Regardless....they've had more McDonald's all-americans than any SCHOOL in NCAA history, and it's not even close. To me, only advancing past sweet 16 five times in 18 seasons is a HUGE underachievement for one who is supposedly the best coach in college basketball.
I'm willing to bet if Cal is here another 10 seasons we will stumble upon 1-2 more championships. He's completed 8 seasons with one champioship & a couple of near misses. Will Cal be considered Coach K's equal if he wins 2 more over next 10 seasons? That would be equivalent of Duke's 3 championships over last 18....with all their talent. What if Cal wins 2 over the next 5 years...does it mean he's a better coach than Coach K?
I doubt Cal is here for 40 seasons like Coach K at Duke, but if he were I think he could win 5.
UNC has had more Mickey D's all-time.
But you're right that 13 of 18 years failing to advance past the Sweet 16 is a pretty major underachievement. It's an example of how hard is is to define success with the tournament structure. Does 3 titles offset all the failure in those other years?
A lot of this comes down to a Dean Smith vs Bobby Knight argument. Even ignoring the last 7 years of Knight at IU, and the disgrace he's become since, Knight was very inconsistent. After his blistering first 5 years, from 77 through 93 he missed the tournament 3 times and lost in the first round 3 other times. IU lost at least 10 games 6 times. But Knight also added 2 titles to the one he got in 76.
Dean Smith, OTOH, pretty much won all the time for 30 years. There were no really bad seasons, and UNC had legit title hopes a huge chunk of that time. But of course, they only won it twice, the 2nd of those way late in Smith's run.
As much crap as Smith takes on this board, I still take that kind of tenure over someone like Knight. As a fan, you're happy and hopeful far more often with consistent success than you are hoping for the lightning strike season while wading through a lot of mediocrity and disappointment.
Duke is obviously different, given their consistent regular season success, but it's still been an all or nothing thing for them in terms of the tournament, especially in comparison to what Cal's done at UK.