe prefers that role.

If you sub for Butler you can slide Kerr over to the point. Could also come in with Perry at the point if you have early foul trouble for both Butler and Kerr.

Or you start Kerr, sub in Brea/Chandler for him, then bring Kerr back in for Butler.

Personally, I like the idea of that 1/3/5 of Butler/Oweh/Williams defensively, with more firepower at the 2/4.

All kind of moot until we see what the guys look like on the floor and playing together, but I’m excited about the possibilities.

On paper, this team looks deep!

Deep and we’ve got multiple looks/options.

High-level competence at every position. It's a team filled with Scott Padgetts, Jeff Brassows, Darius Millers, and Doron Lambs.

I'm actually more than comfortable with that. Depending on incoming guys like Boston and Edwards kind of lost its luster for me over the last four years.

 

[chroix]

High-level competence at every position. It's a team filled with Scott Padgetts, Jeff Brassows, Darius Millers, and Doron Lambs.

I'm actually more than comfortable with that. Depending on incoming guys like Boston and Edwards kind of lost its luster for me over the last four years.

Loving it on paper. Ready to see what it looks like irl.

 

[Aike]

High-level competence at every position. It's a team filled with Scott Padgetts, Jeff Brassows, Darius Millers, and Doron Lambs.

I'm actually more than comfortable with that. Depending on incoming guys like Boston and Edwards kind of lost its luster for me over the last four years.

Agree completely. Perfect storm would be something like 1998. Something in the ballpark of 2003-2005 wouldn’t surprise me.

Keys will be how quickly we gel, and whether or not anyone makes any leaps. Chandler could be better than expected. Oweh could hit another gear. One of the Kentucky kids could contribute more than most think.

I realize it’s fashionable to downplay everything, but I have no intention of doing that. I’ve lived through 5 coaching changes in my life, and 4 of those 5 teams exceeded expectations.

1986 went from borderline tourney team to the edge of the FF.

1990 we were gutted and salvaged a .500 season. Even beat Chris Jackson and Shaq.

1998 turned out ok.

BCG was the lone bump in the road.

Cal had us near the top of the polls all season.

I think too many people underestimate the energy around this program and the burst we will get from the new blood. The Rupp crowds will hit another gear. The players and staff will be incredibly driven.

This isn’t Starkville.

 

[docholiday51]

Very interested to see what the rotations look like. Would note that Kerr has started nearly every game in his career, including on some very good Arizona teams.

I almost think it will be Butler/Kerr/Oweh/Carr/Williams.

Robinson was an effective 6th man last year, and maybe prefers that role.

If you sub for Butler you can slide Kerr over to the point. Could also come in with Perry at the point if you have early foul trouble for both Butler and Kerr.

Or you start Kerr, sub in Brea/Chandler for him, then bring Kerr back in for Butler.

Personally, I like the idea of that 1/3/5 of Butler/Oweh/Williams defensively, with more firepower at the 2/4.

All kind of moot until we see what the guys look like on the floor and playing together, but I’m excited about the possibilities.

I will be shocked, shocked I say, if Robinson and Williams don't start😁 Seriously I think Garrison has been undervalued and a bit lost in the shuffle by the board. No clue what we have but it will be interesting to say the least.

 

[docholiday51]

Agree completely. Perfect storm would be something like 1998. Something in the ballpark of 2003-2005 wouldn’t surprise me.

Keys will be how quickly we gel, and whether or not anyone makes any leaps. Chandler could be better than expected. Oweh could hit another gear. One of the Kentucky kids could contribute more than most think.

I realize it’s fashionable to downplay everything, but I have no intention of doing that. I’ve lived through 5 coaching changes in my life, and 4 of those 5 teams exceeded expectations.

1986 went from borderline tourney team to the edge of the FF.

1990 we were gutted and salvaged a .500 season. Even beat Chris Jackson and Shaq.

1998 turned out ok.

BCG was the lone bump in the road.

Cal had us near the top of the polls all season.

I think too many people underestimate the energy around this program and the burst we will get from the new blood. The Rupp crowds will hit another gear. The players and staff will be incredibly driven.

This isn’t Starkville.

BCG was a whole load of.............coal.

 

[WildcatNC]

Mystery really.

I kinda feel like since Pope is more of an Xs and Os strategist, lineups will be based on creating matchup problems for opponents and style of play advantages rather than certain guys all of the time.