February predictions for the season are always fun...but usually foolish.
I think everyone will agree the 2015 schedule holds 4 as-sure-as-they-can-be wins (3 OOC plus Vandy). So the success of the season depends on the remaining 8 games. That's as far as I'll go until I hopefully get to see a spring scrimmage and get my Phil Steele yearbook in June!
At the risk of being labelled Capt. Obvious I will say that season success (i.e., W/L record) is based on 2 things: (1) How good you are and (2) how good are your opponents. There are lots of thoughts and comments about "how good" the Cats will be in this and other threads.
With that in mind, I thought it might be fun to look at how good some of UK's opponents are going to be based on some published Way Too Early 2015 Top 25s. I see that 7 of the "other 8" opponents are garnering some degree of very early Top 25-ish attention. I'm not going to say UK can't/won't beat a Top 25-ish team but I will say that, right now, such a win would be an upset.
So what does some of the national media think? Here are UK's opponents that are getting some Top 25 attention...
Media Top 25 Teams Fringe Top 25
SI AU, GA, MO MSU, TN
NatlChamp.com MSU, GA, MO, AU, FL, TN UofL
ESPN GA, AU, TN n/a
Athlon AU, GA, MSU, MO, FL TN, UofL
SatDownSouth GA, MO, AU, MSU, TN, UofL n/a
FoxSports AU, GA, MO, TN MSU
USAToday AU, GA, MO n/a
Addin' them up...
GA, AU In 7 of 7 Early Top 25s
MO In 6 of 7 Early Top 25s
TN In 4 of 7 Early Top 25s (plus 2 fringe mentions)
MSU In 3 of 7 Early Top 25s (plus 2 fringe mentions)
FL In 2 of 7 Early Top 25s
UofL In 1 of 7 Early Top 25s (plus 2 fringe mentions)
Last year the Cats' schedule included 5 AP pre-season Top 25 opponents (AL, GA, SC, LSU and MO) and 2 fringe opponents (UofL and MSU). As it turned out the Cats were 1-6 against those 7 teams and 5 of them finished in the Top 25 (all but SC and LSU). This year's schedule looks similar with 5 likely pre-season Top 25 teams (GA, AU, MO, TN and MSU) and 2 fringe teams (FL and UofL).
So based on this crazy
way too early look at the 2015 opponents the Cats' "best chance" for additional wins would be against UF and UofL (home) plus SC.
Peace