When/if Kentucky football ever turns the corner, it will be because a football team that was decent enough in the talent department won every game they SHOULD have and a few that were toss ups (or slight dogs). So how likely is it that 2015 is the year it happens? Is Kentucky better than they were in '14? Is the schedule more favorable?
I think it's reasonable to expect an improved Kentucky offense. I think/hope Dawson is an upgrade over Brown. The talent is certainly better (and more experienced). UK has a returning QB. If the OL stays healthy, the improvement could be significant. Defensively, UK can't be worse than they were in '14 (allowed 36 or more points in six of eight SEC games; didn't even force a punt against Georgia). While some are worried about the loss of Dupree and Smith, my biggest worry is corner. There's more depth there, but how much quality? So the defense, IMO anyway, won't be a helluva lot better than last year.
So if that's accurate, does this particular schedule have 7-8 wins on it? I think it might.
The Cats won five times last season. They were probably a dropped INT away from winning two others (Florida and Louisville). UK was also competitive in losses to Missouri and Mississippi State. So in 12 games, they gave themselves a shot nine times. I think this years schedule is much more friendly. A few thoughts;
*UK plays EIGHT home games...of those eight, only Auburn and maybe Tennessee figure to crack the preseason top 20. Florida, U of L, and Missouri won't be easy, but all three are extremely winnable.
*The schedule features only four road games. South Carolina and Vanderbilt won't enter the season with high expectations. Mississippi State lost a TON. Georgia looks to be the toughest game on the schedule.
Looking at that slate of games, it's about as friendly as it's ever going to get. Eight at home. Three winnable games on the road (as it looks right now anyway). Potentially ten winnable games overall.
This is probably my big blue bias speaking, but I think a 7-8 win season is VERY possible. IMO, the wheels would have to fall off for UK to finish with a losing record.
GBB!!!